Category: Speeches

  • Kate Osamor – 2022 Parliamentary Question on the Asylum Backlog

    Kate Osamor – 2022 Parliamentary Question on the Asylum Backlog

    The parliamentary question asked by Kate Osamor, the Labour MP for Edmonton, in the House of Commons on 19 December 2022.

    Kate Osamor (Edmonton) (Lab/Co-op)

    What recent progress her Department has made on reducing the backlog of asylum applications.

    Vicky Foxcroft (Lewisham, Deptford) (Lab)

    What recent progress her Department has made on reducing the backlog of asylum applications.

    The Minister for Immigration (Robert Jenrick)

    Last week we set out plans to clear the initial decision backlog of asylum legacy cases by the end of next year. Over the summer and autumn, the Home Office reduced the number of older asylum cases by 11,000, and the number of asylum caseworkers has doubled.

    Kate Osamor

    Last week the International Development Committee heard from organisations working closely with refugees in the UK. I was disappointed but not surprised to hear Enver Solomon, the chief executive of the Refugee Council, say that it was not consulted about the proposals, announced last week, to tackle the backlog. Why have the Government neglected to widely consult experts, and would the Minister be willing to consider their recommendations if I was to write to him?

    Robert Jenrick

    I would be interested in the views of any of our stakeholders, but the Prime Minister set out a very compelling case last week to radically re-engineer the end-to-end process, with fewer interviews, shorter guidance, less paperwork, specialist caseworkers by nationality, including tackling Albanian cases, and reforming modern slavery by reducing the cooling-off period from 45 to 30 days—all steps to clear the backlog as quickly as possible.

    Vicky Foxcroft

    One of my constituents arrived in the UK from Afghanistan and claimed asylum in September 2021. Despite my caseworkers making regular inquiries since August 2022, we have received no updates regarding the status of his application. He tells us that the situation has made him seriously depressed. Does the Minister agree that excessive wait times can have a hugely detrimental impact on mental health, and will he agree to look at this case in further detail?

    Robert Jenrick

    I would be happy to look at that case and any others that are brought to my attention. The backlog, however, is a symptom of the problem, which is that far too many people are crossing the channel illegally, and that is what this Government are determined to tackle. The hon. Lady and her Opposition colleagues have voted against every tough measure that we have sought to take in recent years. I hope that she will now get behind the measure that we are taking, the statement the Prime Minister made last week and, of course, our world-leading Rwanda partnership, which the Court today gave its agreement to.

    John Redwood (Wokingham) (Con)

    Will the Government introduce urgent legislation to strengthen control of our borders, and could that include a notwithstanding clause to guide the courts against using other laws that undermine the fundamental principle of the Prime Minister’s policy?

    Robert Jenrick

    My right hon. Friend the Prime Minister set out last week our intention to bring forward legislation early next year, and at the heart of that legislation will be a simple point of principle that we on this side of the House believe: no one should gain a right to live in this country if they entered illegally. From that, all things will need to flow. Nothing is off the table. We will take our obligations to deliver on that policy very seriously. That is in stark contrast to the Labour party. At the weekend, the shadow Home Secretary, the right hon. Member for Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford (Yvette Cooper), could not even say whether illegal entry to this country should be an offence. That says it all. We believe in securing our borders and in controlled migration. The Labour party is the party of mass migration.

    James Gray (North Wiltshire) (Con)

    We in Wiltshire are proud of the fact that some 900 Ukrainians will be enjoying Christmas dinners with us, and that we have entertained a large number of Afghan people who looked after us so well during the war. However, we were very surprised when last Friday 82 young Albanian men were moved into the very rural, very distantly located Wiltshire golf club without any notice at all being given to the neighbouring retirement village. Does the Minister agree that this is an inappropriate location for people of this kind, who are very probably economic migrants, and will he seek to advance them elsewhere as soon as he possibly can?

    Robert Jenrick

    I am grateful to my hon. Friend for that question. We do not want to use hotels in any part of the country; we want to tackle the issue at its source. I understand his constituents’ concerns with respect to the hotel in Wiltshire. As I understand it, a smaller number of individuals have been accommodated there than he has perhaps been advised and the local authority was informed in advance, but that does not diminish his constituents’ concerns. I am happy to talk to him to see what we can do to end that at the earliest opportunity.

    Mr Speaker

    I call the shadow Minister.

    Stephen Kinnock (Aberavon) (Lab)

    The Nationality and Borders Act 2022 is profoundly counterproductive legislation, as illustrated by the fact that, since it was passed, the number of dangerous crossings has reached a record high. The Act includes the so-called inadmissibility clause, but the fact that the Government have failed to negotiate a returns agreement with a single European country means that just 21 out of 18,000 inadmissible people have been returned. Sending 300 asylum seekers to Rwanda will not even touch the sides of that 18,000. Does the Minister recognise the inadequacy of the legislation? Will he explain why the Government’s utterly self-defeating approach has led directly to the British taxpayer footing an extra bill of £500 million?

    Robert Jenrick

    First, whatever the inadequacies of the current system, they would be far worse if the Opposition were in power—in fact, the backlog of cases was 450,000 when the last Labour Government handed over to us. They have opposed every tough measure that we have taken, including the Nationality and Borders Act. If the hon. Gentleman thinks that Act did not go far enough, I will welcome his support next year when we bring forward further and even tougher legislation. We will make sure that we secure the borders and control migration. He cannot see the difference between people genuinely fleeing persecution and economic migrants. He is testing the will of the British people; we will take action.

    Mr Speaker

    I call the SNP spokesperson.

    Alison Thewliss (Glasgow Central) (SNP)

    My casework in Glasgow Central speaks to the fundamentally broken asylum system, and a failing immigration system more widely, as other types of applications are regularly delayed and people are left waiting for years. The barrister Colin Yeo suggests that, to get the asylum backlog down to 20,000, the Home Office would need to make 8,000 decisions a month. In the year to September, only 16,400 decisions were made in total, so precisely how will the Minister meet his target?

    Robert Jenrick

    Last week, my right hon. Friend the Prime Minister set out our plan to re-engineer the process and hire more decision makers. It is about not just people and resource, but ensuring that the process is faster and less bureaucratic, and that the guidance is cut and simplified. If the hon. Lady wants to help us with the issue, perhaps she will get on to her colleagues in the Scottish Government, because today in Scotland, in contrast with the rest of the United Kingdom, only one city—Glasgow—is doing its fair share and taking asylum seekers. In the whole of Scotland, only a dozen hotels outside of Glasgow are taking asylum seekers, which is not fair and equitable. She might sound pious, but her words and rhetoric are not matched by action from the Scottish Government.

    Alison Thewliss

    Local authorities in Scotland are reticent to take more because they know that the UK Government are not funding asylum seeker provision properly, and that pressed budgets due to another round of austerity are coming down the road, as the Minister knows just fine. Can he confirm that the Home Office is recruiting asylum decision makers from people in customer service and sales positions at McDonald’s and Aldi who have no prior experience of the asylum system, who are consulting Lonely Planet guides for knowledge of applicant countries, and who have described being

    “left to fend for themselves”

    after two days to conduct complex interviews and make life or death decisions? Is that really an adequate way to conduct sensitive decision making?

    Robert Jenrick

    I do not recognise anything that the hon. Lady just said. The problem with the current system is that it is too complicated and too bureaucratic. We want to simplify that, speed up those decisions and make sure that the teams are more productive. To come back to her first point, the Scottish Government are refusing to take any of the asylum seekers who are arriving in the UK on small boats, which is not right. There is a widening gulf between the actions of the Scottish Government and their rhetoric, which I ask her to consider.

  • Elliot Colburn – 2022 Parliamentary Question on the Number of Burglaries

    Elliot Colburn – 2022 Parliamentary Question on the Number of Burglaries

    The parliamentary question asked by Elliot Colburn, the Conservative MP for Carshalton and Wallington, in the House of Commons on 19 December 2022.

    Elliot Colburn (Carshalton and Wallington) (Con)

    What steps she is taking to reduce the incidence of burglary.

    The Minister for Crime, Policing and Fire (Chris Philp)

    The Government are committed to tackling burglary. Domestic burglary, as measured by the crime survey, has fallen by 53% since 2010—a statistic that Opposition Members seem remarkably reluctant to discuss. We are hiring many extra police officers—the Metropolitan police force, which covers my hon. Friend’s constituency, has a record number of officers—and thanks to the Home Secretary’s intervention, police across the country are working to ensure that every single residential burglary receives an in-person visit from police officers.

    Elliot Colburn

    I congratulate the Home Secretary for stepping in where the Mayor of London has failed by pushing for police officers to attend all burglaries, and I congratulate the Metropolitan police for listening to that call and implementing Operation Tenacity, as this was a concern that I heard from many Carshalton and Wallington residents. Can my right hon. Friend, at this early stage, give me an indication of how successful the operation has been for burglary arrest numbers?

    Chris Philp

    My hon. Friend is quite right to say that the Home Secretary has acted, ensuring that there are record numbers of police in London, whereas the Mayor of London very often simply plays politics. In relation to Operation Tenacity, and the police commitment to attend every residential burglary, I am pleased to report that the Op Tenacity activity has been extremely successful. In fact, it saw 1,700 arrests in just six weeks.

    Mr Barry Sheerman (Huddersfield) (Lab/Co-op)

    We now live, under this Government, in one of the most unequal countries in the world. Christmas is particularly hard for many people. Although I wish everyone in the House a happy Christmas, can we make sure that the police have the resources, back-up and backroom staff, without whom they cannot catch burglars? We need to stop burglary and reduce poverty in this country simultaneously.

    Chris Philp

    As I said, I am pleased to remind the House that since 2010, according to the crime survey of England and Wales, domestic burglary has fallen by an astonishing 53%. I agree with the hon. Gentleman about making sure that the police have adequate resources. That is why, as the Home Secretary said a few minutes ago, police and crime commissioners will receive next year up to £523 million in additional funding. By March next year, we will have an extra 20,000 police officers. Never in this country’s history have we had so many police officers, which is something that, I hope, people across the House can welcome.

  • Ruth Edwards – 2022 Parliamentary Question on Fire Cover in Nottinghamshire

    Ruth Edwards – 2022 Parliamentary Question on Fire Cover in Nottinghamshire

    The parliamentary question asked by Ruth Edwards, the Conservative MP for Rushcliffe, in the House of Commons on 19 December 2022.

    Ruth Edwards (Rushcliffe) (Con)

    Whether she has made an assessment of the adequacy of fire cover in Nottinghamshire.

    The Minister for Crime, Policing and Fire (Chris Philp)

    The level of fire cover in Nottinghamshire is a matter for the Nottinghamshire and City of Nottingham Fire Authority, but I would observe that in Nottinghamshire the Labour-controlled fire and rescue service has cut firefighter numbers by 11% since 2016, despite its funding settlement having been about the same as other fire and rescue services, which, nationally have seen only a 1.6% reduction.

    Ruth Edwards

    The Nottinghamshire and City of Nottingham Fire Authority is proposing to cut the night shift at West Bridgford fire station despite the fact that it will save no money, the station has higher night-time call-out rates than other stations in the county, and it will leave Rushcliffe as the only borough in Nottinghamshire without full-time fire cover at night. Can the Minister advise me on the options Members of Parliament have to challenge the decision-making of local fire authorities when it is clear that they are letting down our constituents and the brave firefighters who serve them?

    Chris Philp

    I thank my hon. Friend for her question and for her campaigning on the issue of Nottinghamshire fire services, which she has raised with me a number of times. There is certainly no financial excuse for what the fire and rescue authority is doing. This year, it received a 5.2% funding increase and, thanks to my hon. Friend’s campaigning, when the figures are published tomorrow, there will be further good financial news for the Nottinghamshire and City of Nottingham Fire Authority. On how the fire authority’s decisions might be queried, any concerns she has can be raised with the inspectorate and taken into account when the fire service is next inspected. Otherwise, the fire and rescue authority is made up of local authority representatives, who are accountable, periodically, via the ballot box.

