Tag: 2014

  • David Cameron – 2014 Speech on Scottish Independence

    davidcameron

    Below is the text of the speech made by David Cameron, the Prime Minister, on 7th February 2014 at the Lee Valley VeloPark.

    I want to thank Glasgow Caledonian for co-hosting this event.

    This is a fantastic, forward-looking university – and we are very grateful for your support today as we are to the Lee Valley VeloPark, for hosting us in this magnificent space.

    Less than 2 years ago, this Velodrome was a cauldron of excitement.

    Chris Hoy was ripping around at 40 miles per hour I was up there, I had a whole seat but believe me, I only used the edge.

    3 more golds – an incredible night.

    But for me, the best thing about the Olympics wasn’t the winning.

    It was the red, the white, the blue.

    It was the summer that patriotism came out of the shadows and into the sun.

    Everyone cheering as one for Team GB.

    And it’s Team GB I want to talk about today.

    Our United Kingdom.

    Last year, the date for the Scottish referendum was fixed.

    The countdown was set.

    And today, we have just over 7 months until that vote.

    Centuries of history hang in the balance; a question mark hangs over the future of our United Kingdom.

    If people vote yes in September, then Scotland will become an independent country.

    There will be no going back.

    As I have made clear, this is a decision that is squarely and solely for those in Scotland to make.

    I passionately believe it is in their interests to stay in the UK.

    That way Scotland has the space to take decisions, while still having the security that comes with being part of something bigger.

    From Holyrood they can decide what happens in every hospital, school and police station in Scotland and in the UK, Scotland is part of a major global player.

    These are the arguments we will keep on putting til September 18th.

    It is their choice, their vote.

    But my argument today is that while only 4 million people can vote in this referendum, all 63 million of us are profoundly affected.

    There are 63 million of us who could wake up on September 19th in a different country, with a different future ahead of it.

    That’s why this speech is addressed not so much to the people of Scotland, but to the people of England, Wales and Northern Ireland.

    Within these countries there are a whole range of different views about this referendum.

    There are those I’d call the ‘quiet patriots’: people who love the UK, love our flag and our history – but think there’s nothing much they can do to encourage Scotland to stay in the UK so they stay out of the debate.

    There are the ‘shoulder shruggers’: people who are ambivalent about the outcome, who think this doesn’t matter much to anyone South of the border.

    Their view is that if Scotland left the UK then yes, that would be sad, but we could just wave them a wistful goodbye and carry on as normal.

    And then there are those – a few – who think we’d be better off if Scotland did leave the UK, that this marriage of nations has run its course and needs a divorce.

    Today I want to take on all these views: the idea we’d be better off without Scotland, the idea that this makes no difference to the rest of the UK and the idea that however much we might care, we in England, Wales and Northern Ireland can have no voice in this debate because we don’t have a vote.

    All the above are wrong.

    We would be deeply diminished without Scotland.

    This matters to all our futures.

    And everyone in the UK can have a voice in this debate.

    I want to make this case by putting forward what, to me, are the 4 compelling reasons why the United Kingdom is stronger with Scotland in it:

    The first is our connections with each other.

    Over 3 centuries we’ve lived together, worked together – and frankly we’ve got together getting married, having children, moving back and forwards across borders.

    Such is the fusion of our bloodlines that my surname goes back to the West Highlands and by the way, I am as proud of my Scottish heritage as I am of my English heritage.

    The name Cameron might mean ‘crooked nose’ but the clan motto is “Let us unite” – and that’s exactly what we in these islands have done.

    Today 800,000 Scots live elsewhere in the UK and more than 400,000 people who were born in the rest of the UK now live in Scotland.

    And there are millions of people who do business over the border every single day, like the farmers in Lincolnshire who grow some of the barley that’s used in Scotch whisky.

    The United Kingdom is an intricate tapestry, millions of relationships woven tight over more than 3 centuries.

    That’s why, for millions of people, there is no contradiction in being proud of your Scottishness, Englishness, Britishness – sometimes all at once.

    Some say none of this would change with independence, that these connections would stay as strong as ever.

    But the fact is: all these connections – whether business or personal – are eased and strengthened by the institutional framework of the UK.

    When the Acts of Union were passed, the role of the state was limited to things like defence, taxes and property rights.

    Since then the state has transformed beyond recognition and our institutions have grown together like the roots of great trees, fusing together under the foundations of our daily lives.

    You don’t need a customs check when you travel over the border, you don’t have to get out your passport out at Carlisle, you don’t have to deal with totally different tax systems and regulations when you trade and you don’t have to trade in different currencies.

    Our human connections – our friendships, relationships, business partnerships – they are underpinned because we are all in the same United Kingdom and that is reason number 1 we are stronger together.

    The second is our prosperity.

    Some people look at the United Kingdom only in terms of debit and credit columns, tax and spend and how that gets split between our 4 nations.

    But that completely misses the bigger picture.

    This is a world that has been through massive economic storms where economic competition is heating up as never before, where we have to work harder than ever just to make a living.

    And in that world of uncertainty, we are quite simply stronger as a bigger entity – an open economy of 63 million people with the oldest and most successful single market in the world with one of the oldest and most successful currencies in the world.

    This stability is hugely attractive for investors.

    Last year we were the top destination for foreign direct investment in Europe.

    That is a stamp of approval on our stability – and I would not want to jeopardise that.

    But let me be clear.

    The central part of my economic argument for the UK is not about what we’d lose if we pulled apart – but what we could gain in this world if we stay together.

    This government has set out a long-term economic plan for Britain: getting behind enterprise, dealing with our debts, a plan to give the people of this country peace of mind and security for the future.

    And this isn’t just a plan, it’s a vision.

    The UK as the big European success story of this century moving from an island sinking under too much debt, too much borrowing and too much taxation to a country that’s dynamic, exporting, innovating, creating.

    Scotland is right at the heart of that vision.

    Why?

    I could give you a list of the Scottish strengths – their historic universities like Edinburgh, Aberdeen, Glasgow and St. Andrews; great industries: from food processing to financial services, from ship-building to science.

    But it’s not about Scotland’s strengths as some sort of bolt-on extra.

    It’s about what we, the constituent parts of the UK, can achieve together.

    The power of collaboration.

    It’s there in our past when the Scottish enlightenment met the industrial revolution: intellectual endeavour and commercial might combining to shape global economic ideas.

    And that power of collaboration is there today.

    Together we’re stronger at getting out there and selling our products to the world.

    Like Scotch whisky.

    Whether I’m in India or China, there’s barely a meeting where I don’t bang the drum for whisky abroad.

    Of course, the First Minister fights hard for those deals too but the clout we have as a United Kingdom gives us a much better chance of getting around the right tables, bashing down trade barriers, getting deals signed.

    The result – Scotch whisky adds £135 to the UK’s balance of payments every single second.

    And together we’re stronger to lead in the industries of the future.

    Like green energy.

    We have the wind and the waves of Scotland, decades of North Sea experience in Aberdeen and with the rest of the UK – a domestic energy market of tens of millions of people to drive and support these new industries.

    2 years ago we set up the Green Investment Bank.

    Based in Edinburgh, it’s invested across the UK, helping a Scottish distillery to fit sustainable biomass boilers, financing a new energy centre at Addenbrooke’s hospital in Cambridge.

    This is what happens when we collaborate.

    We’ve come through the great recession together.

    Our deficit down by a third.

    Our economy growing.

    Our exports to China doubled.

    And I believe we stand a much, much better chance of building a more prosperous future together.

    The third reason we’re stronger together is our place in the world.

    Together, we get a seat at the UN Security Council, real clout in NATO and Europe, the prestige to host events like the G8.

    Together we’ve got the finest armed forces on the planet.

    I think of the fighter pilots originally operating from RAF Lossiemouth who flew sorties over Libya, the legendary Scottish titles now part of the Royal Regiment of Scotland, like the Black Watch and the Highlanders.

    I think of the shipyards on the Forth and Clyde, where – alongside shipyards across the UK – they are building the Queen Elizabeth aircraft carrier launching this year to secure the seas and keep us safe.

    Now to some, all this might sound like national vanity.

    It’s the view that if the UK split up and our role in the world shrank, it wouldn’t matter so much.

    But this is a country that earns its living through international ties with millions of our citizens living abroad.

    When ships are ambushed on lawless seas – that hits our trade.

    When the middle class in China is set to grow by millions a year – that presents huge opportunities for jobs back home in the UK.

    This world shapes us – so our place in the world matters.

    And make no mistake: we matter more as a United Kingdom – politically, militarily, diplomatically – and culturally too.

    Our reach is about much more than military might – it’s about our music, film, TV, fashion.

    The UK is the soft power super power.

    You get teenagers in Tokyo and Sydney listening to Emeli Sandé.

    People in Kazakhstan and Taiwan watching BBC exports like Sherlock written by a Scot a hundred years ago, played by an Englishman today – and created for TV by a Scotsman.

    The World Service – transmitting to hundreds of millions.

    Famously Aung San Suu Kyi has said it helped her through her long years of detention, saying: “Everywhere I have been, the BBC has been with me.”

    And the BBC itself – founded by a Scotsman.

    My wife is an ambassador for the British Fashion Council and she sees – and raves about – the international impact of our fashion, helped along massively by Scottish designers like Christopher Kane and Jonathan Saunders.

    Sometimes, we can forget just how big our reputation is that the world over the letters “UK” stand for unique, brilliant, creative, eccentric, ingenious.

    We come as a brand – a powerful brand.

    Separating Scotland out of that brand would be like separating the waters of the River Tweed and the North Sea.

    If we lost Scotland, if the UK changed, we would rip the rug from under our own reputation.

    The plain fact is we matter more in the world together.

    These are all compelling practical reasons for the UK to stick together.

    But – pounds and pence and institutional questions; that’s not what it’s really about, for me.

    It’s about the slave who escaped his master after the American Revolution because he was offered liberty and land by the British crown.

    In gratitude, he re-named himself this: British Freedom.

    It’s about Lord Lovat on the beach on D-Day, the bagpipes playing as his brigade landed ashore.

    It’s about HMS Sheffield, HMS Glasgow, HMS Antrim, HMS Glamorgan grey ships ploughing through grey seas for 8,000 miles to the Falkland Islands – and for what?

    For freedom.

    Because this is a country that has never been cowed by bullies and dictators.

    This is a country that stands for something.

    And this, really, is why I’m standing here today:

    Our shared values.

    Freedom. Solidarity. Compassion.

    Not just overseas, but at home.

    In this country, we don’t walk on by when people are sick when people lose work when people get old.

    When you talk about an Englishman, a Welshman, a Scotsman, a Northern Irishman it might sound like the beginning of a bad joke but here it’s how we started our NHS, our welfare system, our state pension system.

    And these values aren’t trapped in the pages of a history book – they are alive.

    When the people of Benghazi were crying out for help when a girl in Pakistan was shot for wanting an education when children around the world are desperate for food we don’t walk on by.

    And let’s be clear.

    Our values are not just a source of pride for us, they are a source of hope for the world.

    In 1964, Nelson Mandela stood in the dock in the Pretoria Supreme Court.

    He was making the case for his life, against apartheid – and in that speech he invoked the example of Britain:

    He said: “I have great respect for British political institutions, and for the country’s system of justice. I regard the British Parliament as the most democratic institution in the world…”

    Our Parliament, our laws, our way of life – so often, down the centuries, the UK has given people hope.

    We’ve shown that democracy and prosperity can go hand in hand, that resolution is found not through the bullet, but the ballot box.

    Our values are of value to the world.

    In the darkest times in human history there has been, in the North Sea, a light that never goes out.

    And if this family of nations broke up, something very powerful and precious would go out forever.

    So there is a moral, economic, geopolitical, diplomatic and yes – let’s say it proudly – an emotional case for keeping the United Kingdom together.

    But still, however strongly we feel – we are a reticent nation.

    It can seem vulgar to fly the flag.

    Some people have even advised me to stay out of this issue – and not to get too sentimental about the UK.

    But frankly, I care far too much to stay out of it.

    This is personal.

    I have an old copy of Our Island Story, my favourite book as a child and I want to give it to my 3 children, and I want to be able to teach my youngest when she’s old enough to understand, that she is part of this great, world-beating story.

    And I passionately hope that my children will be able to teach their children the same; that the stamp on their passport is a mark of pride that together, these islands really do stand for something more than the sum of our parts, they stand for bigger ideals, nobler causes, greater values. Our great United Kingdom: brave, brilliant, buccaneering, generous, tolerant, proud – this is our country.

    And we built it together.

    Brick by brick: Scotland, England, Wales, Northern Ireland. Brick by brick.

    This is our home – and I could not bear to see that home torn apart.

    I love this country.

    I love the United Kingdom and all it stands for.

    And I will fight with all I have to keep us together.

    And so I want to be clear to everyone listening.

    There can be no complacency about the result of this referendum.

    The outcome is still up in the air and we have just 7 months to go.

    7 months to do all we can to keep our United Kingdom as one.

    7 months to save the most extraordinary country in history.

    And we must do whatever it takes.

    So to everyone in England, Wales and Northern Ireland – everyone, like me, who cares about the United Kingdom, I want to say this: you don’t have a vote, but you do have a voice.

    Those voting are our friends, neighbours and family.

    You do have an influence.

    Get on the phone, get together, email, tweet, speak. Let the message ring out from Manchester to Motherwell, from Pembrokeshire to Perth, from Belfast to Bute, from us to the people of Scotland – let the message be this:

    We want you to stay.

    Think of what we’ve done together – what we can do together – what we stand for together.

    Team GB.

    The winning team in world history.

    Let us stick together for a winning future too.

  • David Cameron – 2014 Speech at Chinese New Year

    davidcameron

    Below is the text of the speech made by David Cameron, the Prime Minister, at Chinese New Year Celebrations in Downing Street on 3rd February 2014.

    Good evening. A very warm welcome to everyone here tonight. It’s wonderful to be able to have another Chinese New Year party here at Number 10 Downing Street, and you’re all extraordinarily welcome.

    The purpose of tonight is to celebrate, and I think we have a number of good things to celebrate. We can celebrate the extraordinary success of modern China. I was so struck by this on the recent visit that I made and the very good meetings I had with the President and the Premier, the huge business delegation that I took. China is set once again to become the world’s largest economy, a position it has held for 18 of the last 20 centuries, so in many ways the order is being restored. And it’s worth remembering that in that extraordinary economic performance, more than 700 million people have been taken out of poverty; more people lifted out of poverty than in any other country at any other time in the world. So, there’s a huge amount to celebrate in this extraordinary success that is modern China.

