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  • Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (21/04/2020)

    Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (21/04/2020)

    Below is the text of the statement made by Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish First Minister, at St Andrew’s House in Edinburgh on 21 April 2020.

    Good afternoon everyone. Thank you yet again for joining us for this daily update.

    As usual I will start with an update on some of the key statistics about the spread and impact of COVID-19 in Scotland.

    As at nine o’clock this morning, I can report that there have been 8,672 positive cases confirmed – which is an increase of 222 since yesterday.

    A total of 1,866 patients are currently in hospital with either confirmed or suspected COVID-19 – that is an increase of 57 from yesterday.

    A total of 166 people last night were in intensive care with confirmed or suspected COVID-19. That is a decrease of 3 since the figure I reported to you yesterday.

    Now while I would still urge caution in interpreting these figures, I do remain cautiously optimistic that firstly, while the numbers being admitted to hospital are still fluctuating on a daily basis, they do appear to be broadly stable – and secondly that the numbers being admitted to intensive care are, at this stage reducing.

    And we shouldn’t forget how important that is. It’s not too long ago that we were seriously worried about the potential for our hospital capacity to be overwhelmed by now.

    The fact that it is not, is down to the planning that’s been done in the national health service, of course, but more than that it is down to the high compliance with the lockdown restrictions.

    So my thanks to all of you for helping us to ensure the NHS has been able to cope, although the work that they do is very difficult and very challenging.

    It is of course in the nature of the virus that there will be a lag between numbers being admitted to hospital and intensive care reducing and the numbers sadly dying from this virus reducing. But I hope we will see the latter number also start to reduce in the next couple of weeks.

    However, in the last 24 hours, I am afraid that 70 deaths have been registered of patients who have been confirmed as having COVID-19 – that takes the total number of deaths in Scotland, under that measurement, to 985.

    I would remind you however, that registration over weekends, and this is a point you have heard me make often before, registrations over weekends still tend to be lower than during the week, so today’s higher figure will, at least in part, be a reflection of that.

    I would also remind you that these daily figures are of people who have sadly died after testing positive for this virus.

    Tomorrow, National Records of Scotland will again publish its weekly report, which will show the number of people who have died with either presumed or suspected COVID-19 as well, as well as those who have had a positive test confirmed.

    And again, as I always do because it is really important always to do this, I want to stress that each of these deaths represents much, much more than a statistic.

    They each represent an individual who was loved by family and friends, and whose loss is a source of intense grief. And so again I want to extend my sincere and deepest condolences to everyone who has lost a loved one.

    I also want once again to thank all of our health and care workers. The entire country continues to be grateful to you, for the extraordinary work you are doing.

    And it’s worth also making the point that there are not just health and care workers, although we understand the importance of the work they are doing, there are essential workers across a range of areas, who are going to work every day right now to keep the country moving, to keep the country going, to keep food on the table, to keep the lights on, and to each and every one of them, let me say thank you as well.

    I’ve got three issues I want to speak briefly about today.

    The first is that the Government’s Chief Economist, Gary Gillespie published the latest ‘State of the Economy’ report this morning. Gary is here with us today and will say a bit more about that in a few minutes.

    This report confirms the fact that dealing with this public health emergency has in itself created an economic emergency.

    It estimates that Scotland’s economic output could fall by a third during the current period of social distancing – an analysis which is broadly in line with last week’s projections for the UK as a whole from the Office for Budget Responsibility.

    The Labour Market Statistics on employment and unemployment, which have also been published today don’t fully reflect that impact yet, since they relate to the period up until the end of February, so a period before these restrictions took effect.

    It is however likely that there has been a significant increase in unemployment since then. For example, since March 15 we know there have been 130,000 new claimants for Universal Credit in Scotland. To give some context to that, in the comparable period last year, that number was 15,500.

    The Scottish Government’s immediate focus, working with the UK Government, has been on trying to mitigate the impact of the economic shock on people’s wellbeing, and on protecting the economy’s productive capacity for the future.

    Our overall package of support for businesses in Scotland now totals more than £2.3 billion – that includes business rates relief for many sectors, and grants for small businesses.

    The Economy Secretary will set out later today in Parliament today how £100 million of funding that we announced last week will be used to support people – for example, people who have become recently self-employed, who might not currently be eligible for other forms of support.

    Fundamentally, and this is a point I have made previously, we recognise that in order to protect public health, the Government is making extraordinary demands on businesses and workers.

    We are asking you to do unprecedented things, so we recognize that the responsibility and onus is on the Government, to equally do extraordinary things and provide extraordinary levels of support for businesses and workers, and we will continue to do everything we can to meet that challenge.