    Alex Norris (Nottingham North) (Lab/Co-op)

    Nottinghamshire Fire and Rescue Service is well led and staffed by excellent firefighters and non-firefighting staff alike. They keep our community staff in increasingly difficult circumstances. They would like to meet the Minister to discuss their challenges, particularly in relation to funding. Will the Minister take that meeting with them and with local MPs?

    Chris Philp

    Yes, I would be very happy to meet the hon. Member and his colleagues from Nottinghamshire, perhaps early in the new year, to discuss this issue. As I said, Nottinghamshire fire services got a 5.2% funding increase in this current year, and I think good news can be expected when the full settlement is published tomorrow. I would observe that, in common with the rest of the country, the number of fires in Nottinghamshire has substantially decreased by 45% over the last 12 years.

  • Simon Fell – 2022 Parliamentary Question on Police Efficiency and Resourcing

    Simon Fell – 2022 Parliamentary Question on Police Efficiency and Resourcing

    The parliamentary question asked by Simon Fell, the Conservative MP for Barrow and Furness, in the House of Commons on 19 December 2022.

    Simon Fell (Barrow and Furness) (Con)

    1. What steps she is taking to improve (a) efficiency and (b) resourcing of the police force. (902842)

    Rob Butler (Aylesbury) (Con)

    13. What steps she is taking to improve (a) efficiency and (b) resourcing of the police force. (902857)

    The Secretary of State for the Home Department (Suella Braverman)

    Our police force is one of the best in the world and, as we approach Christmas and the new year, I wish to take this opportunity to thank all of them for their heroic efforts this year.

    I want to empower our policemen and women, stripping out unnecessary bureaucracy and boosting their numbers. That is why I asked Sir Stephen House to report back to me on productivity, with a focus on mental health. That is why I am also pleased that Cumbria police now has more than 1,000 police officers and will have the highest number in its history once its recruitment drive is complete next year.

    Simon Fell

    I thank the Home Secretary for her response and for the good news about Cumbria police as well—that is always welcome.

    Around 40% of the crimes committed today are fraud, but only about 1% of the police’s resources are dedicated to tackling that as an issue. Policing leaders have repeatedly told the Home Affairs Committee that a new policing model is needed to address this growing threat. Organisations such as the Royal United Services Institute have pointed the way to sensible and achievable plans for how we might be able to grow the skills, capacity and capability in policing that is needed to turn the tide not just on an epidemic of fraud, but on what is now a national security concern. Can my right hon. and learned Friend please outline what steps are being taken in the Home Office to review that capability and resourcing, and when we can expect to see the fraud plan published?

    Suella Braverman

    My hon. Friend speaks very powerfully about the prevalence of fraud and online crime when it comes to modern-day crime fighting. Tackling it requires a unified and co-ordinated response from Government, from law enforcement and from industry. We will publish the fraud strategy very shortly setting out the response. It will focus on prevention and on bolstering the law enforcement response. None the less, some good work is already going on. I applaud the Metropolitan police on the largest anti-fraud operation relating to the iSpoof website, which was responsible for more than 3 million fraudulent calls in 2022, and there have been 100 arrests so far. There have also been some other high-profile successes relating to fraud, but there is much more that we can do.

    Rob Butler

    I warmly welcome the investment that means Thames Valley Police has already taken on more than 600 new officers. However, because most of them have to enter on a graduate programme, they are currently required to spend 20% of their time on training courses away from the police station, meaning they are not available to answer 999 calls or patrol neighbourhoods. I am delighted that, thanks to my right hon. and learned Friend’s intervention, it will after all no longer become compulsory for new police officers to have degrees. Can she explain what progress she is making to achieve that change and how it will benefit policing in Aylesbury and beyond?

    Suella Braverman

    My hon. Friend is right to highlight this issue. I want policing to be open to the best, the brightest and the bravest, and that does not always mean that new entrants need to have a degree. I have listened to concerns from police leaders and various people in the sector that we risk getting too academic when it comes to policing. That is why I instructed the College of Policing to design options for a new non-degree entry route, increasing choices for chief constables when it comes to recruitment and ensuring that we build a police force fit for the future. That is what common-sense policing is all about.

    Stephanie Peacock (Barnsley East) (Lab)

    Across Barnsley local people are concerned about antisocial behaviour, from fly-tipping to arson. With police forces having seen cuts in the past 12 years, what are the Government doing to support them so that they have the personnel and resources to tackle antisocial behaviour in local communities?

    Suella Braverman

    Antisocial behaviour is a real focus for neighbourhood policing. Ultimately it depends on local police forces having increased numbers of policemen and women on the frontline, responding quickly to neighbourhood crime, antisocial behaviour, burglary, vandalism and graffiti. That is why I am glad that across the country we are seeing increased numbers of officers recruited to our ranks.

    Sarah Olney (Richmond Park) (LD)

    The police in my constituency work tirelessly to keep local residents safe, but every year they are asked to do more with less. We have lost Richmond police station, we have had budgets stretched further every year and our local officers are increasingly being pulled out of the community at short notice to support events in central London. Does the Home Secretary agree that a visible, regular local presence would help the Met Police to build trust with Londoners, and will she support the Liberal Democrats’ call for a return to community policing and put an end to police station closures?

    Suella Braverman

    The hon. Lady should take up some of her concerns about London’s policing with the Mayor of London, who I am afraid has a very disappointing track record when it comes to rising crime in London, particularly knife crime. I urge the Lib Dems to stop their meaningless opposition and get behind the Government’s plan to recruit police numbers and ensure they have the right powers.

    Mr Speaker

    I call the shadow Minister.

    Naz Shah (Bradford West) (Lab)

    The Home Secretary likes to talk about back to basics policing, but last week’s police grants saw core Government funding for the police fall by £62 million, with more of the budget funded through council tax, shifting the extra burden onto struggling households during the cost of living crisis. In the meantime, funding for core priorities such as fraud and serious violence has been cut by £5 million and £4.5 million respectively. Can the Home Secretary explain these cuts, or is this just a case of her Government’s abject failure to grow the economy, back our police and keep our streets safe?

    Suella Braverman

    I am sorry, but the hon. Lady needs to get her facts right. This Government are proposing a total police funding settlement of up to £17.2 billion in 2023-24, an increase of up to £287 million compared with 2022-23. Assuming that there is full take-up of the precept flexibility, something this Government introduced, overall police funding available to PCCs will increase by up to £523 million next year—a welcome increase and one that I hope she would support.

  • Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the Commonwealth Finance Ministers Meeting

    Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the Commonwealth Finance Ministers Meeting

    The speech made by Gordon Brown, the then Chancellor of the Exchequer, in Ottawa on 30 September 1998.

    NEW GLOBAL STRUCTURES FOR THE NEW GLOBAL AGE

    INTRODUCTION

    Our meeting here in Ottawa reaffirms the partnership between our countries that is an indispensable foundation of international stability and prosperity.

    Never in all of economic history have so many depended so much on genuine economic cooperation among all the nations of the world.

    Our shared commitment to open trade and orderly progress has been a driving force for growth in all our countries – even in countries that not so long ago seemed likely to be permanently left behind.

    We must never forget that the path of open trade and open capital markets that we have travelled in the last 30 or 40 years has brought unprecedented growth, greater opportunity and the prospect of better lives for millions across the world. But there is still massive poverty in a world where millions are denied opportunity, and the new economy has brought greater risks of insecurity as well as new opportunities.

    What began last year as a local and regional crises centred in a handful of Asian countries, with its effects most sharply felt in Asia, has spread from Asia to Europe and North and South America becoming what is now a global problem affecting us all.

    No sensible policy-maker wants to turn the clock back to protectionism and insularity. But to move forward, we need vigilant and active governments, acting together through reformed international institutions, to ensure that the prosperity that has been achieved by some can be extended to all.

    Today’s problems are problems of the modern age. They could not have happened in the way they have when finance was confined within sheltered and wholly national financial systems. So these are new global problems which will require new global solutions.

    So it is particularly appropriate for me to set out a new agenda for reform at this meeting of Commonwealth nations, with finance ministers representing all regions of the world from developing,emerging markets and developed nations – and to do so the week before the meetings of the IMF and the World Bank in Washington.

    The key challenge now is to devise procedures and institutions – nothing less than new international rules of the game – that help deliver greater stability, and prosperity for all our citizens in industrialised and industrialising economies alike.

    THE CURRENT SITUATION

    First the current situation.

    With Japan and one quarter of the world in recession, growth in world output and trade will weaken over the next year.

    Asia’s unprecedented slowdown is turning out to be deeper then expected, but in some of the affected countries progress in restoring economic stability is being made.

    With some currency appreciation in both Thailand and Korea,interest rates have been reduced to below pre-crisis levels. And the latest trade data show that export volumes grew rapidly in the first quarter.

    The continued pursuit of transparent and credible policies,through IMF programmes, has brought further signs of recovery.

    But there is a long way to go and macro economics policy should now be focussed, on creating the right conditions to support domestic demand and export-led growth.

    As the recent G7 statement has made clear, the G7 countries-North America, Europe and Japan – as well as the IMF and the World Bank, stand ready to support all emerging market countries which are prepared to embark on strong sound policies which will involve structural reform.

    But when the balance of risks in the world economy has shifted from inflation to slower growth, the G7 countries must now assume greater responsibility.

    The necessary improvement in trade balances in affected countries could either come from domestic stagnation or export-led growth. It is in our shared interests to achieve this export led growth , but this will only be possible if, by sustaining world demand, the industrialised world is the engine for that growth.

    As I said in Japan recently, all industrialised countries must now bear their fair share of the burden of adjustment. No one country can either escape its responsibility or be required to bear the whole burden with all the risks in protectionist sentiment that this would entail.

    I believe that from our respective continents each G7 member should now resolve to play our rightful role and take action to ensure that our economies can both sustain growth and remain open to trade:

    in the UK we have taken the tough action on monetary and fiscal policy which allows us to steer the course of stability in an uncertain and unstable world and will continue to promote domestic demand growth, open trade, investment and employment opportunity for all; in Europe too, as the statement following last weekend’s meeting of Europe’s finance ministers and central bank governors demonstrated, we will be working to ensure that the euro promotes stability and growth. And the European contribution will include a commitment to employment creation within a policy of structural reform;

    and the vigilant action of the US Federal Reserve yesterday is designed to sustain domestic demand growth. I know that the US government believes that maintaining free trade, free from protectionism, is an important element of its response. I know also that the administration is working very hard to ensure ratification of the NAB and the IMF quota increase. We should support and encourage them to step up their efforts in these areas;

    I know too from my recent visit to Japan that my Japanese colleagues are focussed on their efforts to stimulate domestic demand through fiscal and monetary policy. And, to help restore market and consumer confidence, the Japanese government must lay out a clear timetable for action to restore health to the banking and financial sector. But vigilance today must be matched by a willingness to reform the international financial system to secure greater stability tomorrow.

    THE UNDERLYING CAUSES OF THE EMERGING MARKETS CRISIS

    Recent years have witnessed global capital flows on an unprecedented scale. Net private capital flows to emerging markets has risen from $31 billion in 1990 to $241 billion in 1996 (before falling back to $174 billion last year). Yet massive flows one way one year can become massive flows the other way the next. In Asia’s case net inflows of $40 billion in 1996 turning to net outflows of over $30 billion in 1997- a turnaround, which in contrast to the Mexican crisis years, has not been offset by a reallocation of flows to emerging markets elsewhere. Instead a general flight to quality and safe-haven buying has occurred. And as global investors have been radically changing their attitudes towards risk, borrowers in Latin America and the Caribbean have faced a steep rise in bond spreads. In many countries in the region these have now risen to rates not seen since the Mexican crisis in 1995. Stock markets have also fallen sharply, down 30 to 40 per cent in Brazil and Argentina since early August. But the emerging market contagion has been even wider than that – in South Africa the rand has fallen to record lows.