    But I also think there’s a lot to celebrate in terms of our relationship with China. We’ve seen great strides in terms of our economic relationship since this government came to office; I think we have doubled trade between Britain and China. And one of the things that is so striking, and that I believe is at the heart of the British-Chinese relationship, is the openness of the British economy to Chinese investment. It’s great, for instance, that we can say there’s no limit on the number of Chinese students who can come and study in Britain. They need to have a degree place, and a basic English language qualification, and we welcome those students.

    But we also welcome the most extraordinary diverse range of Chinese investment into our economy, and not just in sectors that are easy to invest in, but also we welcome investment in infrastructure, investment in our nuclear industry, investment in our water industry. And I was very struck by what my new best friend Mr Wang of the Wanda Group said to me when he said that he thought that America was better to invest in than Europe, but the best of all was Britain. And I thought that was a great testament that he takes that view.

    I hugely enjoyed the visit that I made, and I hope it brought Chinese and British relations to a new level. There were many highlights to the trip; obviously the meetings with the President and the Premier, the visit to Chengdu for the Chengdu hot pot, but in many ways, one of the highlights for me was that extraordinary banquet we held in Shanghai with 600 Chinese businesses, and we were talking about business and investment and all the things that we could do together.

    And I thought it was important also to talk about the cultural relationship between Britain and China. And I’ll never forget the Director of the National Theatre talking about War Horse, and saying that War Horse was going to come to China and here was a small preview. And then Joey the horse came cantering into that extraordinary hall in Shanghai, and the gasp that went up from the audience about this incredibly impressive feat.

    The third thing we must celebrate tonight is what Chinese people bring to our country here in Britain. We don’t have a huge Chinese diaspora in our country, but we have a diaspora that contributes hugely more than the numbers suggest, contributing massively in business, in the arts, in culture, of course, in one of my favourite things which is Chinese food. But it’s really worth noting that when you look across all the different people who live in the UK, the Chinese in Britain are some of the most hardworking, some of the most best educated, some of the most law abiding, some of the most solid citizens of our country. Chinese teenagers – almost 78% of them – get 5 good GCSEs, and I wish that was the case for every child in our country. That is a full 20 points ahead of the average. So, we really welcome what Chinese people bring to our country here in Britain and the amazing contribution that you make.

    So, I hope you enjoy tonight, coming to Number 10 Downing Street, coming to celebrate Chinese New Year. ‘Xin Nian Kuai Le’ (Happy New Year).

  • David Cameron – 2014 Speech on the Holocaust Commission

    davidcameron

    Below is the text of the speech made by David Cameron, the Prime Minister, on 27th January 2014 in Downing Street, London.

    Can I just say an incredibly warm welcome to Number 10 Downing Street. I have to say, as Prime Minister in the last 3 and a half years I’ve had some extraordinary gatherings of people in this room, but I don’t think there’s been a more extraordinary gathering or a gathering I’ve been prouder to have than having you here tonight, on this Holocaust Day – a day when we remember the darkest hour of our human history, the Holocaust; a day when we decide to put away all and fight all forms of prejudice and hatred; a day when we think of the dreadful genocides that have taken place since the Holocaust. And it’s wonderful to welcome people here from Cambodia, from Rwanda, from Bosnia. It is an enormously proud day to have you in this room sharing these stories together.

    And the stories I’ve heard tonight are just unbelievable stories. People who escaped from the Warsaw Ghetto. People – someone was telling me who was in 2 ghettos, 2 slave labour camps, 2 concentration camps. People who came here as part of the Kindertransport. Someone who showed me their diary, which their grandfather had written in in July in 1939 in Prague, and wrote in that diary, ‘Wherever you go, be a great daughter to the country that gives you a home.’

    What I can say to the 50 Holocaust survivors here tonight: you have been incredible children, incredible lives you’ve lived; you’ve lived 10, 20 lives over for all those who died and all those who didn’t make it. And you are an amazing example to all of us. The bravery that you show by going into schools and colleges and communities and talking about the Holocaust and what happened is just so brave, it takes my breath away. I would have thought it would be so easy to want to forget, to stop thinking, to stop talking, but you showed incredible courage and bravery. And having 50 of you here tonight makes me incredibly proud to be Prime Minister of a nation with such extraordinary people in it. So, thank you from the bottom of my heart.

    Meeting you all makes me realise what a sacred task the Holocaust Commission has to carry out, and can I thank Mick Davis for chairing it, can I thank the Chief Rabbi, can I thank the survivors who are going to serve on it. We have the heads of some of our best museums. We have people from the worlds of television and film. We have politicians of all parties – we have Simon Hughes from the Liberal Democrats, Ed Balls from Labour, Michael Gove from the Conservatives – can I thank you all for the work you’re going to do. We’ve got fabulous historians, like Simon Sebag Montefiore. We’ve got so many people who are going to carry out this sacred and vital task.

    And it is so important because there will be a time when it won’t be possible for survivors to go into our schools and to talk about their experiences, and to make sure we learn the lessons of the dreadful events that happened. And so, the sacred task is to think, ‘How are we best going to remember, to commemorate and to educate future generations of children?’ In 50 years’ time, in 2064, when a young British Christian child or a young British Muslim child or a young British Jewish child wants to learn about the Holocaust, and we as a country want them to learn about the Holocaust, where are they going to go? Who’re they going to listen to? What images will they see? How can we make sure in 2064 that it is as vibrant and strong a memory as it is today, with all of you standing here in this room?

    That is the challenge that I have set them. It’s a vitally important task. I can’t think of a more talented group of people to carry it out, but please, as survivors, tell them what you think. Tell them what you want to be as part of this commemoration. You have spent so much time talking about your memories and reminding all of us how we must never forget. One lady I was talking to had already spoken to 6 schools today; I thought I’d had a tough day! That is an amazing thing to do, and you do this day in and day out.

    So, I promise you this: the Holocaust Commission chaired by Mick Davis with all those people on it, and this government ready to help, and politicians of all parties ready to help – we will not let you down. Tell us what you think we should do and let us make sure we commemorate these dreadful events, and make sure that here in Britain no one ever forgets what happened and we swear together: never again.

    Thank you.

  • David Cameron – 2014 Q&A at the Federation of Small Businesses

    davidcameron

    Below is the Q&A following the speech made by David Cameron, the Prime Minister, at the Federation of Small Businesses on 27th January 2014.

    Question

    Prime Minister, first of all thank you so much for coming today to the FSB’s first policy conference. Your clear commitment to engaging with us and with small firms is fantastic to see. We very much welcomed the announcement at the Autumn Statement of the support you’re giving for business rates, but day in, day out, our members are still telling us that that is the biggest problem that they face going forwards. With 7% of small firms paying more in rates than rent, will you finally tackle this by looking at how you could ensure a complete reform occurs?

    Answer

    Thank you. Well, first of all, thank you very much for the welcome.

    On business rates, let me just first of all state a truism, but it is important with all of this. Whatever tax we’re looking at that we don’t like – and frankly, I don’t really like any taxes – but whatever tax it is, there is one truism, which is: you can only get taxes down or keep taxes down if you’re prepared to make difficult decisions about spending. [Political content removed]

    On business rates, I completely recognise what you say. It is, I think, businesses’ – particularly small businesses’ – number one complaint. We tried to address it in the Autumn Statement with, I think, a reasonable package; by capping the increase at 2%, by the £1,000 rebate, particularly for the retail and restaurant premises on the high street that I think have been really hit by the internet shopping revolution; and obviously we’ve extended the small business relate – relief scheme.

    I think we do need to look at longer-term reform. It’s not going to be easy, because rates raise, whatever it is – around £24 billion – and I don’t think there is any one solution that is going to make everybody happy. But I think we’ve got to start addressing this issue and understanding – particularly this issue about internet retailing and high-street retailing. I’m passionate about our high-streets. I represent some lovely market towns in Oxfordshire. They’re doing pretty well, actually, because they’ve kept free parking – they haven’t made that mistake – and they’ve encouraged big retailers into the centre of town and made space available. But it’s going to be a growing issue, and I think it needs more work – I agree with you, sir.

    Question

    You’re asking us what you can do for us. I have one request, please. As regards the banks, could you please ask the credit rating system to be changed? For my personal business is actually doing really very well, but my own private, personal credit rating is poor because I’ve had a business failure in the past. In America they celebrate business failure – you’re not counted as a business unless you’ve had numerous failures behind you. In this country, as soon as you fail in a business, you have a poor personal credit rating – doesn’t matter how well your business is doing, you cannot get assistance financially.

    Answer

    I think it’s a very good point. I think it’s a cultural point here, which, as you say, in America, serial entrepreneurship, where not every step works out, is not seen as a disaster; it’s seen as a learning process, and that’s what brave entrepreneurs do. And I think we need to change the culture here, so we celebrate that sort of buccaneering style as well. I think that’s the first point.

    On the banks I think it has probably, along with the rating system, been the number one small business complaint. When I look at the overall figures now for gross lending to small businesses, there does seem to be some improvement, but I’m still hearing too many stories of people being asked for personal guarantees and putting their flat or their house on the line to get the loan. Whenever I get them, I follow them up, often individually with the bank concerned to get to the bottom of why these practices are still being followed.

    Your point about personal credit ratings – I’d like to take that one away. I’ve got my top team from the Number 10 policy unit sitting here. We’ve also got Lex Greenhill – Lex, where are you? Give us a wave. Thank you very much. Lex is sorting out the whole supply chain finance issue for us, which is often a very good way of small businesses helping small businesses to get credit and to get a finance when they’re part of a supply chain. So we’re working on the whole solution, but I take your point very much about personal credit ratings too.

    Question

    Prime Minister, you say you believe in a recovery for all. How do you respond to figures today showing 10 times as many jobs are being created in London as elsewhere? And just while I’m on the capital, how do you respond to Boris Johnson’s call to further reduce the top rate of tax?

    Answer

    Well first of all, on the issue of job figures, if you actually take the last 2 years – so, up to the present day – we’ve created – the last million jobs created, three quarters of them were created outside London. So, look, if I look across the country, do I want to see even more growth and even more jobs in our regions? Yes I do. We’ve got to work even harder to get a really balanced recovery? Yes, of course we have. But actually, employment has grown in every region of our country, and actually the second fastest‑growing region in terms of jobs outside London is Yorkshire and the Humberside.

    So we need to make sure that happens, and we have a plan for making that happen. That’s why we’re building the roads and railways; that’s why we’re investing in the super-fast broadband; that’s why we’re doing city deals with all of the major cities of our country, to make sure we scour Whitehall for every scheme and every extra bit of money to try and leverage in jobs and investment in those cities. So we’ve got a plan, we’ve got a programme; I think that plan and programme are working, but we really need to work at making sure this is a balanced recovery across our country.

    Question

    You mentioned something very lightly, which is immigration, and I’m just interested in your comments on what you’re doing with immigration, because public attitudes are tough, public attitudes are anxious, but they’re not anxious about skilled migration, they’re not anxious about business entrepreneurs, they’re not anxious about job creators. And I think with your narrative about the global race, I’m just interested in the comment you make, because you said it’s part of your economic plan, but if the public isn’t anxious about international students and these job creators, then don’t you think that your policies on the business side are actually at risk of damaging our economic growth and our recovery?

    Answer

    What I would say is I think public attitudes on immigration are sensible and well-informed. The British public recognises the fact that there has been very large, large-scale immigration over recent years, and politicians have not properly addressed this. In fact, in some circumstances, like the decision in 2004 to allow unfettered access to British markets of the 8 countries who then joined the European Union, actually made the situation worse. And the public, I don’t think, are being at all unreasonable in saying can we please have a government and can we have a Prime Minister who takes this issue seriously and puts in place a proper balanced and sensible immigration system? And that is exactly what I’m doing.

    And I make it part of my economic plan for this reason. Immigration policy on its own is not really worth very much. What you need is an immigration policy – proper controls on who’s allowed to come and work and live here – you need to combine that with a proper welfare policy, so it pays to work rather than stay on welfare, with a proper education policy, so we are training young people to be able to do the jobs that are becoming available. They are 3 sides of the same policy. So if we have proper immigration control, a proper skills and education policy, and welfare reform so that work pays, I believe we’ll see levels of migration fall, we’ll see net migration come back to the 10s of thousands, where it was in the 1980s, which also the benefit of immigration not being an issue in public life, which I would very much like that to be the case again.

    Now, taking your specific points on business and skills and education, I would challenge the point that the government has done anything that would disadvantage those areas. Actually, because we have dealt with the bogus colleges that weren’t really there to provide training courses; they were there as a back door for immigration – because we’ve closed down those bogus colleges, we’ve actually been able to say a very clear thing to our universities and to students from overseas, which is: there’s no limit on the number of students who can come to the UK; you just need a university place and an English language course. So our universities can get out and market themselves around the world, as well as providing great education for our young people.

    To business we said: of course we don’t want to disadvantage business by having an immigration policy that damages you. Yes, we’re going to put a cap in place on the number of economic migrants from outside the EU, because it doesn’t make sense to have that uncapped. But we’re going to make sure that things like inter-company transfers that we’re very flexible about. And so I haven’t actually had a stream of businesses coming to my door complaining about our immigration policy, and as soon as they hear it’s tied to reform of education and reform of welfare, they can see you’ve got a sensible, joined-up government, delivering the British people’s priorities.

    And as I say, I think the public’s attitudes on immigration – they’re not about race; they’re not about culture. It’s purely about numbers and pressure and making sure we grip this properly, and that’s exactly what I’m committed to doing.

    Question

    I’m delighted to say that you’re going to get out of the way and you’re going to stand up for us and celebrate what we do. In standing up for us, can I ask you to put more pressure on making broadband the fourth utility?

    Answer

    Yes. Well, it is. I mean, you’re absolutely – ‘the fourth utility’ is a great phrase for it. If you are a business in rural Britain, a high‑speed broadband connection is as important as a good train service or a good rail service or a good road. It is going to be the way that businesses communicate and succeed for the future. I represent a largely rural constituency. Amongst small businesses, rural businesses it is the issue. It’s not one of many issues; it’s absolutely the issue.