    It’s also worth adding that the health of the economy is, of course, one of the things we must consider as we think about how to emerge from this period of lockdown.

    The plans we will publish this week will set out some of the factors we will have to weigh up, as we work towards a point when we can allow some businesses to reopen, albeit with appropriate social distancing measures in place.

    But the economic harm being caused by this virus is not in itself a reason to come out of lockdown early. Indeed, dealing with this public health emergency and continuing to suppress the virus is an absolute prerequisite for a sustainable economic recovery.

    If we were to move out of lockdown too early, and then have to impose the same level of restrictions again, due to a further rapid rise in cases, that would in itself cause further, and possibly much longer lasting, economic damage.

    So these are decisions that we have to strike the right balance on, for the good of the country overall, and that is what we will seek to do.

    The work that I’ve mentioned we will publish towards the end of this week will set out in some more detail the principles that will guide us, as we seek to restore as much normality as we can to everyday life, without risking a resurgence of this virus that we know can, and is, doing so much harm.

    That point is actually related to the second issue I want to briefly speak on. We have today amended regulations introduced three weeks ago, to restrict public gatherings and non-essential business activities.

    Some of these amendments strengthen those regulations, to formalise what is already our established guidance – for example all businesses must take all reasonable measures to enforce the rule that workers are at least two metres apart from each other.

    Police, as a result of these amended regulations, will now be able to enforce that power within workplaces – though as with the regulations already in place, we envisage that this will be done initially through dialogue and encouragement. We do not expect police to be routinely patrolling office blocks.

    The legislation will also make clear that livestock markets and money advice services, such as foreign exchange services, can continue to operate – and that holiday accommodation businesses can manage online and telephone services for bookings. Not for this period but related to future dates.

    However, let me be clear it is not yet possible to say when such establishments will be able to re-open.

    I am very grateful, just as I am to every individual across the country who is complying with these restrictions, I am very grateful to all businesses who have acted responsibly by closing their businesses, or by ensuring safe social distancing.

    I know how tough these restrictions are for business. However, I would reiterate that they are absolutely essential to public health.

    The final issue I want to briefly cover is related to mental health. When I spoke to you last Tuesday, I said then that the Scottish Government would launch a new mental health campaign.

    That campaign – the “Clear Your Head” campaign – starts today.

    It highlights practical steps that all of us can take to look after our mental health better. For example sticking to a routine, staying active within the current guidelines, keeping in touch with people, and taking a break from news or social media from time to time.

    It also points people to places where you can get help and advice. For example, NHS Inform and helplines including NHS24, Breathing Space, the Samaritans, and the Scottish Association for Mental Health.

    What the campaign recognises is that the current lockdown is really tough for everyone. Everyone will be experiencing it differently but it is tough for everyone without exception. It is okay not to be feeling okay, at times right now.

    So all of us need to look out for each other – to show kindness, compassion and solidarity even as we stay physically separate.

    We should all also do what we can to look after our own mental health, and the campaign provides good advice on that.

    But if you need help, please reach out for it. Support is available, and the campaign that will launch today will show you where and how you can access that support.

    I’m about to hand over briefly to the Chief Medical Officer and then to the Chief Economist, who will say more about the State of the Economy Report.

    Before I do that, however, just let me again emphasise our key public health messages.

    Because it is really important if we’re to see that continued downward trend in people in intensive care, leading to that downward trend in the number of people dying, we must all comply with these restrictions.

    Stay at home, unless you are going out for essential purposes, such as food or medicine, or exercising.

    If you do go out, stay two metres away from other people, and don’t meet up with people from other households.

    Wash your hands regularly and thoroughly.

    By doing all of that you are helping us make sure that we suppress this virus and bring forward that time where we can restore some normality.

    Now as I keep saying, and I will keep saying, these restrictions are tough, and they will get tougher, not easier. I know everybody is feeling that increasingly. But they are essential, and as some, if not all of the statistics that I’ve given you today show, they are making a difference.

    By staying home, we are helping to slow the spread of the virus, we are as I have talked about already, protecting the NHS, and we are saving lives. So thank you once again to all of you for cooperation and compliance.

  • Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (22/04/2020)

    Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (22/04/2020)

    Below is the text of the statement made by Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish First Minister, at St Andrew’s House in Edinburgh on 22 April 2020.

    Good afternoon everyone. Thanks for joining us for today’s update.

    I’ll start as usual with an update on some of the key statistics in relation to Covid 19.

    As on the last two Wednesdays, this will have two parts – an update of the usual daily figures, but also a summary of the key points from today’s weekly publication from National Records of Scotland.

    Now this inevitably means a bit more complexity, so please bear with me as I go through these statistics.

    Let me turn firstly, to the daily figures.