    Better risk management in future will lead to more stable capital flows. But it is a matter of concern that many emerging market economies are now being been caught up in the turmoil, regardless of the strength of their macro-economic fundamentals.

    What we are facing however is a temporary setback, to progress in global trade and investment, not a permanent retreat indeed I believe that the essential answer to the problems of the moment is not less globalization, but more. In other words not new national structures to separate and isolate economies, but stronger international structures to make globalization work in harder times as well as easy ones.

    But we must understand we are in a new world.

    Trying to turn the clock back by re-erecting national financial barriers is neither realistic nor sensible.

    International investment flows bring huge benefits to all countries.

    And we must build new operational rules and the institutional architecture we need for the global financial system of the coming century.

    First, we must tackle the weaknesses in economic and financial policy, and in corporate governance, which the crisis has exposed in many emerging markets.

    In many cases, excessive short-term foreign currency borrowing occurred because of the perception of an absence of currency risk due to exchange rate pegs, implicit and explicit government guarantees and directed lending practices which compounded the inefficient allocation of capital.

    Borrowing was in many cases used to finance investment in economically unsound projects and governance in the corporate and financial sectors was often weak. In some cases, currencies became uncompetitive, resulting in large current account deficits. Moreover, when the financial crisis hit, fiscal policy was, in retrospect, kept too tight.

    However at the root of these problems was a destabilising lack of transparency in economic policy-making right across key economic and financial indicators which in turn led to confusion and undermined market confidence.

    Second, this was compounded by weak financial supervision, poor corporate governance, and ineffective prudential regulation,which has led some to raise questions about the speed and desirability of capital liberalisation.

    Recent events have demonstrated the dangers countries run when they open their capital markets in this new global economy if their financial systems are weak or vulnerable.

    Third, recent months have exposed problems of transparency, poor risk assessment and inadequate supervision in developed countries’ financial markets too indeed in the past week we have witnessed.

    The vulnerability and riskiness of some highly leveraged,secretive and speculative hedge funds. But we have also found some major household financial institutions, with ordinary household deposits backed up by implicit and explicit guarantees, risking and then losing substantial sums first in emerging markets and then through hedge funds , a combined exposure which, in some cases, was not known in advance.

    So the difficulties are not just a problem for emerging markets. While all too many analyses of the current crisis focus exclusively on the problems in debtor countries, it is a fact that there have also been problems in creditor countries.

    Fourth, the international community did not understand sufficiently early the true nature of Asia’s problems and how best to tackle them.

    In most cases these were not traditional sovereign debt problems or fiscal problems but instead private sector debt and financial sector problems. We did not have in place procedures and mechanisms to identify problems before they become crises and to manage crises once they began.

    Fifth, this crisis is about people and not just about economic statistics. Insufficient attention has been paid to the human side of the crisis and our common responsibilities to put in place help for the poor and the unemployed. We must never forget that behind the headlines and the numbers flickering on dealers’ screens are men and women whose jobs, incomes and futures are threatened by these events.

    And when the response to the crisis will inevitably involve difficulties and obstacles which will have to be overcome, we have so far failed to build a shared understanding of the need for reforms, securing a social consensus behind them, just as we have failed to alleviate the impact of recession on the poor and the unemployed.

    Five weaknesses – weaknesses in economic and financial policies,underdeveloped financial sectors in emerging markets, ineffective supervision, poor crisis management, unacceptable social protection – but together they expose an even more fundamental common problem. For fifty years we have had national policies for regulation,supervision and crisis management for what were essentially independent relatively sheltered national economies with discrete national capital markets and limited and slow moving international capital flows.

    We are now in the era of interdependent and instantaneous capital markets.

    Individual economies can no longer shelter themselves from massive fast moving and sometimes destabilising global financial flows , and it is obvious that if we are to respond to this, we need reform at both national and global levels.

    First, national policies for supervision regulation and crisis management will have to keep pace with the speed and scale of global financial markets.

    And second, as British Prime Minister Tony Blair said in New York last week, a new global framework will have to offer, at an international level, new and more sophisticated regimes for transparency, supervision, crisis management and stability similar to those which we have been developing at the national level to deal with domestic instability.

    So the challenge we face is not to weaken support for the IMF and World Bank and other international institutions at a time when the need for surveillance and coordination across the world is more pressing but to strengthen them by building the operational rules and institutional architecture for the new global financial system.

    AN AGENDA FOR REFORM

    So let me now therefore set out my specific proposals.

    First, to tackle national weaknesses in economic and financial policy and governance in a global economy requires not only sound policies but also sound procedures and institutional arrangements.

    So what are the “rules of the game” and what are the institutional changes we need?

    There is in my view only one answer to the uncertainty and unpredictability of ever more rapid financial flows.

    In today’s global economy, governments need to deliver stability by setting out clear objectives for fiscal and monetary policy and having the openness and transparency necessary to give credibility to the process.

    Greater openness in procedures as well as in the dissemination of information will not only reduce the likelihood of market corrections by revealing potential weaknesses at an earlier stage but will generate a better understanding of the reasoning behind decisions and encourage better decisions and wider support for the policies.

    The international financial institutions have a vital role to play in boosting the international credibility of national policymaking by setting standards for policy making, and monitoring or policing those standards through regular surveillance and endorsement of sound reforms. These new disciplines are the key building blocks of the new international financial architecture.

    Last year we proposed at the annual meetings a code of good practice for fiscal policy to introduce greater transparency and new disciplines into the world financial system and ensure that countries undertaking good policies are properly recognized.

    Already the IMF has published this Fiscal Code and is now preparing a guidance manual on how to implement the code.

    The right next step for us to take is to extend the principle of transparency and openness into monetary and financial information and procedures. At the Spring Meetings in Washington this year,I asked the Fund to look at the case for extending these principles to develop a code of transparency on monetary and financial policy.

    A code which requires countries to provide a complete picture of usable central bank reserves, including any forward liabilities,foreign currency liabilities of the commercial banks and indicators of the health of the financial sectors, with suggestions for improving and speeding up publication of data on international banking flows.

    While I welcome the fact that the Fund board will be considering the code of transparency on monetary and financial policy later this year, I urge the Fund to take forward work on developing and implementing the code as quickly as possible, in consultation with the World Bank and the Bank for International Settlements.

    There is a third set of procedures that should be formulated into a code of practice to improve transparency in the corporate sector since crises can arise as a result of private sectorim balances and poor corporate governance, as in Indonesia.

    This suggests we need more work to establish more stringent international codes in areas like accounting standards,insolvency regimes, corporate governance, securities markets and other aspects of private sector behaviour.

    Some of the work on developing a code of good practices on corporate governance is already underway. For example, the OECD is producing a report on standards and guidelines on corporate governance which should be ready by spring of next year. But again we need to develop and implement the code, as soon as possible and put in place the procedures to ensure effective implementation. This will require close collaboration with the IMF, World Bank and the OECD.

    These codes will help produce an environment in which financial markets can operate better. They should reduce the risk of future failures, and mean that when failures do occur the financial system is robust enough to withstand them. But they will also, I believe, do something more profound, but also vital to success.

    By improving public understanding of why and how decisions are made, by improving the accountability of governments, companies and international institutions. They will help build public understanding and support for the policies that deliver economic growth and prosperity. And as we all know, the existence of that public support can be an essential ingredient in building the market confidence needed for success.

    But for these three codes to be effective we must ensure that institutions are equipped to monitor and implement the new rules of the game. As I have set out, this means an enhanced role for the international financial institutions in implementing and promoting the codes for fiscal transparency, and for monetary and financial policy. Monitoring these codes is an essential part of the Fund’s surveillance work.

    All three codes should be used by Fund and Bank staff during Article IV consultations and Country Assistance Strategies. I believe that the IMF and the World Bank should publish assessments of how well all countries, both developed and developing, are implementing the codes.

    So far our approach has been a voluntary one. But countries that want to be part of the global economic system cannot pick and mix which good and bad policies they want to pursue. That is why we should consider whether all countries should accept regular surveillance of how they are meeting the codes.

    Where possible the results of this surveillance should be made public. We should consider the case for publishing in a timely and systematic way all the key surveillance and programme documents, Press Information Notices, Article IV reports, and country assistance strategies should all be made public. In most cases there is a strong argument for publishing letters of intent thereby making it clear to the public what has been agreed between the authorities and the IMF.

    But the IMF and World Bank’s surveillance will at times involve confidential discussions, particularly when a country is heading in a dangerous direction. In such circumstances it may well be best for the Fund to give a private warning to the government.

    But if the Fund is ignored and the situation gets worse the Fund should make use of “tiered responses”. For example the Fund could warn a country that it would give it a public ‘yellow card”if policies were not changed within a reasonable time limit.

    That is also why I believe proper implementation should be a condition of IMF and World Bank support and why immediate action to promote transparency in policy making, financial sector reform and corporate governance should be key components in any reform programme which the IMF and World Bank agree in the coming months. And that is also why a soundly-based IMF programme along these lines should be pre-condition for a any G7 national support. Because through the effective implementation of the codes we can extend good fiscal policy, monetary policy and corporate governance throughout the world and help prevent crises occurring.

    We must also find ways to improve the IMF’s own accountability,to ensure that it performs its responsibilities in an open and transparent way that enhances public confidence. We need a systematic approach to internal and external evaluation of the Fund’s own activities, including a new full-time evaluation unit inside the IMF but reporting directly to the Fund’s shareholders,and in public, on its performance.

    Financial sector reform in emerging markets

    Second, the problem of weak supervision and lack of prudential standards in supervision in emerging markets.

    There are those who argue that instability is the inevitable result of free capital movements across national boundaries,while others blame speculators who exploit capital mobility for short-term profit. What is clear is that short-term capital flows can be destabilising and can disrupt markets when investors are insufficiently informed and educated and institutions lack credibility.

    I do not believe that a permanent retreat to capital controls, as an alternative to reform, is the answer. Doing so simply damages the prospects for stability and growth.

    I continue to favour an approach to capital account liberalisation which is bold in concept, but cautious in implementation.

    But the need for caution in implementation is now clearer, and more important, than ever. Orderly liberalisation will require sound banking and financial systems and appropriate macroeconomic policies, consistent with our monetary and financial policy code. Without these important pre-conditions being in place, countries will remain vulnerable to capital market volatility.

    The IMF and World Bank must deepen our understanding of the pre-conditions for successful capital market liberalisation by emerging market economies. We need to make clear the risks of moving too fast if these pre-conditions are not in place.

    Equally, countries that seize upon unilateral actions as a substitute for necessary reform and co-operation damage the prospects for their own economies and the world system.

    One useful contribution to this process is the Commonwealth code of good practice for promoting private capital flows and coping with capital market volatility, agreed last year and based on an exchange of experiences amongst Commonwealth partners. The code is based on sound principles of openness and transparency, good governance and strong policy credibility, and the need for a co-operative international approach between the official community and private investors. It recognises both the potential benefits and the potential risks associated with private capital flows, and describes a range of policy options which countries might use depending on their particular circumstances.

    But neither the IMF nor the World Bank alone are currently equipped to carry out the surveillance and assist in the development of emerging countries’ financial systems to help them build the capability for capital liberalisation, pointing out the regulatory weaknesses and vulnerabilities which must first be addressed.

    That is why I proposed at the spring meetings an institutional innovation, creating a joint department of the IMF and World Bank to carry out this work. I know that some tentative steps in this direction have already been agreed. But I remain convinced that the bolder option is worth serious consideration. It could be implemented quickly, and with goodwill from both institutions could be made to work to improve advice and help to emerging market countries pursuing reform.

    Supervision of global financial markets

    But there is a second, broader, role which a joint department could play in co-operation with other international regulators.

    The events of recent months have pointed out inadequacies in our understanding of the interrelationships between financial markets between countries, particularly between developed and emerging market economies, inadequacies in the quality of risk assessment and gaps in the international regulatory system.

    Events in Asia have demonstrated the dangers emerging market countries run in this new global economy when their financial systems are weak or vulnerable. But they have also demonstrated that the stability of financial centres in developed countries are also threatened by instability and speculation and have also demonstrated the importance of better risk assessment.