    Now, I think if we are fair to Broadband UK, British Telecom, the Departure for Culture, Media and Sport, the money’s going in, the deals are being signed. I think there are 10,000 businesses being signed up every week, but it is always difficult getting to that last 5, 10%. The money’s there to help us do that. We’re going to have to be very technically savvy. It’s good that we’ve hired the former head of British Telecom to come and be our Trade Minister because I can, every now and again, get a little bit of inside advice from him about how we get this to go faster. So we’re totally committed to it and we think we will have the best broadband network in Europe, but we’re going to have to be very creative for the last 5 or 10%.

    Question

    My own business is involved in business advice and employment law and I also chair the FSB’s Employment Policy Committee. The Chancellor’s comments on the National Minimum Wage evoked quite a bit of interest a few days ago and I wondered what your views are, particularly in terms of the concerns that relate to job creation or the problems that it will cause in particular sectors, like the care sector.

    Answer

    Well, you’ll be relieved to know my views are the same as the Chancellor’s. [Political content removed] I think the key is this: I think the National Minimum Wage has been a success. I think it’s been successful in part because of the role played by the Low Pay Commission, but I think it’s very important to listen to what they say about what is sustainable for the level of the minimum wage. The facts, though, are these: obviously, the minimum wage lost some of its value during the great recession when the Low Pay Commission didn’t advise putting it up or putting it up by very much and so we have seen an erosion in its value. Under this government it’s gone up by 10%, but if it had its value restored in full, we’d have a £7 minimum wage rather than a £6.30 minimum wage.

    Now, as I said the other day on a television or radio interview, I can’t remember which, I’d love to be Prime Minister of a country that could afford a £7 minimum wage; I think it would be a great step forward. But we have to let the Low Pay Commission do their work and we should listen to them about we don’t want to do things that will destroy jobs. The job creation of the record of this government is something I’m very, very proud of: 1.3 million more people in work, record numbers in work.

    So I hope it will be possible to start restoring the value of the minimum wage. I think we need to listen to the Low Pay Commission, but surely as the country becomes better off as our economy grows, we should be able to afford those increases. But it will be for the Low Pay Commission to advise the government and I think it would be good if, in our country, we don’t make the minimum wage a sort of political football and we try and listen to the Low Pay Commission and let them play the vital role of referee. That’s the key.

    One last thing. Of course, as well as seeing the minimum wage go up 10% under this government, because we’ve cut income tax, because you can now earn £10,000 before paying income tax, that is equivalent of another 10% on the minimum wage. So we’ve been focused on how to help low earners and I think that’s the right focus to have.

    Question

    If you’ll forgive me, I’m going to remind you of the second of my colleague’s questions. She asked you whether you agreed with Boris Johnson, as a tax‑cutting Tory, that you wanted to cut the top rate of tax to 40p.

    My question now, if I may, which is: you said this morning that immigration from Romania and Bulgaria was reasonable. How do you know and what you do mean by ‘reasonable’?

    Answer

    We’ve cut the top rate of tax from £0.50 to £0.45. I think it was the right step to take. I always knew it wouldn’t be particularly popular, but I thought it was the right thing to do, because I want to take steps in this country that are going to encourage investment, going to encourage jobs, going to encourage growth, going to encourage business to invest more [Political content removed]. It is an anti‑business, anti‑enterprise, anti‑growth measure and I would argue, just as what I think George Osborne and I did was right for the economy but politically difficult, [Political content removed]

    As for future rates of tax, they are, as the saying goes, a matter for the Chancellor in his budget and I think I will rest with that. But it is important always to think about – taxes are about how you raise the money. You should think about the revenue. I want rich people to pay more taxes. The way to get rich people to pay more tax is to get the economy moving, to get them investing, to get them spending, to get them buying, to get them employing and, actually, we’re seeing the rich paying more in income tax in every year under this government than in any year under the last government.

    Immigration, Romania and Bulgaria, the point I was making on the radio this morning is obviously 1st January has passed and that’s an important milestone. We extended the transitional controls from 5 years to 7 years; we’re not able to extend them further. There aren’t any official statistics. I haven’t been looking at unofficial statistics, but just from what I read and see and hear, as you have, I think that these numbers look, as I said this morning, reasonable.

    Question

    We’re an online marketplace for business loans and our technology means that businesses can typically get finance from our investors within 2 weeks, and you mentioned challenger banks. Obviously it’s great to hear that you’re advocating more competition within the sector, but it would also be good to hear what you think about alternative models within the wider landscape.

    Answer

    Yes. I’m very keen on these new models, a lot of which are using internet online technology, crowd sourcing in order to help people to fund their businesses. Obviously it’s been frustrating that the banks haven’t been lending more to small businesses. I think the big picture numbers now show a more helpful pattern in terms of gross lending, but I think these other ways of raising finance are incredibly encouraging.

    And we should do our bit to help with that. That’s what the Business Bank is about that the government has set up and funded, that’s what the Start‑Up Loans are about and I think we should be as flexible as we can to try and find new ways of encouraging people to invest. That’s what all our enterprise relief schemes are about. The EIS scheme is about getting money into small businesses.

    I keep asking investors, ‘Is there anything else we can do to make this work better?’ and people seem pretty happy with the way it’s working. But if people have got specific suggestions for how we help fund small business, how we help entrepreneurs, how we deal with the difficult stages afterwards – the so‑called ‘valley of death’ – Tim Luke and Daniel Korski from the Policy Unit are at the front; all ideas gratefully received.

    Question

    I own my own engineering company and I’d like to know do you have any plans to further assist manufacturing. I would say that manufacturing went into recession in 2006, before the bank crisis struck. Here we are 7 years later, nothing has been done about training in those years in the meantime, and the clothes you are wearing today were made on a machine, if someone’s not out there making those machines we’re going to have nothing. Manufacturing desperately needs help.

    Answer

    Right, okay. Well, look, the good news, sir, is that the last figures that we have for the British economy, manufacturing has been growing actually slightly faster than services and I think it’s welcome that we’re seeing a recovery in manufacturing, in construction as well as in our service industries. I think what we also need to see is that export growth and manufacturing obviously, as a very tradable sector, is always a vital part of that.

    What can the government do for manufacturing? I think there are 3 or 4 things that are vital. There’s obviously the tax regime that affects lots of businesses, so low corporate tax rates. We’ve got the Patent Box, so if you invent anything here in Britain and manufacture it here in Britain you pay 10% corporation tax. I think the apprenticeship schemes that we’re backing, record funding going into apprenticeship schemes. I think that’s particularly important for manufacturing and those sorts of skilled jobs. I think the transport network – we talked about broadband is vital for a lot of rural businesses; if you’re a manufacturing business we need to upgrade our ports, we need to upgrade our railways and our roads, all of which is happening.

    I think that the other piece of the jigsaw I’ve mentioned is these catapult centres that the business department is setting up, where we’re looking at specific industries, specific parts of manufacturing and thinking how can we help by, frankly, imitating the Germans and seeing where you can get the best out of our universities, the best out of our business brains, and put them together in catapult centres to try and literally catapult better technology into our manufacturing industries. So, for instance, the one that we’re doing with aerospace, which is funded with hundreds of millions of pounds, I think could be a real success in an area where Britain is still the number 2 in the world.

    So I’m very much committed to a manufacturing based recovery, to supporting manufacturers, I think sills, technology, taxes and transport were the ones I’d put at the top of the list, but if you’ve got other ones, my experts here in the front row, and you can have a go at them after I’ve gone.

    Question

    I started out when I was 12, I was one of very few number. Obviously I think now we can all say that the age of the entrepreneur really has arrived, and of course the enterprise loans are actually sitting here with Mike and Ben Dyer who are the only young entrepreneur delivery partners for the enterprise loans who are actually giving me a loan at the moment.

    So, I think we can certainly say that the age has arrived, the only thing that worries me slightly is – particularly within my industry of food and drink, high end retail – is that that the industry is so crowded, and retail has been so badly damaged through the recession, is that sustainable? Is it sustainable for 12,000 new businesses to be setting up when we go into a retail that 2 brands have to come out for us to go in?

    That’s the first point, and then the second one is to do with export, so sort of following on from that. We’ve been exporting – I’ve worked with UKTI for a number of years; I was at the November 2010 event as a speaker. And what we see is an inconsistency on what’s actually being talked about in terms of the support of trade and export. Very quick example, we exported to Mexico, we were told and advised by UK Trade & Investment we’d need a dairy certification. Products arrived into port and were held by customs; we had to pay nearly £8,000 for a new certification because dairy isn’t required.

    So I think there’s a little bit of an inconsistency there with what’s being sort of discussed and what’s actually being delivered. So I please ask you that you could talk to UK Trade & Investment to actually engage more with people who are on the forefront of export.

    Answer

    Okay. Well thank you very much and thank you for what you’ve done since the age of 12 to deliver this enterprise revolution. I mean, I really believe it is happening. When I see what’s happening with the start-up loans, with the enterprise allowance scheme, with the fact here are 400,000 more businesses today than there were 3 and a half years ago in our country, I think we are seeing real signs of an enterprise economy bursting through again.

    On UKTI, I think the performance has improved a lot over recent years, but one of the reasons for hiring a great business brain, in Livingston, is to really put him to work on turning around this organisation even more, and making sure it’s looking after small businesses in particular. I think a lot of big businesses already have the expertise in terms of export and how to get on in overseas markets, but small businesses really need that help and support.

    On your point on retail, I’m not sure I’ve got a really good answer to that. I mean, you know, we have a very competitive retail market. I mean, when Napoleon said we’re a nation of shopkeepers he meant it as an insult, I take it as a compliment, and I think we should want to have a competitive market where new people should break through. And that’s the business world we live in today. You know, you think about it, a few years ago a lot of these brands that have gone global or taking over the world didn’t even exist. You know, where was Skype 5 years ago? You know where were some of these businesses that have come from nowhere? So I think we should celebrate the fact that we have a lot of bursting‑through small businesses that are going to change their markets, because it’s that process of change that will create the jobs of the future.

    Question

    I’m afraid it’s a bit about the banks. It’s an ask for a little bit of help. We’ve been very lucky in 2 of my members, we’ve managed to get recompense from the banks for the mis-selling of swap rates. And these are microbusinesses, £120,000 worth of extra interest. They’ve now been given, eventually, their compensation package, which includes about a quarter of an inch of paper to go through. Inside there is a confidentiality clause; we can argue about that.

    But the big problem being is that the answer in short terms is, ‘Yes we got it wrong. Here’s your money back. Here’s the compensation we think we’ll give you. And if you don’t like it, you can reapply to us, but be aware that you might not get back what we’ve offered you in the first place.’ And I think that’s completely wrong. If the compensation isn’t enough, the person should be able to go back without fear of losing the initial claim – or we need something to do about that. And just to add insult to injury, the following day, they got a telephone call from that bank saying, ‘We got it wrong before but can we re-do your loan for you?’

    Answer

    Right. But I think that – that’s a good one to end on sir. Look, I think our banking system is strengthening. I think our banking system is being sorted out. But it’s going to take more time. And I think the 2 key elements that you’re pointing to are, 1, we need more competition. Banks have got to feel the pressure of competition, from the fact that business owners can take their custom somewhere else. They’ve got to feel the pressure that account holders can switch their account to another bank. That is now happening, and I think these challenger banks that you can now see – the Metro Banks, the Handelsbanks, the fact that TSB is out there again – that competition, we need that to change the culture and the practice in banking.

    The second area is regulation, and I think, frankly, we did inherit a bit of a mess in terms of regulation, and we’ve taken steps to sort that out by giving the Bank of England an absolutely clear role in terms of calling the time on excessive debt in our economy, which it didn’t do previously. But also having in the Financial Conduct Authority a tough and rigorous regulator on banking practice.

    And so this is not going to be easily fixed. I would just beware the sort of quack remedies that I think we’re being offered by the opposition, who come up with something that looks flashy for about a day, and then you realise hasn’t worked elsewhere in the world and is not right. I think under this government you can see the competition is hotting up. The new banks are arriving. There’s more work to be done as we nurse RBS back to health. And let’s let these new regulators get on with their job, and they may be able to look at cases like your – the one you mention, and make sure that we police these organisations better.

    Can I thank you very much indeed. I’m afraid I’m told that’s all I’ve got time for. Can I thank you very much for inviting me. Sorry it’s taken 40 years to get a prime minister along, but, as I said, we’ll try and speed up the next – the next arrival – of this prime minister, let me just be clear about that, in case there are any doubts about that one. But thank you very much for the warm welcome. Thank you for the suggestions.

    This is about not just a speech and a Q&A; it’s about a process of engagement. We desperately want small business, enterprise and entrepreneurship to succeed in our country. There’s some stuff we need to get out the way: the tax and regulation. There’s some big stuff we need to stand up for on small business. And there’s a bit more celebrating we need to do of successful enterprise and entrepreneurship, and people who create wealth and jobs in our economy. It is a vital piece of work. It’s an incredibly noble thing to do when people start out on their own. And when they create those businesses that become great employers of the future, it is a genuine public service, and we can’t say that often enough.

    Thank you very much indeed.

  • David Cameron – 2014 Speech at World Economic Forum

    davidcameron

    Below is the text of the speech made by David Cameron, the Prime Minister, at the World Economic Forum at Davos on 24th January 2014.

    The key challenge for politicians and business leaders in Europe is how we make a success of globalisation.

    For years the West has been written off.

    People say that we are facing some sort of inevitable decline.

    They say we can’t make anything anymore.

    Whether it’s the shift from manufacturing to services, or the transfer from manual jobs to machines, the end point is the same dystopian vision; the East wins while the West loses; and the workers lose while the machines win.

    I don’t believe it has to be this way.

    Of course, we cannot be starry eyed about globalisation – it presents huge challenges as our economies and societies try to adapt.

    But neither should we take this pessimistic view.

    If we engage in the right way, if we get the fundamentals of our economies right, sort out our debts, maximise our competitiveness and build on our strengths, then globalisation offers our businesses the chance to win new contracts to export into markets that were previously closed and create jobs fulfilling the demands of new consumers thousands of miles away.

    Indeed if we make the right decisions, we may also see more of what has been a small but discernible trend where some jobs that were once offshored are coming back from East to West.

    And it is this that I want to talk about today.

    All of this is about the same purpose.

    Securing sustainable, well-paid jobs.

    Giving people pride in using their skills.

    Offering workers a chance to make world-beating products.

    Bringing more of the benefits of globalisation home and ensuring those benefits are felt by hard-working people in terms of security, stability and peace of mind.

    Let me start with what we are doing in Britain.

    We have set out a long-term economic plan to secure our country’s economic future.