    Developing better standards and systems for financial supervision and regulation within each country will help to combat this but the international financial institutions have a vital role to play.

    There are important jobs being done by the international regulatory organisations in setting standards for financial supervision and regulation within each country. The Basle committee has published a comprehensive set of core principles for banking supervision. Implementation of these will strengthen banking systems and is essential for promoting stability in the global financial system.

    I welcome its establishment of a liaison group and consultation group to monitor their implementation within Basle participants. This process needs to be strengthened and broadened. I encourage all countries who have not yet adopted Basle minimum standards to do so as a matter of urgency.

    I urge the Fund and Bank to work closely together with the Basle committee and other international financial regulators to exchange information, ideas and experience – and to include supervisors in Fund and Bank missions. They should also look at setting target dates for implementation of Basle minimum standards. And should consider asking each country to provide an annual assessment of how far it meets the Basle principles.

    I also welcome the Basle committee’s work on improving transparency and risk assessment. Events in the banking sector in the last few weeks have emphasised in particular the importance of its work on an improved supervisory framework for banks’ derivatives and trading activities, and on developing codes for the management of credit and operational risks. I hope these codes can be implemented as soon as possible.

    Out of these developments comes the recognition that our institutional response will need to go beyond the existing surveillance role of the IMF and the necessary provision of technical assistance and financial support by the Fund and Bankto help countries restructure their financial systems.

    We need regular and timely international surveillance of all countries’ financial systems and of international capital flows,not just to point out weaknesses, but to ensure these weaknesses are addressed and to identify systemic risks to the global financial system. We need to incorporate the expertise of national and international supervisors and regulators, who can bring to the international system their experience of strengthening financial sectors and dealing with systemic risk atthe national level.

    This means developing a new international framework to bring together the IMF, the World Bank, the Basle committee, and other international regulatory groupings to focus on global financial stability and supervision. I believe we need to consider far-reaching reforms.

    While there is no need for a wholly new and self-standing institution, there is a clear need for much closer co- ordination and coherence between, and reform of, existing institutions. That is why we must urgently examine the scope for a new and permanent Standing Committee for Global Financial Regulation, bringing together not only the Fund and Bank, but also Basle and other regulatory groupings on a regular – perhaps monthly – basis. This would recognise that the key challenge facing the global economy occurs in areas where all these organisations have responsibility and expertise. It would be charged with developing and implementing a mechanism to ensure that the “rules of the game” – the necessary international standards for financial regulation and supervision – are put in place and properly co-ordinated.

    This Standing Committee for Global Financial Regulation could also play an important role in strengthening the incentives on the private sector to improve its risk assessment. It could act as the focal point for better information sharing between the international financial institutions, governments, and the private sector – so that the risks are fully revealed. Recent events have shown that it is particularly important that we have greater transparency of hedge funds, which wherever they are formally registered can have an impact on global financial markets. But recent events have also suggested that better information may not be enough. We also need to consider strengthening prudential regulation in both emerging and industrialised countries and particularly for cross-border activities. The Basle committee is looking at the scope for revising its capital ratios as they apply to short-term lending, and I encourage it to put forward proposals as a matter of urgency.

    The Standing Committee for Global Financial Regulation could also help to find better ways to identify systemic risk. In the UK, we published last year a Memorandum Of Understanding, setting clear divisions of responsibilities and establishing a regular system of meetings and surveillance to ensure cooperation between our national financial institutions to identify and address systemic risk at an early stage. This sets out a clear framework for regular cooperation between the Treasury – which is responsible for ensuring the whole system works in the public interest protecting the interests of taxpayers, the Bank of England – which is responsible for the stability of the system as a whole – and the new Financial Services Authority – which is responsible for supervising and monitoring financial institutions. But systemic risk is not confined to national boundaries. What we need is an international memorandum of understanding which would establish the proper division or responsibility at the international level. We need to explore how this could be done to reduce the chance of crises occurring.

    Dealing with crises

    Just as we need new international machinery for crisis prevention,so we also need a better, more systematic approach – involving public and private sectors – to dealing with crises when they do occur. We need to ensure that the international community is able to respond to short -term liquidity crises in countries that are committed to reform, and to help such countries maintain access to the capital markets.

    In a crisis, the first need is always to act quickly to stabilise the situation. But we have to find ways to do this without bailing out private investors. We need private companies to take risks, but with a proper assessment of those risks and to take responsibility when things go wrong. And we need public institutions that help to make clear what the risks are, and provide a framework when things go wrong – a framework to which the private sector contributes as well as the public sector.

    There is action to be taken here at the national level. For example, the avoidance of misconceived implicit or explicit government guarantees of private liabilities, and the improvement of national bankruptcy laws. Action on both is now underway in several Asian countries.

    At the international level, I would like to see the IMF indicate that in the event of a crisis, and where a country adopts good policies, it may be prepared to sanction temporary debt standstills, by lending into arrears, in order to enable countries to reach agreements with creditors on debt rescheduling. By making this clear in advance, private lenders would know that in future crises they would be expected to contribute to the solution as part of any IMF-led rescue.

    And there needs to be a mechanism for the Fund to liaise with private sector creditors and national authorities to discuss the handling of debt problems at times of potential crisis.

    The IMF should remain at the centre of this framework, which should include the new standing committee for global financial regulation to co-ordinate the identification of systemic risk. We need to have clearly defined procedures for deciding when and how to provide liquidity support. And we will need to address many difficult and complicated issues as a mater of urgency, not least the future funding of the IMF.

    A code of good practice on social policy

    Fifth, we need to respond to the human dimension of the crisis. I want today to set out my proposal for a code of good practice no social policy. A proposal I will be putting to my colleagues in Washington next week.

    We need to set out guidelines for dealing with the social consequences of the global economic problems. And we should not see this just in narrow terms of creating social safety nets.

    Rather we should be trying to create opportunities for all to contribute as well as benefit, through training, education and in other ways – in other words modern, active welfare systems.

    Good economies, as many now acknowledge, depend on good social relationships and therefore on the building of trust. And countries and companies engaging in reform need a shared understanding of the challenges they have to meet, whether it is by dialogue, social partnership, policies that lead to a sense of fairness because there is equality of opportunity or by other means by which democratic participation is improved.

    Creating national support for the policies needed for economic growth depends on there being adequate systems for helping people who are victims of economic crises. This is indeed a clear role for government in the new fast changing global economy: not guaranteeing that nothing will change, or leaving people defenceless against change, but helping equip people to adapt to and master change.

    So we should aim to create decent working conditions everywhere. All the international institutions should share in the task of promoting core labour standards in all countries and decent levels of social welfare and protection.

    We need to promote the international development targets on universal primary education and on reduction in infant and maternal mortality rates, as well as provision of clean water and sanitary conditions for all.

    The World Bank should help governments in all affected countries in Asia to get social support systems in place as soon as possible.

    It is the poor and the unemployed who have most to lose if reform fails, and it is because we are committed to putting their interests at the heart of our response that we need this code of good practice on social policy.

    And the World Bank has a key role to play in developing and promoting a social code, to ensure that governments have in place policies to strengthen social systems and tackle the social impact of sudden shocks to the financial system.

    In the design of IMF programmes to help countries in crisis the IMF and the World Bank must also ensure that the reforms they demand are consistent with the code of good practice and, as far as possible, preserve investment in the social, education and employment programmes which are the foundation for growth. I hope that, with the support of the development committee, the World Bank working closely with the IMF will draw up such a code of good practice on social policy as soon as possible.

    CONCLUSION

    Let me say in conclusion that in the new global economy, neither the United Kingdom, you – our Commonwealth partners, nor any other country can afford the easy illusion of isolationism. We are all shaped by and must work together to shape the forces at work in our global economy.

    These four codes of good conduct for policy-making, codes agreed by the international institutions, but accepted by national governments and the radical institutional changes I have set out today would, in my view, offer a new framework for economic development.

    This will give new hope to the poorest and most vulnerable countries. But it needs to be combined with measures to reduce unsustainable debt. I shall have more to say on this later today. The HIPC process must be accelerated and we must do more beyond HIPC for those countries facing unsustainable domestic debt. By increasing the number of countries in the HIPC process to reach decision point before 2000, speeding up debt relief to post-conflict countries especially those with arrears to the international financial institutions, and securing a wide-ranging review of the HIPC initiative by the middle of 1999 to include consideration of debt sustain ability criteria. We are determined to secure maximum progress by the millennium.

    The questions I have dealt with today are sophisticated and technical. But we must never forget that they are also human questions. They involve the living standards of people as well as the level of financial transactions. They involve not only the value of capital or trade or investment, but the deepest values of our societies.

    The responsibility of all of us who lead in the era of globalization is to meet the authentic problems of our times with a vision, an intelligence, and an energy which will make the world economy stronger, more stable, and more prosperous – ultimately more open not just to the free flow of goods, but to the rising tide of people’s aspirations everywhere.

  • Stephen Byers – 1998 Speech to the FSA Conference

    Stephen Byers – 1998 Speech to the FSA Conference

    The speech made by Stephen Byers, the then Chief Secretary to the Treasury, to the FSA Conference on 24 September 1998.

    Introduction

    1. The UK financial services industry is highly successful and immensely important to the UK economy. It accounts for 7% of our GDP. It employs over 1 million people. And of course millions of people rely on its services. Most, if not all individuals at some time purchase, and rely on, financial products from pensions and insurance to securities and derivatives.

    2. Financial services provide an example of how the UK can compete on quality and excellence both at home and throughout the world. At the heart of the UK’s financial services industry is the City of London, one of the world’s leading financial centres. The London Stock Exchange is the largest trade centre for foreign equities in the world. And the Foreign Exchange market here is the largest and most important in the world, with a daily turnover of around 500 billion dollars.

    3. So an efficient and effective financial services industry is vital for our prosperity, stability and international competitiveness. Millions of people depend on the availability of modern financial services and fair and honest markets and advice.

    4. To secure the future of the UK financial services industry, it is vital to ensure the UK enjoys a high degree of confidence and is seen as a clean place to do business. Central to this is an effective regime of regulation.

    5. An effective regulator needs a robust structure. It must hold a high degree of market confidence. It must offer protection to customers. It must be able to effectively tackle malpractice and financial crime. And this should be within a framework designed to ensure maximum cost effectiveness.

    6. Recent events in Japan and elsewhere have shown that highly developed economies require highly developed and transparent systems for supervising financial services. Where supervision is ineffective and fails to command confidence the health and growth prospects of the whole economy can be threatened.

    7. Clean and transparent markets and robust financial institutions are vital to the success of any economy, particularly at a time of global economic turmoil. London and the UK already have an excellent reputation. The creation of the Financial Services Authority is an opportunity to enhance that reputation further and create real competitive advantage.

    8. The introduction of the euro on 1 January next year will also have significant implications for the financial services industry.

    9. We are the first British Government to declare for the principle of monetary union. The fact is that it would not be in our economic interests to join next January as there is not the necessary convergence with the rest of Europe. In order to ensure a genuine choice in the future, we must also make the necessary practical preparations now. We are working closely with business to do just that.

    10. The introduction of the euro will present huge challenges and opportunities to the Financial Markets. Not just in preparation but also because of increased competition for business.

    11. I am confident the industry and the City of London will maintain its competitive advantage. There are plenty of institutions that are gearing up to take advantage of the new opportunities that EMU will offer. We need to meet that competition head on, and we are well placed to do so. But no one – no institution – can rest on its laurels. The Government is determined to do everything it can to enhance London’s reputation as one of the world’s foremost financial institutions, and by far the largest in our time zone.

    12. That is why we’re preparing Britain for the euro. And why we’re determined to put in place a regulatory environment fit for the 21st Century. London and the UK must be the market of choice for the global industry. All of us – Government and industry need to do what we can to achieve that goal.

    Economic stability

    13. An essential precondition for a successful economy is a platform of economic stability. Stability allows industry to plan for the long-term future.