    It has 5 parts.

    First, getting the fundamentals right – cutting the deficit so we deal with our debts, safeguarding our economy for the long-term and keeping mortgage rates low.

    Second, reducing taxes to help hard-working people become more financially secure.

    Third, capping welfare and reducing immigration so our economy delivers for people who want to work hard and play by the rules.

    Fourth, delivering the best schools and skills for young people so the next generation can be best placed to win the jobs of the future.

    And fifth, driving job creation by backing small business and enterprise with better infrastructure and lower jobs taxes.

    Each part of this plan is already producing results.

    The deficit we inherited was the biggest in our post war history – but already it’s down by a third.

    Our economy is growing.

    Just this week, the IMF upgraded its growth forecasts for Britain by more than any other G7 country and we have also seen the largest quarterly increase in employment since records began.

    There are now more than 1.6 million new private sector jobs since early 2010 – and around 400,000 more small businesses. We’ve cut taxes for over 25 million people, reformed welfare so that it pays to work and created more apprenticeships than at any time in our history.

    And we’ve taken unprecedented steps to back enterprise; scrapping £1.2 billion of red tape – including pushing for the removal of the most problematic EU regulations and investing billions in our infrastructure – in roads, rail and what is set to become the best superfast broadband network in Europe.

    Ernst and Young now say Britain is the best place in Europe for new entrepreneurs.

    This has not come automatically; it is because we have chosen to build our long-term economic plan on Britain’s great strengths. We have chosen to play to our strengths as an open, trading economy, championing the vital EU trade deals with America, Canada and Asia that can add millions of jobs to our economies and billions of pounds to the value of our businesses.

    Rather than trying to pull up the drawbridge and shut ourselves off from globalisation, we have chosen to embrace foreign investment.

    We are proud of the Indian investment in Jaguar Land Rover, proud that Emirates invested in a new stadium for Arsenal and Etihad have invested in Manchester City.

    And we are proud that in the first half of last year the UK became the world’s largest recipient of inward foreign direct investment.

    We have made choices. Difficult choices.

    In a time of austerity we have chosen to maintain our spending on science and innovation.

    And we have chosen to cut business taxes.

    Corporation tax will soon be as low as 20%, the lowest in the G7 and as low as 10% for companies that turn innovation into manufacturing.

    This is the country that is so committed to cutting burdens on business, that no government Minister – not even me as Prime Minister – can propose a new regulation that affects business without getting rid of 2 others in return.

    This is Britain. Open, pioneering, creative, innovative – and ready for your investment.

    Britain also has the chance to become something else.

    Let me explain.

    In recent years there has been a practice of offshoring where companies move production facilities to low cost countries. We’ve all seen it. We all know it’s true. And it will continue.

    But there is now an opportunity for the reverse: there is now an opportunity for some of those jobs to come back.

    A recent survey of small and medium sized businesses found that more than 1 in 10 has brought back to Britain some production in the past year. More than double the proportion sending production in the opposite direction.

    From food processing to fashion, from cars to computer-makers. It’s not just one sector; it’s across all sectors of the economy.

    The food manufacturer Symingtons is moving its factory from China to Leeds.

    Hornby the model train manufacturer is bringing some of its manufacturing from India to Britain.

    Raspberry Pi computers have shipped production to Wales.

    A company I visited yesterday morning – Vent-Axia – has shipped jobs from China to Crawley.

    Jaeger, the fashion brand, stopped manufacturing in the UK 15 years ago but is now bringing as much as 10 per cent back to Britain. Take cars. Britain now exports more cars than it imports and based on this success, the automotive industry has indicated it could yet return £3 billion of supply contracts.

    But we are not just seeing these trends and opportunities in Britain.

    A survey of major US-based manufacturing companies found that more than a third were planning or actively considering shifting production facilities from China to America.

    While one recent forecast suggests millions of jobs could be available for re-shoring globally.

    To win these jobs we need to understand what is driving these changes.

    Part of the story is about rising costs in the emerging markets, a natural consequence of these economies developing and their people becoming wealthier.

    Senior pay in China now matches or exceeds pay in America and Europe while rising oil prices and complex supply chains are increasing transport costs too.

    At the same time, there are a number of factors pulling companies back home.

    Some companies are choosing to locate production nearer to their consumer markets in the West.

    By shortening their supply chains, they can develop new products and react more quickly to changing consumer demand. More customisation. More personalization. Better and faster customer service.

    For example, you’re inspired by a new trend on the London catwalk and want to make a new product available in days not weeks. A shorter supply chain will help.

    So will new technologies like 3-D printing – where you can personalise a design and print in hours rather than choose from a more limited range of pre-designed goods and ship in weeks.

    There is no doubt that when it comes to re-shoring in the US, one of the most important factors has been the development of shale gas, which is flooring US energy prices with billions of dollars of energy cost savings predicted over the next decade.

    Taken together, I believe these trends have the ability to be a fresh driver of growth in Europe too.

    I want Britain to seize these opportunities.

    I think there is a chance for Britain to become the “Re-Shore Nation”.

    For years we have had UKTI out there helping our businesses to export and encouraging inward investment.

    Now I want to give that same dedicated specific support to helping businesses re-shore.

    So we are setting up a one stop shop to help businesses capitalise on the opportunities of re-shoring.

    Much as Britain can be the “Re-shore nation”, so Europe can benefit from this too.

    But only if we act now to make re-shoring as attractive as possible.

    As much as there is an opportunity, we have to be careful not to misrepresent it.

    So, let me be clear on 3 things I’m not saying.

    First, I’m not saying there is a finite number of jobs in the world and that our success depends on some kind of tug of war to win them back at the expense of the East.

    That completely misunderstands the nature of what is going on; and how economies work.

    Growth and dynamism means that new jobs are continually being created and re-created.

    So our gain is not their loss: rather their gain is our gain.

    Second, I’m not saying that re-shoring is going to bring back all the jobs that were off-shored in the first place.

    We have to keep the scale of this development in proportion.

    So far most of the firms involved are mainly bringing back production destined for markets in the West.

    Some companies will continue to off-shore more than they bring back and much of what these firms have moved overseas will remain there, if not in China then in other low-cost Asian economies like Indonesia and Vietnam.

    Third, I am not saying that our economic success depends on winning some kind of race to the bottom nor should we be engaged in one.

    Getting decent, well-paid jobs at every level is what we are aiming for.

    And I believe that’s what we can get…and that re-shoring can help.

    When mobile network company EE recently decided to move 300 call centre jobs from the Philippines to Northern Ireland, they didn’t do it because wages were lower. They did it because productivity was higher and because the company decided it would be more successful by having a more local call centre for its customers.

    And as they make this move, they aren’t just creating jobs for telephone operators.

    They are creating jobs for managers, lawyers and technicians too.

    So what I am saying is this.

    Right now, economies in Europe have a unique opportunity to accelerate this new trend of jobs coming back home.

    And we should be confident that we can do this.

    As we do so, we should never forget one of our most important strengths.

    We should never undersell the core values of our liberal democracy; the rule of law, the freedom of speech and freedom of the media, property rights and accountable institutions, all vital foundations for long-term stability and commercial success.

    But for re-shoring to happen we need to build on those foundations.

    That means settling once and for all 2 key arguments that risk undermining our competitiveness.

    First, on the overall business environment.

    And second, on the need for cheap and predictable sources of energy.

    Let me briefly take each of these in turn.

    All of us here in Davos know what it is that businesses need if they are to choose to locate in Europe. Macroeconomic stability.

    European economies with their debts and deficits under control.

    Strong finance – like that provided by the City of London.

    Consistent support for free trade – especially the vital trade deal with the US.

    And above all, we need an unashamedly pro-business regulatory environment – with labour market flexibility, low jobs taxes and a willingness to pave the way for new business and new business models.

    These are the issues our Business Task Force highlighted in their recent report – a report 7 European leaders supported late last year in Brussels.

    We are making progress in the battle for an enterprise-friendly Europe.

    The Eurozone crisis has focused governments on the need for structural reform.

    The accession to the EU of countries that experienced state socialism and the progress of sensible pro-enterprise governments.

    All these things have helped.

    But the fight is not yet won.

    There are still people who think that the key to success is ever greater social protections and more regulations.

    Some in the European Commission seem to think that if they’re not producing new regulations they’re somehow not doing their job.

    And that removing existing regulations is somehow an act of self-harm.

    While many in the European Parliament are tempted to gold plate every piece of legislation.

    Let’s be clear.

    We don’t protect workers by piling on the regulations and directives to such an extent that they become unemployable.

    We have to maintain the flexibility for companies to grow and expand.

    Incredibly complex and overwritten directives that take this flexibility away, that make life difficult for temporary workers, or that stop firms moving people between plants just mean that companies who want to re-shore will re-shore somewhere else.

    By contrast, where countries are embracing reform, new jobs are flowing.

    In the UK, BT moved 1,200 jobs back because of flexibility from the unions.

    Last year Nissan said it will invest 130 million Euros in its Barcelona plant – mainly because Spanish unions agreed to recast working conditions and allow more flexible arrangements.

    Ford, Renault and Volkswagen are similarly keen to take advantage of greater flexibility in Europe, especially southern Europe. It would be madness to stand in their way.

    The same is true of energy.

    To relocate in Europe, businesses will be encouraged by cheap and predictable sources of energy.

    Yes, we need renewables – these are a vital part of our future.

    That’s why Britain had made itself one of the best places for green investment anywhere in the world, with the world’s first dedicated green investment bank and the largest offshore wind market in the world.

    We need nuclear as part of that energy mix too.

    And I’m delighted that in Britain last year we agreed the first new nuclear build for a generation with £16 billion of investment and 25,000 new jobs.

    That will ensure safety of energy supplies.

    But we also need to explore the opportunity represented by shale gas.

    Now I understand the concerns some people have.

    We need the right regulations – such as ensuring that well casings are set at the right depths with tight seals.

    And governments need to reassure people that nothing would go ahead if there were environmental dangers.

    But if this is done properly, shale gas can actually have lower emissions than imported gas.

    This week’s announcements from the European Union represent important progress but there is still a way to go in really embracing this opportunity.

    We should be clear that if the European Union or its member states impose burdensome, unjustified or premature regulatory burdens on shale gas exploration in Europe investors will quickly head elsewhere.

    Oil and gas will still be plentifully produced, but Europe will be dry.

    Just look at what shale gas has done for America – for American firms and American jobs.

    It has reduced industrial gas prices in America to about one quarter of those in Europe and it’s set to create a million more manufacturing jobs as firms build new factories.

    A recent study suggests that US GDP is going to be to on average close to half a trillion dollars higher every year between 2008 and 2035 because of shale.

    The Confederation of British Industry and Business Europe are coming together to launch a “Blueprint for Industrial Competitiveness”.

    Their message is clear.

    Act now to seize the opportunities of re-shoring.

    Deal with our debts. Roll back the unnecessary regulation. And embrace the opportunities of shale gas.

    Business is making the case.

    Please don’t hold back in telling Europe’s governments what we need to do.

    European countries face a choice.

    If we act now we can ensure our businesses, our peoples and our societies can benefit from the next phases of globalisation.

    The security, stability and peace of mind that those we serve yearn for can only be delivered by facing the difficult choices. We must not fail them.

  • Vince Cable – 2014 Speech on Higher Education

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable, the Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills, at Cambridge University on 23rd April 2014.

    Cambridge contains many happy memories for me. It was here, more than 50 years ago, that I got to try my hand at acting and debating, where I first took an interest in politics and where – in hindsight – I sealed my fate by switching from natural sciences to studying economics.

    Unusually for those times – in fact, it remains unusual today – I arrived in Cambridge with a decent idea of the direction my life might have taken had I gone to college rather than university. That wasn’t because of any advice I received at school, but because my father was a factory worker turned college lecturer who taught building trades. He cared deeply about his work – and about the value of training – but he also felt deep frustration about his own thwarted educational ambitions.

    My subject this evening is the proper relationship between higher and further education. It arises from an awareness of the continuing gulf between the 2 systems, whether in terms of funding, of perceived esteem, of adequate pathways for students between the 2, of practical collaboration between HE and FE, or in terms of awareness among young people, their teachers and their parents.

    As it happens, my launch point into this subject is a speech delivered by a hero of mine while I was a student at Fitzwilliam all those years ago. Tony Crosland’s vision of social democracy, set out in ‘The Future of Socialism’, inspired my early political life – and still does, in certain respects. In April 1965, Crosland – then Secretary of State for Education and Science – spoke at Woolwich Polytechnic on the need for ‘coordinating principles and…a general conception of objectives’ for HE and FE. What’s remarkable about that speech is how much of it continues to be relevant.

    Crosland advocates a dual system of HE and FE, each with separate funding – as opposed to a unitary one in which universities sit at the top of an institutional ladder. Separation is necessary, he argues, because the ever increasing demand for vocational training cannot be fully met by universities, because a single hierarchical model inevitably diminishes the standards and self-assurance of colleges, and because FE must have capacity to be directly responsive to local and social needs.

    He also focuses on the idea of polytechnics – a small number of new institutions with a clear purpose to concentrate on higher level skills, address the needs of industry and enjoy strong links to universities. His main warning resonates as much now as it did then:

    We shall not survive in this world if we in Britain alone down-grade the non-university professional and technical sector. No other country in the Western world does so… Let us now move away from our snobbish caste-ridden hierarchical obsession with university status.

    Almost 50 years since Crosland, then, we have similar concerns. For all the changes made over the decades in between – changes to our education systems, changes to how the world operates compared to the post-war era – many of the fundamental debates are also similar: about the importance of skills to sustainable economic growth, about the value of education to individual prosperity and wellbeing.

    In particular, few people today would dissent from Crosland’s summary of what makes FE different and valuable: its “tradition of service to industry, business and the professions”; its delivery of training and qualifications required by the “all-important” technicians and managers in the UK workforce; and its courses for students supplementing their existing education or making up for missed opportunities earlier in their lives. “There are immense fields of talent and aspiration here,” he concluded. “Common justice and social need combine to demand that they should be harvested.”

    It is worth briefly recalling what happened following those earlier political interventions on skills. The response to Cherwell’s warning was the creation of Colleges of Advanced Technology, like Aston, Loughborough and Surrey – conceived to rival the likes of Zurich, Charlottenburg and MIT. The CATs were absorbed by the university system in 1961, amid concerns that they lacked access to capital and were unable to recruit the best staff while falling under local authority funding. Crosland’s polytechnics, meanwhile, were incorporated as universities under the 1992 Act – Woolwich becoming the University of Greenwich – a nationalisation prompted by aversion to the same local government as much as for reasons of education or industrial policy.