    14. The action taken by this Government will ensure the necessary slowing of the economy so we get back on track for steady and sustainable growth and avoid a return to the boom and bust.

    15. The first building block for high levels of growth and employment is a stable economic framework. It is essential to enable individuals, families and businesses to plan ahead with confidence. That is why the Government has taken the narrow party political advantage out of interest rates by giving the Bank of England independence.

    16. The Bank has raised interest rates to 7 1/2 per cent in order to get inflation under control. Long-term interest rates have fallen to their lowest level for well over 30 years. Of course, the Government understands and recognises the concerns of manufacturers, but what businesses fear most is a return to the cycle of boom and bust which brought record levels of business failures.

    17. And that is why we have reduced government borrowing from 27 billion Pounds to 8 billion Pounds. A commitment to spend only what we can afford. We have implemented a significant fiscal tightening, equivalent to 3 1/2 of GDP over the 3 years from coming into office. And we have maintained a tight control over public spending – as we promised in our manifesto.

    18. The Comprehensive Spending Review put in place firm three year plans for each department. These plans fully meet our fiscal rules, and at the same time provide an extra 19 billion Pounds for education and 21 billion Pounds for the NHS.

    19. At a time of instability in the international economy, no country is immune from the effects caused by the problems currently being experienced in Asia and in Russia. But as the balance of risks in the world economy has shifted, we are committed to preserve the conditions for sustainable growth and financial stability in the UK.

    20. These decisions are right for the UK as a whole, and also for the financial services industry.

    21. Amidst the uncertainty, we have to keep our nerve.

    22. We need to respond in two parts.

    23. In the short-term, it is crucial that emerging markets and developing countries press ahead with reform. The lesson form the current crisis is not that market disciplines have failed, but that in a global economy, with huge capital flows, the absence of such disciplines can have a devastating effect. Countries must put in place the right policy framework – monetary policy targeted at low inflation, sound and sustainable fiscal policies and structural reforms designed to improve the supply side performance of the economy. Tax systems that work. Strong properly regulated and full transparent banking and financial systems.

    24. And we need to consider how to strengthen the existing international financial system to meet the new challenges of the global economy.

    25. There are a number of key priorities.

    26. Promoting greater accountability and openness will strengthen the incentives on governments to pursue sound policies, will enable markets to price risk more accurately and should help all countries to manage more effectively the risks of global integration.

    27. We must continue to work towards our goal of liberal capital markets, but we must be cautious about how we do so, ensuring that the right pre-conditions – in particular sound financial systems – are in place

    28. And also, at a time when we are calling for greater accountability, transparency and disclosure o the part of governments, it is essential that the international financial institutions apply these principles themselves.

    29. Recent developments have also underlined the vital importance of sound, properly regulated financial institutions. The IMF and the World Bank need to give this issue much higher priority, working more closely together and with the main international regulatory organisations.

    30. Work is already going on in many of these areas. As the impact is international, so the response must be international too. We must design a new international financial system for a new international financial age.

    31. Just as the FSA is now the single regulator for UK owned complex groups, we need a co-ordinating supervisor to oversee the affairs of every large internationally active bank and other financial company.

    Why reform?

    32. It is reform of our own system of regulation that I now turn. Reform of our system of regulation has been well overdue. Under the existing system, in order to undertake a full range of financial services business, authorisation has had to be sought from as many as five or six separate regulators. This fragmentation has created scope for confused lines of communication and a lack of clarity about who was responsible for what.

    33. And the system has been far from easy for the consumer to understand. Nine regulators, eight complaints handling schemes and four compensation schemes. Hardly user friendly!

    34. And the system could also be inconsistent. Each of the regulators operating under a different set of powers, resulting in inconsistent treatment of similar sorts of regulatory issues.

    35. Perhaps most importantly, the regulatory regime no longer reflects the reality of the development of financial services markets. In the modern world UK banks and other financial services businesses offer the full range of services from mortgages through share dealing to arranging pensions and life insurance. It simply does not make sense for these businesses to be overseen by a number of different regulators, particularly when the new activities could clearly have a significant impact upon the financial health of the core business.

    Financial regulation: what we’ve done so far

    36. Since coming into office in May 1997, we have already made considerable progress in reforming the regulatory regime.

    37. We quickly confirmed we would be setting up a single regulator, the FSA. The FSA came into being last October with responsibility for regulation under the Financial Services Act. It is to be responsible for the full range of financial regulation, including a grater independent element in the oversight of Lloyd’s. And with Royal Assent to the Bank of England Act, it acquired responsibility for banking supervision this Summer.

    38. The single regulator will replace 9 existing regulators. Organisational consolidation is already well under way, and should see all the regulators housed under the same roof by the end of the year.

    39. The single regulator will bring many benefits. Firms will no longer be regulated by multiple bodies and there will be no duplication of effort. Regulatory requirements can be rationalised.

    40. For the consumer, the structure will be rationalised with single points of access for the public for enquiries, complaints and compensation.

    41. And the industry will benefit because bringing different regulators together will make regulation more cost effective.

    42. The UK will be an even better place in which to invest, both for institutions and individual investors. The new regime will bring competitive advantage to the financial services industry in the global marketplace. And it will allow individuals to invest and save for the future with greater confidence.

    Draft Financial Services and Markets Bill

    43. One of my first acts as Chief Secretary was to approve the publication of the draft Financial Services and Markets Bill for consultation. This will give the FSA the full range of modern statutory powers.

    44. The new regulatory system will be an improvement on the current arrangements. Accountability will be enhanced. The new regulator will have a Board appointed by and accountable to Ministers with its objectives clearly set out in legislation. And it will be required to consult on new proposals for rules, and to demonstrate that the benefits exceed the costs.

    45. Cost effectiveness is a vital building block for the new regime. Inappropriate, overburdensome regulation would make it difficult for UK businesses to compete effectively in the global market place and increase costs for consumers unnecessarily. The Bill recognises the difference between professional wholesale markets and retail markets. There will be a statutory requirement for the regulator to use its own resources in the most economic and efficient way and the non-executive members of the Board will report annually to the Treasury on this.

    46. Above all, I hope we will see a new emphasis upon high standards, while giving firms the opportunity to decide how they should be met. I don’t want to see 40 rules where the same effect could be achieved through 4. We will be looking to the regulator to ensure that the management of firms are fit to take on their central responsibility for the health and conduct of their firm. But where the FSA is confident in a firm’s staff and systems, then management must be left free to manage.

    Market confidence

    47. The Bill also introduces a new range of measures designed to further enhance confidence in UK markets. These include a new civil regime for dealing with market abuse. The draft legislation gives the FSA the power to levy civil fines against those who abuse the financial markets.

    48. Examples of the kind of behaviours we are aiming to deter are:

    • artificial transactions which give the market the wrong impression as to the real supply and demand for an investment;
    • abusive squeezes whereby the position of one player in the market, who has temporary control over the supply of a product, results in arbitrary prices; and
    • misuse of privileged information which is not available to the rest of the market.

    49. These behaviours upset the normal operation of the markets, reduce their efficiency, and can have significant impacts on the wider economy.

    50. This new regime, which extends to both regulated and unregulated persons, will fill a gap which currently exists in the regulatory system and help safeguard the proper operation of the financial markets. This is in all of our interests.

    51. The market abuse regime will not replace the criminal offences in this area. As now, where market abuse is serious and deserving of criminal punishment, those concerned will be taken before the criminal courts. There is no question of our being soft on City crime. We have given the FSA an explicit objective to reduce financial crime, which will include action to prevent and punish insider dealing, financial fraud and money laundering. We will be giving the FSA wide investigation powers in these areas and, for the first time, the power to prosecute such cases.

    52. The FSA will also be given powers of intervention and discipline in respect of regulated persons that are at least as extensive and as flexible as those of the various regulators which are being brought together. Among those disciplinary powers will be a power to levy fines on regulated institutions. This is a power currently enjoyed by the self-regulating organisations on a contractual rather than a statutory basis. Putting this powerful regulatory sanction on a statutory basis will we believe greatly enhance the FSA’s authority and effectiveness.

    53. It is right to arm the regulator with an effective array of sanctions, but these must be balanced by a satisfactory appeals mechanism. That is why we are proposing to create a new single tribunal to consider appeals against the FSA’s exercise of its powers. The tribunal will be entirely independent of the FSA, and will be managed as part of the Court Service.

    54. Naturally, there are limits to what the FSA can do in a global market place. We have to recognise the complexities of regulating an industry which operates across national boundaries and which includes international businesses engaged in a range of financial activity. The new regulatory structure will take full account of this international dimension.

    55. Extensive cooperation between the FSA and regulators in other countries is clearly very important. The FSA will be able to play a significant role in such cooperation in the appropriate international organisations. It will also have powers to assist overseas regulatory bodies. The draft legislation enables the FSA to use its powers of intervention when requested to by an overseas regulator. We also intend to give the FSA new powers to conduct investigations on their behalf. We want to ensure that the FSA has stature and is a power in the international regulatory community, and is universally regarded as a leading world regulator.

    Consumer protection

    56. The Government is strongly committed to consumer protection. Of course, Caveat Emptor is an essential part of any regulatory system. Yet a regulatory system must make sure the customer has sufficient information to make an informed decision. The personal pensions mis-selling episode showed a broad cross-section of individuals could be misled into buying the wrong product for their needs.

    57. Customers should be aware of the risks attached to any product. And they should know what their investment will cost. It is in everyone’s interests that customers have the confidence to buy the products they need.

    58. And so the FSA will be given statutory responsibilities to protect consumers and to promote public understanding of the financial system.

    59. We want public awareness of financial services to be a high priority for the FSA and the industry. The aim is to ensure that consumers have the ability to understand and question the advice and literature they are given. I also hope the FSA and firms will take action to improve the transparency of the firms’ literature.

    60. And if things do go wrong, the Bill provides for easier access to the ombudsman and compensation schemes.

    61. I welcome the recent announcement by the FSA of progress towards the creation of a single ombudsman and the co- location of the existing schemes.

    62. This is a significant step towards delivering the consumer protection that is vital in building confidence in the industry.

    Consultation process

    63. Reform of the financial services regulation is already well under way. It is vital to maintain the momentum towards reform. To do this, we need input into the consultation process from the industry and consumers.

    64. We are determined to have high quality legislation ready for introduction to Parliament. So the Government is committed to a genuine and open consultation process. This is an opportunity for the industry to play a part in shaping the regulatory regime of the future. I strongly urge you to respond to the consultation and let us have your views. It is in all our interests to get this right.

    Conclusion

    65. The UK financial services industry and City of London in particular, enjoy a pre-eminence internationally.

    66. These reforms of the regulatory regime will enhance our position. They will increase the confidence of the public in the financial services industry. And they will make the UK a more attractive place to do business.

  • Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the Federation of Bankers Association

    Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the Federation of Bankers Association

    The speech made by Gordon Brown, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, in Tokyo on 16 September 1998.

    1. Introduction

    I want to begin by thanking you for the invitation to speak to this distinguished audience at this decisive time for the world economy. I am pleased to have the opportunity to share with you our analysis of the serious challenges we face, which we must urgently address both individually and collectively. We have  experienced the opportunities that flow from the new age of globalization.  We have benefited from the accelerating integration of the international economy.  Now we must manage it though more difficult times.

    And I welcome this dialogue with key policy makers in Tokyo – because Japan has a key role to play not only in ensuring recovery from present difficulties, but in constructing permanent structures for stable long term global prosperity.

    Japan is a highly valued economic partner across the world. In Asia, it is of course the largest economic force, accounting for 61 per cent of Asian GDP. In Europe too, we value highly the strong and successful trade, foreign direct investment and financial relationships that have grown so rapidly in recent decades to our mutual benefit. And Britain, in particular, has very good reason to value our strong relationship with Japan. Last year, Japanese direct investment in the UK stood at £2.6bn, nearly 40% of total Japanese investment in the EU.