    Now, through the CATs and the polytechnics we gained some excellent universities, which brought with them genuine links to business, employer-designed degrees and strong research profiles. The polys, in particular, were pioneers in areas like sandwich courses – as Crosland noted – as well as modular courses, and they developed highly-regarded degrees in such professional disciplines as engineering, law and architecture.

    But in gaining these universities, we lost something. Our post-secondary education has become distorted. The OECD concluded that our post-secondary vocational sub-degree sector is small by international standards – probably well under 10% of the youth cohort, compared to a third of young people elsewhere. In the US, more than 20% of the workforce have a post-secondary certificate or an associate degree as their highest qualification. In Austria and German, sub-degree provision accounts for around 50% of the cohort. In South Korea, one-third of the youth cohort enters junior college on 2-year programmes of higher vocational training. Elsewhere, countries with low volumes have sought to address the problem. Sweden, for example, trebled its numbers in higher VET programmes between 2001 and 2011.

    We in England are out on a limb here – because, even Scotland has higher numbers gaining Higher National qualifications relative to bachelor degrees. It is unlikely that we have got things right and everyone else is wrong. The OECD identified a growing demand for post-secondary qualifications involving less than a bachelor’s degree. This is true for our labour market too. Employers in key sectors such as engineering and IT consistently tell me that they need workers with strong technical knowledge and skills – an area where the polytechnics excelled.

    In a number of areas, technical skills shortages threatens to constrain growth. Our economy requires 830,000 new engineers over the next 8 years – purely to replace workers reaching retirement. The same thing is happening in the nuclear industry, where more than two-thirds of skilled workers are set to retire in the next decade. And in IT, more than two-thirds of employers report a lack of software engineers, which is hindering product development.

    So clearly, there has been a hollowing out of our post-secondary provision.

    Make no mistake. Our HE system is a great success, the engine behind the most productive research base in the G8. Despite growing competition, the UK still ranks first or second globally at research in most disciplines. UK HE output was more than £73 billion in 2011 to 2012, providing more than 750,000 full-time jobs. This equates to 2.8% of GDP – up from 2.3% in 2007 to 2008. Thanks to the funding reforms introduced, university finances have been put on a stable long-term footing – meaning increased resources for teaching and increased support for students from disadvantaged backgrounds. I have been particularly pleased to see applications from people from disadvantaged backgrounds reach record levels, and for English 18-year-olds in general, despite the declining demographics of that group, as well as recovery in the past year in applications from mature students.

    There’s also much to be proud of in FE. We are on target to support 2 million apprentices over this Parliament. Colleges currently educate around 177,000 students at higher levels – offering many people the chance to live and study locally, and on a flexible, part-time basis. And, in a major success for our international education strategy, UK education providers have just won 4 contracts worth £850 million to establish 12 technical and vocational training colleges in Saudi Arabia. There is also plenty of innovative provision: the construction school at Hull college, which I visited last year, whose apprentices refurbish derelict housing to provide accommodation for families on low incomes; the Aviation Academy at Leeds Bradford International Airport, offering qualifications from Level 2 diplomas to a BSc in air transport management; Gateshead College’s simulated work facility located on-site at Nissan.

    When I came into office in 2010, the one specific spending cut already pencilled in was for FE and training. While it didn’t make us popular, our decision to reform HE funding has not only strengthened the position of universities but – just as important, it freed up resources to support priority areas in FE such as basic skills and apprenticeships. We have also invested in the FE estate to the tune of almost £1.7 billion, enabling over 1,000 constructions and refurbishment projects across the country worth over £2.5 billion.

    Nevertheless, serious weaknesses remain. High-level vocational training has fallen through the gap between our HE and FE systems, as I’ve already highlighted; relative to other countries, we are way behind where we need to be. Beyond that, it has to be said that funding for colleges, unlike that for universities, has shrunk. Allocations to colleges will have fallen by nearly a fifth in real terms by the end of this Parliament, while learner numbers have stayed near constant. Moreover, our further education system has become concentrated at low levels of training. For adults, the FE that government supports is geared more to addressing failures of the school system than meeting the requirements of employers. In such circumstances, it is far harder to, in Crosland’s words, “achieve the diversity in higher education which contemporary society needs.” Nor can we sensibly hope to achieve greater parity of esteem between HE and FE if students in the respective systems don’t enjoy parity in terms of resources.

    So what should we do? I want to suggest a number of ways forward – some new, others already in train.

    First, we need to fill that high-level vocational gap. Today, I want to set out the vision for a new generation of National Colleges: specialised institutions, acting as national centres of expertise, in key areas of the economy. They will be employer-focused, and combine academic knowledge with practical application.

    We have already announced funding for 2 of these institutions. One is associated with High Speed 2, and will meet the needs of this major project as well as the wider rail industry. The other is the training facility – receiving £18 million of public investment – that’s destined for the Manufacturing Technology Centre in Coventry, where apprentices will get to qualify as incorporated engineers, there will opportunities for international secondments and progression to full degrees, and engineering graduates will earn chartered status.

    In the near future, we will be publishing a National Colleges launch document, where we will invite employers in other key sectors to approach us with their ideas. Where there is evidence of a shortage in higher vocational skills, and employers are willing to invest time and resources to address it, then the government will invest alongside you. We want to hear from interested employers and we aim to announce the next set of National Colleges by the end of the year.

    A second means to tackle the shortage of higher vocational skills is already available. Higher apprenticeships are an important solution to the sub-degree gap, and there are already some superb schemes, for which entry is as competitive as getting into Cambridge. Rolls Royce higher apprenticeships in engineering, for instance, take nearly 4 years and include degrees from the University of Warwick. Apprentices at Jaguar Land Rover can expect to be earning around £32,000 by the time they finish their course; they also collect a Warwick degree.

    The kind of programme, including a sponsored degree, has huge advantages both for employers (who gain staff with theoretical as well as practical knowledge tailored to their specific needs) and for individuals (who gain a career-focused degree, earn good money while they study and graduate free without student loans).

    Previous governments did not support this route effectively. Higher apprenticeship funding is difficult to claim and poorly administered. We are changing that by routing funding directly to employers, enabling them to purchase training for degree-level apprenticeships. In future, such apprenticeships can include full undergraduate and masters degrees, funded through employer and government co-investment.

    This is an essential step to making higher apprenticeships the norm rather than a niche in the overall skills programme – making it as plausible to complete a degree via an apprenticeship as to go to university for 3 years. This is a huge opportunity for universities, who think of their customers in terms of employers as well as individuals. Doing so can attract significant investment, as well as introducing cutting-edge practice into their degree programmes – as Warwick has done.

    Third, we need to trust FE institutions more. In overseas vocational systems, colleges have the power, like UK universities, to devise their own programmes and award their own qualifications. But in England, colleges are obliged to teach curricula handed to them by external awarding bodies, leaving little room to tailor provision to the needs of students or of their potential (or actual) employers. We need colleges with the power to decide what to teach and how. National Colleges will be able to do precisely that – setting the standards for their own qualifications, which other colleges will also be able to offer.

    We want excellent existing colleges to set their own qualifications too – and to be able to validate the programmes of their peers. For example, Sir Tim Wilson recommended that when the opportunity to legislate arises, we should allow colleges with foundation degree awarding powers to accredit other foundation degree programmes. I agree with him.

    This improving agenda cannot be restricted just to the higher levels of FE. Crosland was absolutely right when he insisted that “common justice and social need combine to demand” that the talents and aspirations of all students be nurtured and advanced, whether they seek professional careers, middle manager roles or to develop more basic skills. The Education and Training Foundation is a new body created and led by the sector itself to raise standards across the sector. It will be supporting implementation of the recommendations of Frank McLoughlin and his Commission on Adult Vocational Teaching and Learning. They include making sure that vocational programmes involve meaningful work placements and that there is proper employer representation on the governing bodies of colleges and training providers. We have also introduced a range of interventions to address poor quality, including a stronger process led by the FE Commissioner to ensure that rapid and robust action is taken to remedy poor performance in FE.

    I should add, in passing, that we will not compromise on quality in HE either – where, for example, we are requiring all alternative providers to have existing courses independently assured and their management and financial sustainability scrutinised. As recipients of public funding via their students, we have also asked alternative providers to join HESA and provide information on what they provide for those students.

    Next, we recognise that unlike HE students, FE students are not eligible for maintenance loans and grants. FE students normally study close to home, reliant on parental support and/or substantial amounts of paid part-time work. In many cases, parental support is limited; FE students typically come from low-income backgrounds. But, as FE becomes more specialised, we may need to think about provision for students studying for high level qualifications who may need to relocate to be close to national centres of expertise. This, along with the other points I have raised today, is an area that I think will require further investigation in the future.

    Fifth, we need colleges and universities to work more closely together: to facilitate progression between FE and HE; to provide a coherent educational offer locally; to work with Local Enterprise Partnerships so that their growth plans can proceed with the skills elements in place. I know that this happens here and there. City and Islington College has strong progression pathways enabling students to go on to prestigious degrees, including medicine. Coventry University has set up Coventry University College, focused on sub-degree provision. Teesside is also ahead of the game, with a partnership between Teesside University and the Tees Valley further education colleges of some 20 years’ standing. It guarantees FE students a place on a degree programme once they’ve completed an Access to Higher Education Diploma. The Tees Valley LEP is now establishing a specialist STEM centre with the university and Middlesbrough College, supported by a £6.5 million grant from the Skills Funding Agency. I want to see far more initiatives of this kind arising from local recognition of local need.

    Sixth, and finally, I come back to the slippery issue of esteem. Our stated goal is for people to regard academic and vocational routes to higher educational attainment as equally valid – and for higher level qualifications, academic and vocational to be of equal prestige. This will continue to be an uphill battle. I recently heard of a school’s astonishment when it learnt that one of its pupils opted to undertake a degree level apprenticeship at a leading employer rather than go to Oxbridge.

    We urgently need balanced careers advice, with schools as conscious and supportive of vocational opportunities as academic ones. There’s still a lingering view in this country that apprenticeships are for people who don’t make it to university. This is wrong, and is would be met with bewilderment in other countries. We should be clear that there are degree- and masters- level apprenticeships, which are just as rigorous as degrees studied in the traditional way – and deliver equally good (or better) career prospects.

    The Department for Education is developing a common application portal so that 16-year-olds can see to see the full range of options available to them. Similarly, if we are to have credible, high-level vocational programmes – which are a legitimate and equally prestigious alternative to the traditional undergraduate route – older school leavers should be able to consider them alongside university options. We already have a well-recognised and effective system for applying to university through UCAS, which operates independently of government. What is less well known is that UCAS also acts as a portal for candidates applying to study Higher National Certificates and Higher National Diplomas, including at FE Colleges. I have asked my department to work with UCAS to examine the scope for integrating higher level apprenticeships into their services.

    In sum, this is a challenge where we must be both determined and patient. Over time, as the funding changes I’ve outlined boost the volume of higher apprenticeships sufficiently for them to become mainstream, they – and other options – should be seen as an increasingly attractive rival to the university degree.

    My purpose here is most certainly not to shift attention away from higher education in this country. Our system is outstanding, and I want as many people to benefit from it as possible, once they have the appropriate qualifications. We have lifted number controls on universities, because it is good for individual opportunity and it is good for growth. But by tackling the sub-degree gap, by improving funding mechanisms, by changing popular attitudes, we can broaden choice for people and for the businesses who need capable staff.

    Our HE and FE systems both have critical roles. Over the past half century, though, we have been more in thrall to the admirable vision of Lionel Robbins than we have to the equally pertinent vision of Tony Crosland. HE has grown in scale and prestige far ahead of FE, with adverse consequences. It is time to create the conditions whereby HE and FE can both fulfil their respective missions for the people of this country, and better combine to achieve shared national goals.

  • Vince Cable – 2014 Speech on the Economics of Integration

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable, the Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills, at the opening of the Catapult Centre for Offshore Renewable Energy Technology on 13th March 2014.

    I am delighted to be back in Glasgow. And to be able to combine my job as Secretary of State – formally opening the Catapult Centre for Offshore Renewable Energy Technology at Strathclyde – with a visit to the university where I taught economics 4 decades ago, and to which I owe a great deal.

    I am also here, in my UK ministerial role, to listen to and also represent the views of business. And since I am in Scotland I will engage with the issue of independence. Whatever view we might take on this issue, the question of existing political and economic arrangements is casting a blight over business investment and jobs at a time when the UK is seeking to build on the signs of recovery.

    When I was at this university, I divided my working time between teaching and research (and, also, a large amount of time helping to run the city in the Labour council group). My research earned me a PhD, but it was somewhat esoteric and was probably only ever read by a handful of people. Nevertheless, putting aside the fancy equations which I introduced in order to impress the thesis examiners, I was dealing with a subject highly relevant today: the economics of integration. Indeed, we are now dealing with the economics of disintegration.

    Before I address that issue it is worth mentioning that I was financed then, as most university researchers are today, by a UK research council. Scottish research universities receive about 13% of the total pot, which is a reflection of the high quality of research conducted here: way beyond Scotland’s 8% share of the UK population. I don’t know how many academics in Scotland have registered that this money would not be there after independence.

    The exam question I set myself then was: what are the benefits and costs of integrating countries through regional common markets or similar arrangements? At the time, the early success of the European Union was inspiring countries in other parts of the world to copy its example – in Africa, Asia, the Middle East and Latin America, where I chose my case studies. The big lesson in hindsight is that economic integration has proved much harder than the theory suggested and has made little progress, with the exception of the North American Free Trade Area. The European model of integration has proved almost unique and is far too easily taken for granted.

    Much the same applies to union between states of the kind achieved between England and Scotland in 1707 and maintained since. A good pub quiz question is: which countries have successfully and voluntarily merged since the Second World War? Tanganyika and Zanzibar? Perhaps. German reunification? But many multinational states have fractured: Pakistan, Yugoslavia, the Soviet Union, the United Arab Republic, Ethiopia, Sudan and Czechoslovakia. With the exception of the last, break up was violent or followed by violence. Please don’t take that as a warning about the UK. Yet experience does tell us that, in economies and politics as well as in relationships, divorce is invariably messy and painful and can be vicious. There are inevitable quarrels about borders, the allocation of oil and other natural resources, assets and debts, population movements and new citizenship definitions, rights and obligations. We should not underestimate the extent of goodwill required to achieve a velvet divorce. History teaches us that it is easier to break countries apart than to unify them – and the UK is an unusual and, I believe, a rather precious creation.