    My visit today, representing the British Government, the current chair of the G7, reaffirms the partnership between the G7 countries as an indisputable foundation for international stability and prosperity.  Our shared commitment to open trade and orderly progress among the G7 has been a driving force for growth – – even in countries that not so long before seemed likely to be permanently left behind.

    Now the trend is stalled, and in some places even reversed – but I believe that is a temporary setback, not a permanent condition.  I believe that the essential answer to the problems of the moment is not less globalization – – not new national structures to separate and isolate economies, but stronger international structures to make globalization work in harder times as well as easy ones.  Our urgent need is closer co-operation, continuing dialogue, and an unwavering commitment to open commerce.  We must not let temporary instability put global progress at risk.

    As the economic weather turns, as a storm in one region threatens to spread, there are easy but dangerous shelters – a return to protectionism, the breakdown of co-operation, the rise of beggar thy neighbour policies.  But this can only yield furtherdeterioration, not renewed growth.

    Protectionism anywhere is a threat to prosperity everywhere.  Closing off national economies only increases national and international instability. And in Asia and across the world, it is the poorest, the most vulnerable members of society who suffer the most from financial crisis and stagnation.

    So I come here today to affirm our common resolve  to pursue a strategy of international stability and renewed growth.  All countries must actively work together to sustain domestic demand and maintain open markets for investment and trade upon which our shared prosperity depends. What is necessary is closer international co-operation to achieve stability and sustained growth, open trade and strengthened financial systems.

    That is a point upon which all G7 finance ministers have been agreed in our dialogue in recent weeks. And I am pleased to be here to discuss these issues in person with my colleague, Kiichi Miyazawa, as I will be in the coming weeks with other finance minister colleagues.

    Recent events, coming after the onset of instability in Asia last year, also emphasise the importance of the work that is being done  in the G7, the IMF and World Bank and other international groups to consider how to promote sound domestic policy-making and strengthen the international financial system. The globalization of the economy and the expansion – and recent instability – of world capital markets present new challenges for both emerging markets economies and industrialised countries alike. The challenge of devising  procedures and institutions which establish internationally agreed rules of the game, recognising the proper role of government in delivering greater stability, prosperity and opportunity for all citizens within an open global economy, is the key challenge which faces us.

    So today, I will explain what governments must do now to address the instability we currently face. And I will set out some of the key issues that need to be addressed at the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank in Washington next month.

    2. The world economic situation

    Our starting point must be to recognise the strengths which explain developments in the world economy during the 1990s,  but also the weaknesses in national and international policy-making that have been exposed by recent events. The two driving forces for change have been technological change which made possible a global marketplace and the lowering of barriers to trade and capital flows as more and more countries wanted to be part of this global marketplace.

    Since the establishment of the GATT in 1947 average industrial tariffs of developed countries have fallen from nearly 40% to less than 5% through eight rounds of multilateral trade liberalisation.  The most recent of these – the Uruguay Round promises to increase world incomes by some $500bn per year by the year 2005.  The Uruguay Round marked a major reduction in (non-tariff) trade barriers: agriculture and services were included in the GATT for the first time.  Since then we have seen Agreements to liberalise markets in Financial Services and Information Technology.  At Birmingham, the G8 pledged to resist protectionist pressures.  At the fiftieth anniversary  celebrations of the GATT in May, world leaders renewed their commitment to open markets in trade and investment.

    At the same time, we witnessed global capital flows on an unprecedented scale as investors perceived new investment opportunities in markets which were previously not open to them or too risky to contemplate.  The Asian financial crisis was preceded by a period characterised by record private capital inflows into emerging markets and a substantial compression of spreads across a wide range of emerging market credit instruments.  Net capital flows to developing countries  roughly tripled over the last decade to more than $150 billion a year.

    The terms of new bond issues by developing countries improved significantly in the early 1990s – the average spread at launch for US dollar denominated issues declined, in retrospect excessively, from over 400 basis points in 1991 to a low of less than 200 basis points by 1994 .

    This irreversible global economic integration in capital and now also product markets has been accompanied by impressive growth in the world economy. During the 1990s, global output has expanded by on average of over 3 per cent each year, with developing countries growing at an average of 6% and countries in Asia by an average of 8%.

    But in the last year, the trends which accompanied strong growth rates in emerging markets have been reversed.  The end of last year saw a collapse in private capital inflows to emerging markets, leading to dramatic falls in Asian exchange rates and  stock markets – of as much as 80 per cent in some cases.The Asian crisis countries themselves witnessed a turnaround of $70 billion in bank lending with net inflows of $40 billion in 1996 turning to net outflows of over $30 billion in 1997.  And unlike in the case of the Mexico crisis, the reduction in capital flows to the crisis countries was not offset by a reallocation of flows to emerging markets in other regions.

    The growth performance of these countries has also gone sharply into reverse – on a scale unprecedented in contemporary economic history. After strong growth in previous years in Asian economies, the economic crisis has been a particularly jarring experience for the citizens of these countries as well as international policy-makers and investors. And with the growing realisation that recovery is taking longer to occur than had been hoped, there has been a significant reassessment of risks to international lending in emerging markets.

    It is right for policy makers to admit that the causes of these complex events are not yet fully understood and will require continued  analysis.  Moreover, the factors explaining the onset of economic difficulties and loss of investor confidence in each of the countries affected are different, and it would be wrong to engage in misleading generalisations.

    In Thailand, for example, the first country to be affected, the immediate cause of  the economic downturn was an unsustainable asset price boom, compounded by macroeconomic policy errors, which exacerbated the situation, rather than helping to solve it.

    In Indonesia and South Korea by contrast, macroeconomic policy errors were not to blame for the loss of investor confidence, while recent events in Russia represent a particular combination of economic and political instability, leading to a loss of  investor confidence and, in turn, macroeconomic breakdown.

    However, some common themes do emerge in all affected countries in Asia. Excessive short–term foreign currency borrowing occurred because of the perception of an absence of currency risk due to exchange rate pegs, implicit and explicit government guarantees and directed lending practices which compounded the inefficient allocation of capital, as well as weak supervision and prudential standards.

    Borrowing was in many cases used to finance investment in economically unsound projects and governance in the corporate and financial sectors was often weak. In some cases, currencies became uncompetitive, resulting in large current account deficits. Moreover, when the financial crisis hit, fiscal policy was, in retrospect, kept too tight. However underlying all these factors and at their root, was a lack of transparency in economic statistics and policy making which led to confusion and dented market confidence.

    In Asia, a period of adjustment was inevitable. What is striking is, first, that the scale of this adjustment should be so severe – as evidenced by the falls in equity and currency markets and in output in many Asian economies. Secondly, these  financial pressures have spread across emerging markets from Asia – to Eastern Europe and recently Latin America.

    In hindsight it is clear that investors were not making fully prudent assessments of the risk associated with their lending decisions. Last year we witnessed the first decline in private capital flows to emerging markets this decade, and a general reassessment of risk. The widening of spreads in emerging markets has continued following the Russia crisis, rising from around 600 basis points to 1600 basis points.   Recently we have seen a general flight to quality and safe-haven buying by increasingly risk-averse global investors.

    While some sharpening of risk management may bring benefits  in the medium term, it is concerning that even some of the best performers amongst emerging markets are now being been caught up in the fray.  Even those with sound macro-economic fundamentals, such as Hong Kong, have not been immune from short-term speculative attacks.

    These developments illustrate why it is so important that we take extremely seriously the sort of correction we are currently witnessing. Industrialised economies have felt the impact of falling demand in emerging markets. The general increase in investor risk-aversion has also led to volatility in the major world markets.  In the US and Europe, stock markets have fallen significantly, while bond prices have been pushed higher. With inflation low or falling in many parts of the world and with the slowdown in demand in a number of economies, especially emerging markets, the balance of risk in the world economy has shifted, as the statement by G7 countries and central bank governors earlier this week made clear .

    3. Stability in the world economy

    My primary concern today is how international co-operation can help to deliver sustainable growth, open trade and the proper functioning of banking systems.

    Economic stability

    The first priority for Asia is to restore a platform of economic stability on which growth depends.  The economic situation in much of Asia remains difficult, as the slowdown is turning out  to be greater than expected. But progress has been made in restoring economic stability in some of the countries directly affected by the crisis, through full and timely implementation of the necessary reforms, in conjunction with the IMF.  In both Thailand and Korea, we have seen significant currency appreciation this year, and this has allowed interest rates to be reduced to below pre-crisis levels.  Moreover, the latest trade data show that export volumes grew rapidly in the first quarter. I also want to mention the vital contribution which  China is making to global financial stability.  Its policy of  maintaining a stable exchange rate is an important and  responsible one in difficult times.

    With the continued pursuit of  transparent and credible  policies, we can see further signs of recovery.  Macroeconomic  policy should now be focussed, on creating the right conditions  to support domestic demand and export-led growth.   Structural  reforms, particularly in the financial sector, must also continue alongside action to put in place adequate social safety nets.  Since the beginning of the crisis, I have argued strongly that more emphasis needs to be placed on social spending to limit the impact on the most vulnerable in society.

    As our recent statement made clear, G7 countries, as well as the IMF and the World Bank, stand ready to support countries in all emerging markets, which are prepared to embark on a course of strong and sound policy action. Of course, for the IMF to do this and be ready to help in times of crisis, it needs adequate resources now. I am glad to say that the British Government has taken action to play its part in doing this, and I urge others to do the same as a matter of urgency.

    In Russia, economic progress can only be secured if there is political stability and a genuine commitment to both stabilisation and structural reform. As the G7 officials discussed at their meeting in London earlier this week, the international community remains ready to cooperate further with Russia in support of sustained efforts towards stabilisation and reform.

    Inevitably, trade flows will change as the world adjusts to the recent swings in capital flows. In the Asian crisis countries, we have seen significant improvements in trade balances, with a combined annualised surplus of $80 billion in the first five months of 1998, compared with a deficit of around $40 billion  annualised in the same period last year.

    But the necessary shift from trade deficit to surplus in emerging markets can either be achieved by domestic stagnation or export-led growth. It is in our shared interests to achieve the latter, but this is only possible if the industrialised world provides the engine for that growth by sustaining demand in the world economy. All industrialised countries – in Europe and Japan as well as North America- must bear their fair share of the adjustment. No one country can either escape its responsibility to play its part in sustaining global demand or be required to bear the whole burden and thereby encourage protectionist sentiment.

    We must demonstrate both that we have learned the lessons of history, and that we have adapted our approach to the modern global economy of the late 1990s.  We are not going to bury our heads in the sand in the face of instability as policy-makers have done before.  Equally, we must guard against repeating the precipitate policy mistakes which, for example, the UK made following the 1987 stock market episode when policy was kept too loose despite domestic inflationary pressures.

    This is a crucially important task, in particular for monetary policy makers.  I know from my conversations with Eddie George, the Governor of the Bank of England that central bank Governors in the industrialised world are fully focussed, as Monday’s statement by G7 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors demonstrated, on the need to maintain demand growth in the current global environment.

    In the UK, as result of the decisive action the Government has taken over the past year in monetary and fiscal policy, the UK macroeconomic fundamentals are now sound and Britain is now back on track to achieve a return to stability as the platform for sustained growth. Recent evidence of reductions in inflation and earnings growth is encouraging.  But further progress is essential, if we are to maintain an economy which combines sustainable growth and low inflation.

    Prospects for sustainable growth with low inflation continue to depend on responsible wage behaviour in both the private and public sectors, where pay must be related to what the economy can afford.  It would be the worst of short-termism to pay ourselves more today at the cost of higher interest rates tomorrow and the missed growth and job opportunities that would inevitably follow.

    It is vital also that measures are taken to put the Japanese economy back on the path of sustainable growth.  Japan has a particularly important role to play as the second largest economy in the world,  by far the largest economy in the Asia region, and a key export market for the crisis economies.  Japan is clearly not responsible for the Asia crisis.  But Japan can be part of the solution.   That means using macroeconomic policy tools to boost domestic demand and restore business and consumer confidence.  The G7 has welcomed the efforts you have been making and the fiscal package you announced in August. The world economy needs an early return to growth in Japan and decisive  action to that end.