    The central issue which my own research addressed was how to maintain regional (or national) integration in the face of persistent inequalities and imbalances. There is a theory of agglomeration, or ‘growth poles’, which suggests that, in the absence of strong corrective action, integration can lead to the polarisation of benefits. The European Union has been successful in narrowing such imbalances – labour migration being one important mechanism – though the current experience of some South European Eurozone countries vis-à-vis Germany may test that claim to destruction. And at a national level, a combination of regional policy, transfer payments and devolved government is recognised to be necessary to keep centrifugal forces in check.

    There is an argument to the effect that London and the South East of England act as a destabilising source of imbalance in the UK. I have described London as a big suction machine. While this may be an issue between parts of North and South of England, it is not, however, obviously an issue between England and Scotland since Scotland has an employment rate of 73%, the highest country within the UK, and output per capita has been close to the UK average since the 1990s.

    Ironically the issue of Scottish independence has surfaced as the economies have been converging, not diverging. There was a better basis for arguing that Scotland, especially the area formerly known as Clydesdale, experienced structural, disadvantage a generation ago. This was essentially the case I argued in the Red Papers for Scotland (edited by Gordon Brown), in which I contributed a piece arguing for radical devolution including home rule, an idea which was deeply unfashionable at the time. One creative outcome was a proposal which was worked up by a group of us – Glasgow University academics and politicians – which became the blueprint for the Scottish Development Agency, now Scottish Enterprise. It has served Scotland well over more than 3 decades, operating within the UK under different governments.

    However, I have come to bring these issues up to date, not reminisce. There has been an exchange of reports by the UK and Scottish governments on the potential consequences of Scottish independence. I don’t just want to rehash the arguments but point to evidence on some of the main issues which have surfaced: the viability of continued monetary union; the likely trajectory of Scotland’s public finances; and the economic value to Scotland and the rest of the UK of the UK Single Market.

    The issue of currency union is proving to be critical and the debate has been given non-partisan clarity by the Governor of the Bank of England. There are three currency options open to an independent Scotland; sterlingisation, adopting the euro and having an independent currency. However, the Scottish Government continues to propose the option of forming a sterling currency union.

    Governor Carney has spelt out the essential preconditions for a successful, continued currency. It requires both high degrees of banking and fiscal integration of the sort we have now but that independence would fracture. An integrated financial sector requires a banking union such that any Scottish-based bank would have to be subject to UK-level financial regulation. Even then, UK tax payers would be exposed to external (Scottish) financial risks.

    A further condition is fiscal integration, both to underpin the banking union and to mitigate the risk of Scotland borrowing in sterling at low interest rates and accumulating debt leading to default. Were Scotland to find itself with large debt and high interest rates, markets would doubt the durability of union, leading to politically challenging austerity or break up. The Eurozone crisis is a cautionary tale about the conditions required for successful monetary union which have a direct bearing on Scotland.

    To meet these conditions would mean that Scottish independence would be highly circumscribed. Moreover, the UK government, including my colleague the Chief Secretary to the Treasury and the Shadow Chancellor have made it clear that it would not wish to be part of such a currency union with the risks and obligations involved. In the event of independence there will not be a currency union. The only way to keep the UK pound is to stay in the UK – that is part of the choice that people in Scotland are being asked to make. And this fact requires the campaigners for independence to have a plan b.

    One possible plan b is a variant of monetary union which does not require the active cooperation of the continuing UK: so called ‘dollarization’. Several countries – Panama, El Salvador and Ecuador – have adopted the US dollar as their currency, as did Argentina before the arrangements collapsed. Hong Kong operates a currency board, which is similar to dollarization. Angus Armstrong has done some analysis of the option of sterlingisation for Scotland within the UK. He identifies the key challenge as the ability to offer lender of last resort facilities to financial institutions. Hong Kong does so to some degree but has fiscal reserves (accumulated surpluses) of 30% of GDP and $300 billion of foreign exchange reserves. Denmark has an analogous arrangement in relation to the Euro, as does Montenegro; but they do not have a significant banking sector.

    Scotland, in contrast, would almost certainly start life as an independent country with a substantially more challenging financial position. It is simply not in a position to offer a credible facility and this applies in particular to Scottish banks which have assets totalling around 1,250% of an independent Scotland’s GDP The jibe about a small country with a big bank attached has practical consequences. The inevitable consequence, now being openly talked about, is that large financial institutions would decamp to the continuing UK. Leaving foreign banks operating on a branch basis and losing Scotland its invisible earnings from financial services. The recent comments from Standard Life and Alliance Trust predicting an exit from Scotland suggests that they have come to the same conclusion. Just as worrying is the fact that RBS and Lloyds (which incorporates the Bank of Scotland) have had to enter Scottish independence in their risk registers.

    Academic analysis of the currency union options leads to the clear conclusion – spelt out by Armstrong and Ebell – that a separate currency for an independent Scotland could be the best option. But this would inevitably lead to a disruption of trade and capital flows within the British Isles and a long term divergence between Scotland and the continuing UK.

    The second, associated issue relates to the fiscal challenges of an independent Scotland. Here, we need good analysis which takes us beyond the simple caricatures of public debate. In that debate, Alex Salmond argues that freed of the yoke of the UK, and with a freedom to utilise 90% of North Sea oil revenue, Scotland could become a new Norway: a land of milk and honey with Scandinavian public services and American taxes. The opposite caricature is that Scotland has been shielded from fiscal reality by the munificence of tax payers in the English Home Counties (via the Barnett formula) and is living beyond its means.

    The future fiscal position of an independent Scotland hinges on 2 main uncertainties. The first relates to oil and gas revenues. These depend primarily on price, which is volatile and over which the Scottish Government has no control, and volumes which can be influenced positively by a favourable tax regime for exploration and production – though at the expense of short-term revenue. The reality is that the North Sea oilfields are way past their production peak and will deplete further over future decades. Forty years ago, “It’s Scotland’s oil” was quite an attractive slogan. But we are not living 40 years ago and the balance of advantage has changed. Costs are rising in more challenging deep water drilling and in accessing residual deposits in depleted fields.

    The Scottish government is using very optimistic scenarios in which oil and gas prices are sufficiently strong to maintain fiscal stability post independence, at least in the short term, and the Scottish Government has unsurprisingly promoted them. However, that does not mean they are likely, let alone credible, and there are independent estimates of oil revenues by the IFS and the OBR which are significantly more pessimistic. McLaren and Armstrong conclude that plausible projections of North Sea oil related tax are less than the likely Barnett transfer and that the proposed oil fund is “unaffordable” with spending cuts required instead. Yesterday’s Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland statistics showed the Scottish fiscal position now weaker than the rest of the UK, and oil and gas revenues are set to fall in the coming years.

    The fiscal position is also complicated by the demographics of Scotland, which has a smaller working age population as Scotland ages faster.

    Taking all the long-term structural factors together, Crawford and Tetlow at the IFS conclude that an independent Scotland would need to make permanent tax rises or spending cuts of over 4% per year to deal with these challenges, compared with 0.8% for the UK as a whole.

    The third area of concern relates to the benefit of the British single market. This takes me back to the benefits of integration and the corresponding costs of disintegration. The benefits include freedom to trade in general and in particular for Scottish companies which sell 70% of their exports to the rest of the UK; the benefit of common standards and regulation and tax in reducing business costs; the benefits of scale and network externalities from shared services (road, rail, aviation, the Royal Mail, the Post Office Network) for some of which – like mail delivery – Scotland enjoys substantial cross-subsidy. Last week the Western link interconnector was launched, cementing Britain’s internal energy market, to the considerable advantage of Scotland’s renewable sector. And, or course, the UK Green Investment Bank is head-quartered in Scotland, based in Edinburgh.

    The obvious question is: what is the counterfactual? No doubt many business functions could go on as before. We do not know, and that in itself is a source of uncertainty. The Scottish Government’s wish to create its own regulatory system; the commitment to renationalise Royal Mail in Scotland; potential problems with diverging VAT rates and a separate currency: all will reduce transactions and the benefit of integration. Some of the divergence would be limited by common adherence to EU Single Market rules, but the terms on which Scotland may be able to negotiate its way back into the EU remain unclear.

    The most well known example of this effect is trade between the US and Canada. The research shows that after controlling for the effects of differences in regional incomes and distance between the various regions in the two countries, Canadian provinces traded around more with each other than with US states of a similar size and proximity.

    All of these factors, taken together, suggest significant business costs, or at least uncertainties, around the economics of Scotland’s independence – with corresponding implications for jobs. What, however, matters more than politicians’ interpretations of the evidence is the reaction from business. A growing list are now stating their intention to consider relocating from Scotland in the event of independence: financial services companies worried about future regulatory safeguards (Standard Life, the Alliance Trust in Dundee); multinational companies concerned about the costs of maintaining separate head office operations and the business environment more generally (BP and Shell); Clydeside military shipbuilding; Scottish companies concerned about the overall impact on investment and competitiveness like Aggreko and the Weir Group, which first spoke up two years ago. Some business surveys suggest that a third or more of firms may consider moving, and 65% of FTSE 100 companies have been negative about the impact of independence on business.

    I recognise that the decision, at the end of the day, involves emotional issues as well as rational calculation of gain and loss. There is a deep pride here and it is foolish for critics of independence to suggest that Scotland could not survive on its own and manage its own affairs. And having lived here, I am well aware of Scotland’s sense of national pride and identity – though this has been amply expressed through law, education, culture and sport within the UK. I discovered when I lived here that there were few more lonely experiences than being an Englishman on the terraces at Hampden Park during an England versus Scotland football international (now, sadly, discontinued). All the same, I don’t want to see Scotland leave the UK family.

    But there is also a steady growth in what I call ‘multiple identity’: people who are entirely comfortable as – say – Glaswegians, Scots, British and Europeans. I look at my own family. I have 2 Scottish children, born here; a Scottish step daughter and 3 step grandchildren; a large family of Indian in-laws of various nationalities; 2 separate families of Hungarian in laws, 1 from Dundee; and a dozen or so nieces and nephews of mostly mixed parentage. The era of exclusive identity is over.

  • Vince Cable – 2014 Mansion House Speech

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable, the Business Secretary, at the Mansion House in London on 6th March 2014.

    My Lord Mayor, ladies and gentlemen, it is a pleasure to speak once again to this distinguished and important annual gathering. Some of you may not regard that as a bonus, but even those of you who aren’t fans of mine will, I hope, acknowledge the merits of stability and of continuity in carrying through some pretty radical reforms.

    Coalition achievements

    And there have been massive challenges. In the wake of the financial crisis, BIS has had to do a lot more with a lot less – 28% less, to be precise. When I and my team came into the department, it had undergone 4 name changes in 3 years and its future was in doubt.

    But in 4 years we have carried through, successfully:

    – a massive reform of university finance

    – revived and dramatically expanded apprenticeships

    – redrawn the landscape for local growth and business support

    – intervened on a large scale to address the critical problems of business finance through the British Business Bank, start up loans, the Green Investment Bank, supply chain finance, the Regional Growth Fund and a new vehicle for export finance

    – floated Royal Mail and modernised the Post Office

    – rolled out German-style innovation centres, Catapults, to bring the best of British science into business applications

    – established effective shareholder control over executive pay

    – modernised intellectual property law

    – pursued radical deregulation

    – created an industrial strategy designed to create a long-term framework for public- private partnership in key sectors like motor vehicles, aerospace, creative industries and energy.

    Only time will tell how useful these interventions have been, but I don’t think we can be faulted for lack of vigour or commitment.

    By achieving so much, we have also demonstrated that parties can work together in the national interest. I don’t pull my punches in public debate – nor do some of my Conservative colleagues. But when we come into work, we do so as a team to deliver results for business and for the country.

    We have a recovery – a private-sector-led recovery – which vindicates the difficult decisions we have had to make. The question now is whether this recovery is balanced and sustainable.

    Business lending

    I see two main dangers. The first I have spoken about at each of these annual events: the continuing problems for business, especially small and medium-sized companies, caused by restrictions on access to finance in the wake of the banking crisis. Net lending to SMEs from banks involved in the 1-year extension to Funding for Lending declined by £1.3 billion in between the second and fourth quarters last year, and yet net lending to households from the banks increased by £16 billion over that period. This is utterly perverse. The mortgage surge is fuelling a housing price boom in London and the South East; the SME lending squeeze is impeding recovery in business investment, exports and in the productive, real economy. Fortunately, the Governor of the Bank of England is alert to the house price danger, and I am confident that action will be taken to stop another damaging property bubble. On SME lending, I am confident that refocusing the Funding for Lending Scheme onto business lending, and the measures we are taking via increased competition and Business Bank funding will bear fruit: promoting new challenger banks and new kinds of lending like crowd funding, and creating incentives for risk capital. So, there is still a serious problem on business lending, but it has been recognised.

    Skills

    Let me focus instead on my other worry: skills. It has long been accepted that Britain has a skills problem: shortages of engineers, computer scientists, people in the building trades and specialists of all kinds. A distorted finance-based boom sucked too many of our best mathematicians and engineers into investment banking. The recession has made the problem worse by making some valuable skills redundant. There are far too many badly needed craftsmen driving taxis or selling insurance.

    I want to major on this subject tonight partly because I am sharing speaking duties with Sir Mike Rake. Under Mike, the apprenticeship programme at BT has become one of the most prestigious and sought-after training schemes anywhere. It proves that when practical training is delivered in the right way, the latent snobbery surrounding academic versus vocational simply evaporates. I hope and trust you all noticed that this is National Apprenticeship Week.

    Skills and training has too often been a boring, bland subject dominated by worthy anoraks. No longer. The young people leaving school this year can expect to be in the labour market for another 50 years. How do we equip them with the skills that will enable them to thrive over a half century? As well as the longevity of working life, consider the technological changes they are bound to encounter over that time.

    There are some big and controversial dividing lines, and I want to confront them this evening.

    Careers advice

    The first is the poor quality of schools careers advice. In a CBI survey of young people last November, 93% said that they lacked the necessary information to make informed choices – highlighting a particular problem with inadequate or non-existent advice on vocational options; just 26% were told about apprenticeships, only 17% on vocational qualifications.

    Successive governments have failed to grasp this issue properly. Teachers are overwhelmingly graduates. They know about the world of GCSEs, A Levels universities and UCAS points – and will invariably point clever and highly motivated children in that direction. Too few schools understand or value vocational skills qualifications or the needs of teenagers looking for work or work experience and lacking work readiness: the 60% who don’t go to university. Many schools simply ignore careers advice altogether. This must change. I want to see more projects like the brilliant Job Junction being piloted in Burnley and the Black Country borough of Sandwell – where mock job centres are established in collaboration with local business, advertising and explaining real jobs in schools and promoting awareness of a wide variety of vocational careers. I also welcomed Nick Clegg’s speech last week supporting tougher Ofsted scrutiny of schools’ performance on careers guidance.

    Protecting further education and training

    We must also address the level of government support for vocational education and training, and the further and adult education sector. Every conversation I have in government on spending priorities starts with the line, “Do you want to take money from universities and undergraduates or from training and further education to achieve your spending cuts?” It is a horribly 1-sided debate. Almost all the mandarins are graduates – mostly Russell Group graduates. So are cabinet ministers, MPs, journalists and TV producers, business chiefs and – I suspect – most people in this room. Top people who started their careers on the shop floor tend to be treated as anthropological curiosities – like tribesmen discovered in the Amazonian rain forest. I only know about that exotic world because my father was a factory worker turned FE college lecturer who taught building trades – and cared passionately about training.

    When I came into office, the one specific spending cut already pencilled in was for FE and training. I am proud of the fact that I and my ministerial team resisted the easy option and reformed university financing instead. It didn’t make us popular on the streets, but it has strengthened HE and, just as important, freed up resources to support apprenticeships and training in general. As a result, the Prime Minister was able to say on Tuesday that we are on target to support two million apprentices over this Parliament.

    I hope business will engage with the skills agenda. Our reforms mean that employers are now setting apprenticeship standards and shaping qualifications; yesterday we de-funded 5,000 qualifications that employers do not value. Business will soon be directly funded to buy training for their apprentices. By getting involved, business can ensure that future governments do not sacrifice investment in upcoming generations to make cosmetic short-term improvements in the public finances.

    Immigration

    Third, we cannot duck the issue of immigration. As industry leaders like James Dyson have pointed out, it is all very well ministers and others promising to emphasise engineering in schools, but business cannot afford to wait years for the specialists they need and which they can currently only obtain internationally. Business cannot understand why outstanding Chinese and Indian students who graduate from British universities with valuable skills can’t stay on and pursue their careers in British business.

    I am well aware that this issue is politically toxic. Those of us who put our heads above the parapet and point out the positives of immigrant workers and students need a tin hat and as gas mask. And I am well aware that were it not for the freedom of speech accorded by being in a coalition government, I would long since have been despatched to an unmarked political grave for daring to say so.

    I start from a fairly simple, basic economic proposition embedded in the EU Single Market: free trade: the free movement of goods, services and labour – is good. This is particularly true about the free movement of people bringing skills in demand. The scientific community understands this well. The spread of ideas across borders needs people to be able to move smoothly. But they’re not the only ones. Discussing America’s treatment of overseas students, for example, Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg has said:

    “In a knowledge economy the most important resources are the talented people we educated and attract to our country. Why do we kick out more than 40% of maths and science graduate students after educating them?”

    He could have been speaking about the UK as well.

    The most commonly expressed public concern is that people who come here to work somehow take away work from local workers. Net immigration rose significantly last year, but of the increase in net employment, most of it – nearly 90% – benefited UK nationals.

    Somehow, many of the same people believe that migrants come here to sponge off our wonderfully generous welfare system or free ride on the NHS – presumably when they’re not working. Once again, while there will always be stories to titillate the tabloids, facts are thin on the ground – though we do know that fewer than 3% of migrants to the UK claim Jobseeker’s Allowance. There are a host of reasons to be a tourist to the UK, but its benefits system is not one of them. And we are tightening the rules.

    I know this audience understands how openness fuelled our economic success historically. The City’s greatest entrepreneurs – the Rothschilds, Warburgs, Cazenoves – were immigrants. We still have a lot to offer: a strong advanced manufacturing sector, unbeatable professional business services, a higher education sector that remains the envy of the world, cutting edge science. And we have an industrial strategy that will reinforce and build on these positives. But none of these advantages can be fully exploited if we put up a sign saying ‘Closed for business’.

    Getting the facts right

    There are, of course, public concerns which elected politicians have to treat with respect. I don’t think anyone is arguing for unrestricted immigration – in particular of unskilled labour. There are abuses that have to be dealt with. And borders need to be properly policed. But we just have to stop treating people coming to work here as if they are a problem. We need to kill the scare stories.

    A digest of evidence, the subject of some publicity over the past few days, confirms that migrants workers do not, overall, displace UK workers.

    I appreciate that there are particular concerns over EU migrants, who enjoy freedom of movement. There are about 1.5 million EU migrants employed in the UK (and 2.3 million altogether), making up roughly 5% of the UK workforce. Meanwhile, around 2.2 million UK nationals live elsewhere in the EU – an important reminder that migration is far from a 1-way street. Moreover, British citizens returning to live in the UK have, on average, made up around 15% of immigration inflows over the last 5 years.

    A marked reduction in immigration from the EU would mean, as the OBR have confirmed, an increase in the budget deficit and a much slower reduction in public debt. The same is true of overseas students who pay full market tuition fees, cross-subsidise British students and help to keep our universities financially viable.

    Bearing down on economic migration is a clear example of a restriction on trade. In medieval times, guilds used to prevent travelling artisans from plying their trade outside their native area, with a deadening effect on competition and innovation. What was true then is true now. Bear down on immigrants, and you lose some of the most dynamic, innovative and imaginative workers in your economy. The costs are huge. In a report last year, the Centre for Economics and Business Research estimated that an EU-exit scenario with tighter migration controls would cost the country £60 billion a year at current prices.

    Conclusion

    I know from experience that these arguments are difficult on the doorstep, where – after years of pressure on living standards and worries about jobs and housing – immigration is deeply unpopular. But the answer I give, plagiarising my predecessor Lord Mandelson, is that I am “intensely relaxed” about people coming to work and study here and bringing necessary skills to Britain – provided that they pay their taxes and pay their way. And, actually, if you survey the public on migrants who learn English, work hard and pay taxes, you find – as the think tank British Future did in exploring attitudes to Bulgarian and Romanian migrants – that 72% believe we should welcome them.

    Lower the temperature of the immigration debate, and we can create greater room to discuss the more significant, more challenging and more provocative issues around skills. That is where our long-term interests really lie.

    Thank you for listening. I hope you enjoy the rest of the evening.

  • Andy Burnham – 2014 Speech on the NHS

    andyburnham

    Below is the text of the speech made by Andy Burnham, the Shadow Secretary of State for Health, in Birmingham on 3rd February 2014.

    Thank you all for coming today.

    It’s a sign of how much we value the NHS that you have taken time to come along this morning.

    In February 2012, the battle over the Government’s proposed reorganisation was reaching its peak.

    There were claims and counter-claims about what it would all mean.

    Now, two years on, it’s time to assess what has happened in the two years since and the overall state of the NHS today as we head towards a General Election which will determine its future.

    My conclusion is this: the NHS has never been in a more dangerous position than it is right now, and the evidence for that is the relentless pressure in A&E.

    The last 12 months have been the worst year in at least a decade in A&E with almost a million people waiting more than four hours.

    A&E is the barometer of the whole health and care system and it is telling us that this is a system in distress with severe storms ahead.

    A reorganisation which knocked the NHS to the floor, depleted its reserves, has been followed by a brutal campaign of running it down.

    It looks to many that the NHS is being softened up for privatisation which, all along, was the real purpose of the reorganisation.

    Things can’t go on like this. It’s time to raise the alarm about what is happening to the NHS and build a campaign for change.

    The tragedy is that the Government can’t say they weren’t warned.

    Even at the eleventh hour, doctors, nurses, midwives and health workers from across the NHS were lining up in their thousands and pleading with the Prime Minister to call off his reorganisation.

    Why?

    Because they could see the danger of throwing everything up in the air in the midst of the biggest financial challenge in the history of the NHS.

    But David Cameron would not listen. He ploughed on regardless.

    It was a cavalier act of supreme arrogance.

    As the dust settles on this biggest-ever reorganisation, the damage it has done is becoming clear.

    The NHS in 2014 is demoralised, degraded and confused.

    The last two years have been two lost years of drift.

    Even now, people are unsure who is responsible for what.

    Two years of drift when the NHS needed clarity.

    And what was it all for?

    The Government hasn’t even achieved its supposed main goal of putting doctors in charge.

    CCGs are not the powerhouse we were promised.

    Instead, the NHS is even more ‘top-down’ than it was before, with an all-powerful NHS England calling the shots.

    Just look at Lewisham.

    When local GPs opposed plans to downgrade their hospital, the Secretary of State fought them all the way to the High Court.

    So much for letting GPs decide.

    Now the Secretary of State wants sweeping powers to close any hospital in the land without local support. Labour will oppose him all the way.

    And the specific warnings Labour made ahead of the reorganisation have come to pass.

    First, we said it would lead to a loss of focus on finance and a waste of NHS resources.

    An outrageous £3 billion and counting has been siphoned out of the front-line to pay for back-office restructuring – £1.4 billion of it on redundancies alone.

    Just as we warned, thousands of people have been sacked and rehired – 3,200 to be precise.

    One manager given a pay-off of £370,000 – and last week we learn he never actually left the health service.

    It is a scandalous waste of money and simply not justifiable when almost one in three NHS trusts in England are predicting an end-of-year deficit.

    Cameron promised he would not cut the NHS but that is precisely what is happening across the country as trusts now struggle to balance the books.

    2,300 six-figure pay outs for managers; P45s for thousands of nurses – that’s the NHS under Cameron.

    What clearer sign could there be of a Government with its NHS priorities all wrong?

    Second, Labour warned that the reorganisation would result in a postcode lottery.

    Last week, a poll of GPs found that seven out of 10 believe rationing of care has increased since the reorganisation.

    NICE has warned that patients are no longer receiving the drugs they are entitled to and has even taken the unusual step of urging them to speak up.

    New arbitrary, cost-based restrictions have been introduced on essential treatments such as knee, hip and cataract operations – leaving thousands of older people struggling to cope.

    Some are having to pay for treatments that are free elsewhere to people with the same need.

    Cameron’s reorganisation has corroded the N in NHS – again, just as we warned.

    Third, we warned that rhetoric about putting GPs in charge was a smokescreen and the Act was a Trojan horse for competition and privatisation.

    Can anyone now seriously dispute that?

    Last year, for the first time ever, the Competition Commission intervened in the NHS to block collaboration between two hospitals looking to improve services.

    How did it come to this, when competition lawyers, not GPs, are the real decision-makers?

    The NHS Chief Executive has complained that the NHS is now “bogged down in a morass of competition law”.

    Since April, CCGs have spent £5 million on external competition lawyers as services are forced out to tender.

    And it will come as no surprise that, since April, seven out of 10 NHS contracts have gone to the private sector.

    Who gave this Prime Minister permission to put our NHS up for sale, something which Margaret Thatcher never dared?

    The truth is that this competition regime is a barrier to the service changes that the NHS needs to make to meet the financial challenge.

    It is sheer madness to say to hospitals that they can’t collaborate or work with GPs and social care to improve care for older people because it’s “anti-competitive”.

    If we are to relieve the intense pressure on A&E, and rise to the financial challenge, it is precisely this kind of collaboration that the NHS needs.

    So the summary is this – the NHS has been laid low by the debilitating effects of reorganisation, has been distracted from front-line challenges and is now unable to make the changes it needs to make. It is a service on the wrong path, a fast-track to fragmentation and marketisation.

    It lost focus at a crucial moment – and is now struggling to catch up.

    The evidence of all this can been seen in the sustained pressure in A&E – the barometer of the NHS.

    The price we are all paying for the Prime Minister’s folly is a seemingly permanent A&E crisis.

    Hospital A&Es have now missed the Government’s own A&E target in 44 out of the last 52 weeks.

    This is unprecedented in living NHS memory – a winter and spring A&E crisis was followed by a summer and autumn crisis. The pressure has never abated.

    The reorganisation has contributed very directly to this A&E crisis.

    Three years ago, the College of Emergency Medicine were warning about a growing recruitment crisis in A&E but felt like “John the Baptist crying in the wilderness” as Ministers were obsessing on their structural reform.

    The very organisations that could have done something about it – strategic health authorities – were being disbanded. Just when forward planning was needed, we saw cuts to training posts.

    All this leaves us with an A&E crisis which gets worse and worse.

    Of the one million people who went to a hospital A&E this January, 75,000 waited longer than 4 hours to be seen.

    Of the 300,000 people admitted to hospital after going to A&E, 17,500 had to wait between 4 and 12 hours on a trolley before they were admitted.

    On one day in January, 20 patients were left on trolleys for over 12 hours.

    In the last year, ambulances have been stuck in queues outside A&E 16,000 times – leading to longer ambulance response times.

    On 92 occasions, A&E departments had to divert ambulances to neighbouring hospitals because they were so busy.

    And now the pressure from the A&E crisis is rippling through the system.

    In January, over 4,500 planned operations were cancelled – causing huge anxiety for the people affected.

    The waiting list for operations was the highest for a November in six years.

    The truth is that the Government have failed to get the A&E crisis under control and it is threatening to drag down the rest of the NHS.

    They have desperately tried to blame the last Government’s GP contract – it’s never their fault, of course – but the facts shows an exponential increase in A&E attendance since 2010.

    In the last three years of the Labour Government, attendances at A&E increased by 16,000.

    In the first three years of this Government, attendances increased by 633,000. No wonder we have an A&E crisis.

    The question we need to ask is: why, behind the destabilising effect of reorganisation, has there been such an increase?

    I see three reasons – all policy decisions taken by David Cameron.

    First, David Cameron has made it harder to see your GP.

    He scrapped Labour’s guarantee of an appointment within 48 hours.

    Now, the story I hear up and down the country is of people phoning the surgery at 9am only to be told there is nothing available for days.

    The Patients Association say that it will soon be the norm to wait a week or longer to see your GP.

    What will they do? Go to where the lights are on – A&E.

    We have called on the Government to reverse their scrapping of the 48-hr target this winter.

    The problem is made worse by the scrapping of Labour’s extended opening hours scheme.

    Now hundreds fewer GP surgeries stay open in the evening and at weekends – taking us backwards from the seven day NHS we need.