    Trade policy

    Vigilance is required not just in domestic macroeconomic policy but also in trade policy. We must guard against the risk that worries over cheap imports from Asia will encourage misguided calls for a retreat into protectionism.

    The world that made this protectionist mistake earlier in the twentieth century, in the decades before the Bretton Woods institutions were created, must not make it again, on the eve of the twenty first century.

    It is therefore critical that we resist these pressures and stand by the pledges we have made at Birmingham, ASEM2 and the OECD and WTO Ministerial meetings to maintain the liberalisation of international trade and investment.

    The successful completion of the WTO financial services negotiations in December of last year was a tribute to all the participants. We must not allow current market difficulties to stand in the way of further trade liberalisation and opportunities for growth.

    I want to give you three further examples of how the G7 and the UK can signal its commitment to promoting free trade and  resisting protection.

    First, we need to move quickly to a new round of trade talks that will take multilateral liberalisation forward, not backwards. We are therefore fully committed to European Commission proposals for an early start to the Millennium Round of trade negotiations with a fully comprehensive liberalising agenda covering Agriculture, Services, Competition and Investment.  It is in the interests of everyone to work hard to make sure these talks deliver. These talks should start in the year 2000.  I propose that we work with the WTO to ensure that preparations for negotiations start now to ensure a prompt start to the Round. We should also consider whether there is any case for bringing that date forward.

    Second, anti-dumping.  Arguably the misuse of anti-dumping measures as a way of protecting domestic markets is the biggest current threat to international competition. We need to be more watchful than ever in current circumstances. Recently, the UK has strongly opposed the imposition of measures against amongst others China and Indonesia in the case of unbleached cotton. And we will continue to do so in similar cases.

    Third, we shall be looking critically at our own rules and measures. For example, The Voluntary Restraint Agreement on Japanese cars exports to the UK expire at the latest at the end of 1999. The UK is and will remain firmly committed to the liberalisation of the UK and  EU car markets.

    Financial stability

    The third area where vigilance is essential is in banking and other financial supervision and regulation.  The G7 can take the lead in maintaining the momentum of global domestic demand, and safeguarding the openness of the global trading system. But if we are rapidly to restore investor confidence, and emerge from the current turbulent period stronger than we entered, it is essential that countries facing financial pressures take the urgent and necessary  steps to strengthen their own national financial systems, in co-operation with the private sector and the international community. This will involve difficult decisions to tackle corporate and financial sector weaknesses,  and to develop better systems of supervision and regulation.

    Of course it is not just emerging market economies that need to be vigilant when it comes to financial stability.  An equal responsibility lies with the G7 countries.  In London, the home of the world’s largest international financial centre, we take our responsibility to ensure open, transparent, orderly markets very seriously.  I know the governments and regulators of other major international financial centres do so too.

    In London, market participants have absorbed the impact of recent instability without serious difficulty.  Of course we are not complacent.  The Financial Services Authority – the new universal regulator of banks, securities and insurance – is monitoring the situation closely.

    Here in Japan, the restoration of financial stability is a top priority in order to ensure that efforts to stimulate the economy can be effective. I hope financial reform legislation can be passed quickly and look forward to the implementation of these measures in a speedy and decisive manner.

    It is vital that a solution is found and that confidence is restored.  This is essential to put the economy on a sound footing.  Continuing financial sector instability will make  Japan’s economic recovery much more difficult by hampering efforts to stimulate domestic demand. A transparent, well-regulated and reinvigorated financial sector will play a large  role in putting the Japanese economy back on its upwards trajectory. The same applies throughout Asia.

    The UK fully supports the efforts which you are making, and  recognises the importance of co-operation amongst supervisory authorities. For many years there were close links between banking supervisors in the Bank of England and their colleagues in the Japanese Ministry of Finance and the Bank of Japan. Both in Japan and in the UK, this year has seen the establishment of new universal financial regulators: the Japanese Financial Supervisory Agency and the UK Financial Services Authority. In the months since our two FSAs were created they have already built up strong links, reflected in day to day contact on individual issues.

    But I believe we can and should do more to enhance mutual understanding and co-operation. One of the best ways of doing this is for supervisors from one organisation to spend time at the other. As a first step, I can announce that next month
    supervisors from the Japanese FSA will go to the UK FSA for an intensive exposure to the way that UK undertakes supervision. And we are planning a similar visit to Japan by UK supervisors as well as longer secondments in both directions.

    We also need enhanced and targeted surveillance of financial sector stability by the IMF and the World Bank working in close co-operation.   And greater co-operation between the IFIs and the international regulatory organisations (Basle, IOSCO, IAIS)  is also important.  The Basle liaison committee, which combines representatives of developed and emerging markets and of the IMF and World Bank, is a good example of this sort of co-operation.

    The G7 is also considering with the IMF and World Bank how to improve co-operation between the two institutions in the areas of financial stability and surveillance including transparency in both public and private sectors, and will come forward with proposals.

    4. Strengthening the financial architecture

    I have set out the action which the G7 together must take to counter the threat to prosperity and jobs posed by this short- term instability. But this instability should not prevent consideration of the long-term implications of the recent crisis for both domestic policy-making and the institutions of the global economic system – sometimes referred to as the financial architecture.

    We start by recognising that the global economy has changed the environment for domestic policy making. In the global market place national governments, dependent for investment funds on the day to day confidence of international investors, must pursue consistent and credible policies that guarantee stability. Rewards for doing well have been substantial. But punishment for those countries who perform badly is now more instantaneous and more severe than in the past, with the risk of contagion as investors become more risk averse.

    This can be seen from the way in which the Asian crisis, and now the Russian crisis, came unexpectedly – the speed with which the capital markets have moved, with sentiment swinging from excessive optimism about prospects to a deep pessimism, the accompanying volatility of exchange rates and the way in which deep-seated flaws in financial systems in emerging markets have been exposed.

    Despite these changes, we are still operating with essentially the same institutional structure that was set up over 50 years ago when the world was facing a very different set of problems. The Bretton Woods twins, the IMF and the World Bank, were designed to help the world recover from a devastating World War.

    The World Bank was given the task of reconstruction and development, the IMF was to look after payments imbalances, and particularly prevent the beggar-my-neighbour devaluations.  Later the Bank for International Settlements  was formed and developed a limited role in bringing together the Central Banks of different parts of the world.

    We need to examine how we can reform this architecture to improve the workings of the global economy and facilitate both trade and capital flows. We must learn from what we have done right over the last 50 years but also from the problems that have emerged most recently in the current crisis.  So let me start by setting out the key issues that need to be on the agenda of the meetings in Washington early in October.

    There are those who argue that instability is the inevitable result of free capital movements across national boundaries, while others blame speculators who exploit  capital mobility for short-term profit. What is clear is that short-term capital flows can be destabilising and can disrupt markets when investors are insufficiently informed and educated and institutions lack credibility.

    So one part of the  answer to the uncertainty and unpredictability of ever more rapid financial flows is to introduce new disciplines in economic policymaking: clear long- term policy objectives, the certainty and predictability of well-understood procedural rules for monetary and fiscal policy, and an openness that keeps markets properly informed and ensures that objectives and institutions are seen to be credible.

    Greater openness in procedures as well as in the dissemination of information will provide markets with a better understanding of fiscal and monetary policy, reduce the likelihood of market corrections by revealing potential weaknesses at an early stage, and encourage governments to develop more open policy making processes and internationally recognized yardsticks for assessing fiscal policy.

    I welcome the progress made in agreeing the Code of Good Practice on fiscal transparency that the UK originally proposed a year ago in Hong Kong. The Fiscal code has now been agreed. The IMF already plans to issue a manual to provide more guidance on how to construct and present fiscal policies.

    The issue now is how the Code should be used in practice.  I believe that it should be disseminated widely to extend good fiscal practice throughout the world, and that countries should be required to report on how they are applying it. The IMF should report on its implementation as part of Article IV consultations and that it should become a key component of programme conditionality.

    But the fact that, in some Asian countries the difficulties began not in macroeconomic policy but in inadequate financial regulation shows why it is right for us to extend the principle of transparency and new discipline in policy making from fiscal policy into monetary and financial information and procedures and corporate governance. That is why I have proposed that we supplement the code on fiscal transparency by asking the IMF to prepare a code of good practice on financial and monetary policy, in consultation with the world bank and the BIS and asking the OECD to draw up a Code of Good practice in corporate governance.

    The monetary and financial code will need to ensure that countries provide a complete picture of usable central bank reserves, including any forward liabilities, foreign currency liabilities of the commercial banks and indicators of the health of the financial sectors. We must also find ways of improving and speeding up publication of data on international banking flows.

    These Codes of Conduct, policed by the IMF, can help private sector lenders and investors when they make country risk assessments, enable them to make sound lending decisions country by country and so reduce the tendency to brand all emerging economies  in the same way. We also need to do more to encourage – or even require – prompt publication of IMF Press information notices and the conclusions of Article IV missions.

    Sound macroeconomic policy, open and credible institutions and procedures and a healthy financial sector are essential pre- conditions for orderly capital account liberalisation.  The recent turbulence in global financial markets has demonstrated the importance of ensuring that all the necessary pre-conditions have been met, sequenced in the appropriate way.

    I continue to favour an approach to capital account liberalisation which is bold in concept, but cautious in implementation.  Bold in concept because open capital markets allow efficient use of capital and the transfer of technology and expertise, and have brought substantial benefits to industrial and developing economies alike in recent decades.

    But the need for caution in implementation is now clearer, and more important, than ever.  Orderly liberalisation will require sound banking and financial systems and appropriate macroeconomic policies.  Without these important pre-conditions being in place, countries will remain vulnerable to capital market volatility. I believe that this work must also be extended, working with the IMF, to deepen our understanding of  the pre-conditions for a successful capital market liberalisation by emerging market economies. We need to make clear the risks of moving too fast if these pre-conditions are not in place. Equally, countries that seize upon unilateral actions as a substitute for necessary reform and co-operation damage the prospects for their own economies and the world system.

    Finally, given the key role that IMF plays and continues to play, we must now find ways to improve the IMF’s own accountability to ensure that it performs its responsibilities in an open and transparent way that enhances public confidence. We need a systematic approach to internal and external evaluation of the Fund’s own activities, including a new full- time evaluation unit, inside the IMF but reporting directly to the IMF’s shareholders, and in public, on its performance.

    We will return to these and other long-term issues of crisis prevention and alleviation in Washington in three weeks time.

    5. Conclusion

    Let me say in conclusion that in the new global economy, neither the United Kingdom, Japan nor any other country can afford the easy illusion of isolationism.  We are all part and ultimately product of events happening in our global economy.  Never in all of economic history have so many depended so much on genuine economic co-operation among the leading industrialized nations.

    We must never forget that the path of open trade and open capital markets that we have travelled in the last 30 or 40 years has brought unprecedented growth, greater opportunity and a better life for people across the world.  No sensible policy- maker wants to turn the clock back to protectionism and insularity.  But to move forward, we need active governments, acting together through reformed international institutions.

    The questions are sophisticated and technical.  But we must never forget that they are also human questions.  They involve the living standards of people as well as the level of finanacial transactions.  They involve not only the value of capital or trade or investment, but the deepest values of our societies.

    We must make markets work – – in tough times as well as easy ones.  That is the burden and honour of all of us who lead in the era of globalization.  I believe we can meet the authentic problems of our times with a vision, an intelligence, and an energy which will make the world economy stronger, more stable, and more prosperous – – ultimately more open not just to the free flow of goods, but to the rising tide of people’s aspirations everywhere.

  • Rishi Sunak – 2022 Comments at JEF Summit

    Rishi Sunak – 2022 Comments at JEF Summit

    The comments made by Rishi Sunak, the Prime Minister, in Riga on 19 December 2022.

    Prime Minister Krišjānis, thank you so much for hosting the summit. Thank you for hosting us all.

    As you said, it’s an incredibly important time for this group to come together and discuss first and foremost the situation in Ukraine.

    Volodymyr and his people have really inspired us all.

    They have demonstrated that thanks to their determination, Putin is realising that he cannot win on the battlefield.

    And that means he is now escalating the conflict in a way that is bringing about quite frankly appalling consequences for the people of Ukraine.

    I saw it myself when I visited recently and I’m sure we’ll hear more about it soon.

    The JEF nations, all of us around this table are some of Ukraine’s closest friends and allies.

    We’ve taken a lead in supporting them thus far and I know we will continue to do so.

    For me, I think there are three priorities for us to consider as we think about next year.

    I think the first is ensuring that we deliver more military aid and that military aid evolves to meet the situation that we are now facing.

    That means more air defence systems, it means artillery, it means armoured vehicles.

    For our part in the United Kingdom, we have pledged to match or exceed the £2.3bn in aid that we provided this year next year and I would very much hope and encourage others around the table to do whatever they can to continue the strong support.

    I think secondly, as Krišjānis alluded to, we must be clear that any unilateral call for a ceasefire by Russia is completely meaningless in the current context.

    I think it would be a false call.

    It would be used by Russia to regroup, to reinforce their troops and until they have withdrawn from conquered territory, there can and should be no real negotiation.

    But what we can do is think about that time now.

    Think about what we will do with regard to security assurances and that is the planning that I think this group can play an important part in.

    And I think thirdly and lastly, we must continue to focus on degrading Russia’s capability to regroup and to resupply and that means going after its supply chains and removing the international support.

    Particularly I’m thinking of Iran and the weapons that it is currently providing to Russia, which we should be very strong about calling out as we have done in the United Nations.

    But also the economic consequences for Russia must continue to be severe and in that vein, the new oil price cap that the G7 have instituted and others have followed, I think, can be very helpful.

    In conclusion, I’ll just say that I think our collective resolve is clear and we have and will continue to support Ukraine.

    And that is first and foremost because their security is our security.

    And, at that moment, it is a great honour for me to invite my dear friend Volodymyr to address us now.

  • Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the British Retail Consortium Annual Dinner

    Gordon Brown – 1998 Speech to the British Retail Consortium Annual Dinner

    The speech made by Gordon Brown, the then Chancellor of the Exchequer, on 13 October 1998.

    Just as we must work with our international partners to secure global stability and growth, so we have been taking action at home to set in place a long-term and credible  platform to achieve the stability that is an essential  pre condition for long-term investment, growth and jobs.

    It is in pursuit of our long-term goals – high and stable levels of growth and employment- and the rejection of the short-termism and stop-go polices that have undermined the UK economy in the past- that we have taken tough decisions.

    In the face of rising inflationary pressure and the large structural deficit we inherited, we made the bank of England independent, the MPC raised interest rates and we tightened fiscal policy by 20 billion pounds last year, amounting to 3.5 per cent of GDP from financial year 1996-97 to financial year 1999-2000.

    There must be no return to the boom-bust we saw in the late 1980s and early 90s, when interest rates reached 15 per cent, 1 million manufacturing jobs were lost, nearly 170,000 businesses went under and thousands who faced mortgage misery and negative equity are even now not yet recovered from it.

    We are committed to steering a path of stability based on a stable monetary framework and sound public finances.

    And it is because of the reduction in borrowing and tough action on inflation, which has today seen us meet our inflation target for the second month in succession, that Britain is now better placed to steer a path of stability in these troubled times for the global economy.

    We have consistently taken a prudent and cautious approach to managing the public finances and we will continue to do so. Our projections have been based on cautious assumptions which have been audited by the independent national audit office and our plans have built in margins to cover uncertainties, including the risk of slower growth.  We have worked within the previous government’s spending plans for the first two years and our careful plans mean that current spending is now  set to grow in real terms by less over this parliament than the last.

    As I have said, slower world growth makes it inevitable that growth in Britain next year will be more moderate than previously expected.

    But because of the prudent approach we have followed, even with more moderate growth next year we remain on track to meet our strict fiscal rules over the economic cycle while maintaining our commitment to an additional 40 billion pounds for improvements in health and education.

  • Patricia Hewitt – 1998 Speech on the Global Economy

    Patricia Hewitt – 1998 Speech on the Global Economy

    The speech made by Patricia Hewitt, the then Economic Secretary to the Treasury, at the Fleming’s Seminar in 12 October 1998.

    Introduction

    1. Thank you for inviting me. The current turmoil in the global economy makes the timing of this conference pertinent.

    2. Today, I want to focus on the reform that is needed to respond to globalisation. Both in Europe and the rest of the world. I also want to raise the issue of free trade and capital controls.

    Global change and Europe’s response

    3. Today’s global economic problems are ones of the modern age. They could not have happened when finance was confined within sheltered and wholly national financial systems. These are new global problems which require new global solutions.

    4. Today, in an interdependent and instantaneous global marketplace, nations depend on investment flows from all over the world. And the punishment for getting things wrong can be immediate and severe. The premium everywhere is on monetary and fiscal stability

    5. All countries will benefit from setting clear long-term policy objectives for monetary and fiscal stability that build confidence.

    6. But equally, in today’s deregulated, liberalised financial markets, governments can no longer try to deliver stability through the strict application of over-rigid monetary targets. Stability will come through setting out clear objectives for monetary policy, and having the openness and transparency necessary to give credibility to the process.

    7. There have been considerable advances in stability and prudence over recent years.

    8. Member states have taken the Maastricht process very seriously and this has not been easy.

    9. In the 1990s deficits, which were a high proportion of GDP right across Europe, have fallen very heavily, from a peak of around 6 per cent of GDP to around 2 1/2 per cent.

    10. Inflation, which has been very high in some countries over many decades is now very low, around 2 per cent compared to a 1990 peak of over 5 1/2 per cent.

    11. Of course there is room for more progress on debt, which remains around 72% of GDP. But overall these are big changes signalling big advances in stability and prudence – and these advances have also brought greater convergence.

    Structural reform

    12. Macroeconomic policy will not in itself guarantee the levels of employment and growth that we want to see for Europe and the rest of the world. It is on the supply side that the rate of sustainable non-inflationary growth that an economy can achieve is determined. Structural reforms are essential for any country to remain competitive in this global age.

    13. Reforms of labour, product and capital markets that are now being suggested represent a third way for Europe. A third way which combines our enduring commitment to social cohesion and social justice with a commitment that, through economic reform, we help to ensure that Europe enjoys the rewards of an efficient dynamic economy.

    14. Globalization brings big opportunities and significant economic and social benefits, but it brings risks and social costs too. The benefits are not evenly distributed. People must now respond more quickly to the uncertainty and unpredictability. Jobs may not last as long and skills may quickly become obsolete as technological change accelerates. This can be difficult for people to accept and those who are unable to adapt quickly can get stuck in a vicious circle of social exclusion. But we can be sure that the social costs of doing nothing of isolationism or of protectionism are far higher. Open international markets benefit us all.

    15. In Europe, the challenges may not appear so severe. The EU has some of the most efficient, competitive, and well-regulated markets in the world. But we must be frank. With the advent of the single currency from 1.1.99, prices will become more transparent, exchange rate uncertainty will be reduced, and competitive pressures will sharpen. Less efficient industries will no longer be able to hide behind the fig-leaf of exchange rate uncertainty. If we want to make EMU a success, and if we want our economies to be able to deal satisfactorily with shocks, Europe’s governments must turn to the supply side, undertaking fundamental reform of labour markets, product markets and capital markets.

    16. It is vital that as Governments we take the actions that are needed to help tackle unemployment and raise employment. We need to combine making the structural reforms that are needed in our labour markets with measures to improve the employability of our workforces. We need, for example, to review our tax and benefit systems and make sure that they give the necessary incentives to make work pay and we need to ensure that our education systems are producing school leavers with the written, oral, numeracy and other basic skills that employers need and should expect.

    17. We have already made good progress. At both the EU level and individually within member states we are all doing this. With the Employment Chapter, Employment Guidelines and Employment Action Plans we have a new framework for policy and action at the European level. We have agreed employment guidelines with specific targets for action and each member state has produced Employment Action Plans showing what they are doing to implement. It is only by making the necessary reforms that we will tackle unemployment and raise living standards across the EU. But we have made good progress.

    18. But it is not only in the labour market that structural reform can yield significant results. In product markets, we must strive for a competition policy that creates more dynamic markets, is effective against those cartels and monopolies that hold new businesses and job creation back, and – in large areas where European-wide competition is still inadequate – pushes forward the frontiers of the single market. We must also work to increase competition internationally. So the era of anti-competitive policies is ending. The era of new pro-competitive policies and prosperity is beginning.

    19. In the financial markets, EU states have increasingly opened up to firms from other member states, widening the choice for consumers to let them widen portfolios and diversify risk. Many are working on far-reaching pension reforms which will significantly expand their capital markets. Regulatory and investor protection systems are being improved. But we know that there is much more to be done.

    20. More efficient equity markets have the potential to expand significantly, to the benefit of investment and jobs. The era of ignoring capital market reform is over. The era of pro-investment capital market reform has begun.

    21. There is also significant potential growth for venture capital markets. Britain’s venture capital market has been a significant creator of high quality jobs and companies. But it is much smaller than that of the USA. There is a new interest throughout Europe in examining how to enlist capital as a more effective route to job creation.

    Progress

    22. The EU has made significant progress in advancing the economic reform agenda. This year at Cardiff, Heads of Government agreed that Member States should each produce short annual reports on their product and capital markets, for discussion with their peers. And the Commission will produce a report too, for those common policies which impact on product and capital markets, such as competition and the Single Market.

    23. It will clearly take time to get results – there are no quick fixes with economic reform. But we should be encouraged. Economic reform has been recognised as the next big challenge for Europe in the globalised economy, and together Member States have set out an ambitious programme.

    Free trade

    24. Globalisation requires us to look beyond Europe. We remain committed to working with others to keep markets for trade and investment open while pushing for further and deeper liberalisation for the benefit of all.

    25. The gains from free trade are clear: better quality and more choice at lower prices. Efficient and innovative firms building a dynamic economy with rising growth productivity and living standards.

    26. But some fear free trade and globalisation leading to calls for protectionism. These pressures are increasing in the face of widening trade deficits with Asia. However, these fears are misplaced and must be resisted. The global economic crisis is causing painful adjustment – which is a necessary part of the cure for the crisis. We must not yield to the temptation to fall back on a protectionist response against cheaper imports. This is not an example of ‘unfair’ competition. Trade must be allowed to drive the restoration of global growth levels and re-integrate the countries in crisis back into the global economy. We have already pledged to guard against protectionism – but the surest way to fight protectionism is through further global trade liberalisation.

    27. The free trade message must be kept on the agenda – especially given the slowing of the growth of trade. This is why we are giving our full support to an early start to a millennium round of comprehensive liberalising trade negotiations at the WTO.

    28. The recent turbulence in world financial markets has led to some calls for capital controls. It is certainly clear that short-term capital flows can be destabilising and can disrupt markets when investors are insufficiently informed and when institutions lack credibility.

    29. But a retreat to capital controls is not the solution. This simply damages the prospects for stability and growth.

    30. So we favour an approach to capital account liberalisation which is bold in concept, but cautious in implementation. It has become clear that a host of preparatory reforms are needed before countries can fully benefit from integration into the world economy. Orderly liberalisation requires sound banking and financial systems and appropriate macroeconomic policies – consistent with the codes of good conduct we have proposed fiscal policy and monetary and financial policy.

    31. I hope that all in Europe can firmly back this consensus – both in encouraging properly sequenced liberalisation and in opposing unilateral actions taken as a substitute for necessary reform.

    Conclusion

    32. This programme of economic stability and structural reform will maximise our contribution to global stability and growth.

    33. We will have a Europe that builds on our long standing strengths of stability and cohesion as a continent but which makes reforms where necessary to compete more effectively globally.

    34. And it will mean we are better placed to steer a course of stability in an uncertain and unstable world.