    To make matters worse, a quarter of Walk-In Centres have closed and NHS Direct has been dismantled.

    A terrible act of vandalism even by this Government’s standards – nurses replaced by call-handlers and computers that say ‘go to A&E’.

    The second reason for the sudden increase in people attending A&E is cuts to social care and mental health.

    Under this Government, almost £2 billion has been taken out of budgets for adult social care.

    Compared to a decade ago, half a million fewer older people are getting support to help them cope.

    We have an appalling race to the bottom on standards with 15-minute slots, minimum wage pay, zero hours contracts.

    Over-stretched care workers, often not paid for the travel time between 15 minute visits, having to decide between feeding people or helping them wash.

    Social care in England is on the verge of collapse – and yet last year Jeremy Hunt handed back a £2.2bn under-spend to the Treasury.

    That’s unforgiveable when care is being taken away from vulnerable people.

    If Labour were in Government now, we would be using the NHS underspend to tackle the care crisis this year.

    Instead, older people are being allowed to drift towards A&E in record numbers – often the worst possible place for them.

    A recent Care Quality Commission report found avoidable emergency admissions for pensioners topping half a million for the first time – and rising faster than the increase in the ageing population.

    Terrible for older people, putting huge pressure on A&Es and costing around a billion pounds a year.

    But other vulnerable people are suffering too.

    The Government is cutting mental health more deeply than the rest of the NHS.

    Some mental health trusts are now reporting bed occupancy levels of over 100%.

    That means more than one patient being allocated to the same bed.

    It’s no wonder we’ve heard growing evidence of highly vulnerable people being held in police cells or ending up in A&E because no crisis beds are available.

    Under this Government, A&E has become the last resort for vulnerable people

    And this brings me to the third reason for the pressure on A&E – the cost-of-living crisis.

    As Michael Marmot set out in his seminal public health report, our health isn’t just about our health services, but the kind of society in which we choose to live.

    No phenomenon more clearly symbolises the true impact of this Government than the rise of food banks, teachers having to feed hungry children at school or GPs having to ask their patients if they can afford to eat.

    And all this while millionaires get a tax cut.

    We have seen diseases of malnutrition like scurvy and rickets on the rise – diseases we once thought had gone for good.

    Today we are exposing another scandal that goes right to the heart of whose side this Government is on.

    People are struggling to keep warm in their homes.

    The average energy bill has risen by more than £300 since 2010 – while the support for people in fuel poverty has been cut considerably.

    The Government replaced 3 successful Labour schemes- warm front, community energy saving programme and carbon emissions reduction target with their ECO scheme.

    And the consequence is that just a fraction of households have received help in the past year, just when the support is most needed.

    I don’t see how it can be right that money from all of our energy bills should subsidise people who can afford to improve their properties, over those people in dire fuel poverty.

    We’ve seen record levels of hypothermia reported this year.

    Since the election there has been a dramatic increase in the number of older people admitted to hospital for cold-related illnesses.

    There have been 145,000 more occasions when over-75s had to be treated in hospital for respiratory or circulatory diseases than in 09/10.

    This is the human cost of this Government’s cost-of-living crisis and their failure to stand up to the energy companies.

    And why Labour’s energy bill freeze cannot come a moment too soon.

    In conclusion, this is the fragile state of the NHS and the country after almost four years of Tory-led Coalition.

    The country can’t go on like this – the NHS needs a different Government.

    Cameron’s Government has delivered it a brutal double whammy.

    First they knocked it down the NHS down with a reorganisation no-one wanted. Then they have spent the last year running it down at every opportunity.

    They are guilty of the gross mismanagement of the NHS.

    But it is not just incompetence. They are running it down for a purpose.

    Only yesterday, the head of the independent regulator attacked the NHS and called for more privatisation.

    This was an astonishing intervention at a time when politicisation of regulators is so high in the news.

    To have the independent regulator making such a political statement means there can no longer be any doubt – more privatisation is the explicit aim of this Government’s NHS policy.

    Labour believes this will break up the NHS and bring fragmentation when what the NHS desperately needs is permission to integrate and collaborate.

    That is why this Wednesday we will force a debate in the Commons on the A&E crisis and repealing the Government’s competition regime.

    This is the choice the country faces – a public, integrated NHS under Labour or a health market under David Cameron.

    That’s the ground on which we will fight in 2015 and, for our NHS, it’s crucial that we win.

  • Sajid Javid – 2014 Speech on Help to Buy

    CBI Conference

    Below is the text of the speech made by Sajid Javid, the Financial Secretary to the Treasury, to the Euromoney Annual Islamic Financial Summit on 11th February 2014.

    Thanks Mushtak.

    I’m very glad to be here this morning…

    And to be able to speak about an issue that is – in fact – very personal to me.

    53 years ago, my father – a young man called Abdul-Ghani…

    Left the Punjab – Pakistan – to find work here in the UK…

    First as a cotton mill worker…

    Then as a bus driver…

    Before – eventually – setting up his own business.

    And what my father’s career taught me…

    Was that the UK is a country where foreign workers or businessmen or businesses can come…

    And if they work hard…

    And if they invest their time and their energy…

    And – if they have it – their money…

    They can both contribute to – and benefit from – a strong economy.

    But before I became an MP…

    I did something different to my father…

    Which was to spend twenty years…

    First for Chase Manhattan…

    Then for Deutsche Bank…

    Travelling out of the UK…

    And working in emerging markets.

    And what my career taught me…

    Was that in a global business environment…

    If the UK wants to remain the centre of the financial world…

    It needs to keep exploring – and engaging with – fast growing economies.

    And that’s what I want to talk to you about today.

    First, I want to talk about why the UK – and this city in particular….

    Is the centre of the financial world.

    Second, I want to talk about why we view Islamic finance as such a key market in this City’s future…

    And finally, I want to talk about the steps the UK Government is taking to ensure that this country can become a hub for your sector.

    Success of UK as a financial centre

    So why – or how? – has the UK established itself as such a good location for Islamic finance?

    This isn’t something you can decide to do overnight.

    London has always been – for a number of reasons…

    Some of them historic…

    Some of them geographic…

    A global city.

    And as modern Islamic finance started to develop and grow…

    Our city has grown with it.

    By leveraging our existing assets;

    Like our common law legal framework…

    Our advantageous time zone…

    Our deep pool of structured finance expertise…

    We’ve turned this country into a place very well equipped to deal with what you do.

    We’ve created one of the most advanced regulatory and tax environments in the world to provide a level playing field for Islamic finance.

    All the major banks in the UK provide Islamic finance products and services in one form or another…

    We have 6 fully Islamic banks.

    And we’ve also got all the support networks in place that any major market player needs…

    Like legal or accounting or consulting firms.

    And the expertise they provide…

    Coupled with the benefits of our common law framework…

    Mean that the majority of cross-border Islamic financial contracts reference the law of England and Wales.

    In fact, almost every international Islamic contract will touch London – or a London-based firm – in some way.

    So we’ve already established ourselves as a location where the Islamic finance sector knows there are networks that understand its needs…

    Understand its customs…

    And understand the laws that govern it.

    Growing Market

    But simply because we have that network in place now…

    Doesn’t mean we can be complacent…

    And believe we’ll remain the best place for your sector.

    Because – as you’ll all no doubt be hearing over the course of the conference – Islamic finance is undergoing huge and exciting changes…

    The Islamic finance sector is growing faster than traditional banking.

    Islamic investments are set to grow to £1.3 trillion over this year.

    And 10 of the top 25 growth markets in the world have large Muslim populations, with rapidly expanding Islamic financial sectors.

    Of course, if you want proof of the importance and the relevance of Islamic wealth…

    You only have to look at the skyline of this city.

    In the east, where the cranes of DP World are building one of Europe’s biggest ports.

    In the south, where the Shard – Europe’s tallest building – was funded by Qatari investment.

    In the West, where Battersea Power Station is being refurbished – thanks to £400m of Investment from Malaysia.

    And – of course – in the North, where Arsenal – one of the top teams in the world’s most watched football league – play their home games in the Emirates Stadium.

    And all that investment in all those projects unlocks jobs, and it creates growth in the city.

    Those projects and those buildings also serve as a clear, physical reminder that Islamic finance is becoming an even more important part of global finance.

    And here in the UK we want to make sure we can keep engaging with it.

    And keep working with it.

    So we’re taking constant action to keep up with it.

    Action taken so far

    Many of you will be aware of the action we’ve taken already.

    Many of you – in fact – will have been at the World Islamic Economic Forum here in London last year….

    And I’m sure those of you that were, will agree it was a real success.

    It was the first time the Forum had been held outside the Islamic world.

    And it saw attendance by nearly 3 000 delegates from over 120 countries.

    There were 46 Ministers…

    And 16 Heads of State or Government, including the UK Prime Minister.

    It was at that Forum, that David Cameron made a number of announcements, including:

    Our intention to issue a sovereign sukuk…

    And our commitment to opening up new forms of student loans for Islamic students…

    And new forms of start-up loans for Islamic entrepreneurs

    The conference also saw the announcement by the London Stock Exchange of a new Islamic index…

    Which uses some of the most advanced techniques on the planet to screen financial ratios, and enable investors to identify opportunities with lower volatility.

    In short: it means that this city will be the best place to identify Islamic finance opportunities…

    And the best place to give investors the tools they need – in accordance with Islamic principles – to take advantage of them.

    Last year also saw the formation of a UK Islamic Task Force…

    The launch of London’s first Shariah-compliant Underwriting Agency…

    And the launch of a UK Government insurance action plan…

    Which commits us to developing London’s expertise – and to grow London’s market – in commercial Islamic insurance.

    Things we are going to do

    Of course, all of those actions represent a strong start…

    But launching new policies or new taskforces or new services is one thing.

    The real proof our commitment will come in making sure that those policies and those taskforces and those services help London to reach its full potential as the world centre of Islamic finance…

    And – in turn – for global Islamic markets to reach their full potential.

    So I’d like to spend my last couple of minutes updating you on where we’ve got to with some of that work.

    First, our announcement on the sovereign sukuk.

    The market has long made the case for a sukuk issued by the UK Government.

    And many of you will know that this is something the UK Government has looked at the possibility of doing before.

    Now, due to a hurdle or two, it has never quite happened…

    But through pragmatism – and through political will – I’m very pleased to say that we’re now in a much better place to overcome those issues…

    And I expect issuance to take place in the forthcoming financial year.

    Following an open competition, at the end of last month…

    We appointed HSBC and Linklaters as external advisors to assist us in this work.

    I have to say, the strength of the competition for those roles was remarkable…

    And serves as testament to just how far the industry has developed and just how much expertise now exists both here in London and abroad.

    We anticipate that issuance will take place by way of syndicated offering…

    And that closer to the time of the transaction we’ll be seeking to include additional syndicate members to help us bring it to market.

    I’m confident that this Sukuk issuance will deliver significant benefits both for the UK and for the Islamic finance industry:

    First – it should prove that the concept works, and demonstrate that the UK has established both a legal and regulatory framework that puts Islamic finance on a level playing field with conventional finance.

    Second – having a top credit issuer like the UK issue Sukuk should move Islamic finance into the mainstream, and encourage its acceptance as an asset class by those who may not have considered it previously.

    And third – It will demonstrate – quite clearly – that the UK is a country that is open for business, and whose Government welcomes trade with all parts of the globe.

    This is – I think – the most exciting development in this area for a long time, and I’m really looking forward to working hard and seeing it through.

    Another exciting development has been the work we’ve taken forward– on Islamic student and start-up loans.

    Last year’s announcement on this was – for me – incredibly important.

    Fellow British Muslims shouldn’t feel unable to go to university because they can’t get a Student loan – simply because of their religion…

    Nor should they feel unable to start a business because they can’t get a start-up loan – simply because of their religious practices

    Of course, I also believe – and this Government agrees – that a Muslim in Britain shouldn’t feel unable to buy a home because they can’t get a mortgage…

    So I’m glad to be able to announce that – from today – the rules for the Government’s Help to Buy scheme have been amended…

    So that providers of Home Purchase Plans – which are a Sharia compliant alternative to a mortgage – can benefit from the scheme too.

    That action – on student loans, on business loans, on home loans – shows that we are embedding Islamic friendly processes into our everyday financial systems.

    The final area I’d like to update you on is the work of our Global Islamic Finance and Investment Group.

    This group was – again – announced at the WIEF last year.

    It’s chaired by my colleague and friend Baroness Warsi…

    Its members include Ministers, Central Bank Governors and Islamic bank CEOs.

    And its purpose is to increase our engagement in this area internationally

    Work is already well underway by Baroness Warsi to identify some of the greatest global experts and practitioners in this field – both from industry and from Government…

    And her vision is for a group that bring together key public and private sector expertise…

    Who can consolidate existing work…

    And develop a set of high level recommendations for the future.

    These might be about building things…

    Building trade links…

    Investing in the building of new infrastructure…

    Or they might be about knocking barriers down…

    Barriers like lack of skills…

    Or shortages of long-term investment products.

    So let me tell you this.

    We are in this for the long-haul.

    And I hope the announcements we made last year…

    And the progress we’re making on those announcements…

    Show very clearly, just how important this is to the UK Government.

    We’re under no illusion that there are many challenges – both domestic and international – still to be tackled.

    We have to increase awareness…

    We have to build up depth.

    We have to build up liquidity and tenor in capital markets.

    But we want to be at the centre of the work which helps Islamic finance reach its international potential…

    And we’re the perfect place to do that.

    First, Islamic finance is a faith based form of finance, originating in countries with majority Muslim populations…

    But the UK is showing how it can develop in a country with a Muslim minority, and within a secular legal framework.

    Second, London is the world’s financial centre, providing the core hub for the intermediation of capital across borders.

    Every other major and minor financial centre is linked to the UK like no other…

    So – working with our global partners, in Dubai, in Bahrain, in Malaysia, and beyond – we can integrate Islamic finance into global capital markets and create an Islamic finance market that never sleeps.

    As I said at the outset, I know…

    From my working experiences…

    That the UK has to keep looking at emerging markets, and future global trends…

    If we want to maintain our place in the world.

    And I know from my father’s working experiences…

    That this is a country which welcomes and rewards those people…

    That want to contribute to – and benefit from – its economic growth.

    We want you to play a part in our growth.

    Just as we want to play a part in your growth.

    And I’m sure that by working together, we can achieve both those aims.

    Thanks for listening.