    As at 9 o’clock this morning, there have been 9,038 positive cases confirmed – an increase of 366 from yesterday’s figures.

    A total of 1776 patients are currently in hospital with confirmed or suspected Covid-19 – that is a decrease of 90 from yesterday.

    And a total of 155 people last night were in intensive care with confirmed or suspected cases of the virus. That is a decrease of 11 on yesterday.

    Let me again say that these figures for hospital admissions and admissions to intensive care are really encouraging and there are a cause for optimism, still cautious optimism, but optimism nevertheless.

    In addition, as part of a package of new information we are providing on our website from today I am able, for the first time, to give a figure for the number of COVID-19 patients who have been discharged from hospital – indeed, that is information some of you have contacted me to ask that we provide.

    So I am able to confirm today that since 5 March, a total of 1,813 patients who had tested positive for the virus have been able to leave hospital, and I wish all of them well.

    On a much sadder note though, I also have to report today that in the last 24 hours, 77 deaths have been registered of patients who had been confirmed positive through a test as having Covid-19 – that takes the total number of deaths in Scotland as of this morning under that measurement, to 1062.

    Now I have spoken before about the different ways in which we record figures, but it might be helpful to very briefly recap on that.

    For our daily update figure – the one you have just heard me give – we report on deaths which have been registered where the individual who has died has been tested and confirmed as having Covid-19.

    Those figures are the most accurate ones that we’re able to provide on a daily basis. But obviously they don’t capture all deaths from the virus.

    So National Records of Scotland now produces a report each Wednesday which captures all deaths registered within a 7 day period, ending on the preceding Sunday. It includes – not just those with a confirmed laboratory diagnosis of the virus – but also deaths which are presumed to be linked to Covid-19 and mentioned on a death certificate.

    The number of deaths covered under this reporting system is therefore larger than under the daily system, when you compare the two figures according to the same date. But it is the comprehensive one.

    NRS published the third of its weekly reports today, just around half an hour ago. It covers the period up to Sunday 19th April – three days ago. At that point, according to our daily figures, if I can remind you, 915 deaths had been registered of people who had tested positive for Covid-19.

    However, today’s report shows that by Sunday, the total number of registered deaths linked to the virus – confirmed and presumed – was 1,616.

    651 of those were registered in the 7 days up until Sunday the 19th of April. That is an increase of 41 from the week before, when 610 Covid-19 deaths were registered.

    These figures are extremely difficult to report on, and I know they will be difficult for you all to listen to. They are higher than any of us would ever want to think about. But this information is really important because it gives us as full a picture as possible of the toll the virus is having and how and where it is progressing.

    There are two further points I want to highlight about today’s report. The first is that it again provides a breakdown of deaths by age, sex, location and health board area.

    It shows that almost three quarters of those who have died were aged over 75 – however it also shows that much younger people do sometimes die as a result of this virus. That is an important reminder that all of us are potentially at risk so it’s therefore important for all of us to follow the guidance.

    The report also provides information about the location in which people died. So far, 56% of those who have died died in hospital, 33% – 537 in total – have died in care homes, and 10% have died at home or in some other setting.

    We know older people and care homes are particularly vulnerable to this virus.

    But we must match that increased vulnerability with enhanced protection.

    So I want to say a bit more today about the measures we have put in place to protect residents and staff in care homes.

    Clear guidance on isolation in care homes has been in place now for some time and it is of course the duty of providers of care homes to make sure that guidance is followed.

    The Health Secretary set out yesterday additional steps that we are taking.

    NHS Directors of Public Health are taking enhanced clinical leadership for care homes.

    A national rapid action group has been established, which will receive daily updates and ensure quick local action is taken to deal with emerging issues.

    Testing for staff and residents is being expanded – as I set out here last week, all symptomatic residents of care homes will be tested.

    Covid-19 patients discharged from hospital, should only be admitted or readmitted to a care home once they have had 2 negative tests.

    In addition, other new admissions to care homes should be tested and isolated for 14 days – let me stress that this is in addition to and not a substitute for the clear isolation and social distancing measures the guidance sets out.

    We are also helping to recruit students, and people who previously worked in social care, to work in the care sector as soon as possible. Nursing staff are also supporting care homes, where that is needed.

    And we are increasing access to NHS personal protective equipment to care homes.

    For example this week, and let me stress this is in addition to our other supply routes, we are delivering supplies of aprons, gloves and fluid-resistant surgical masks direct to care homes. In doing that, of course, we are giving priority to those with known outbreaks of the virus.

    Finally, the Scottish Government, from today, is making more information publicly available about how the virus is affecting care homes.

    The statistics that we publish at 2pm today will include

    the total number of adult care homes that have reported a suspected COVID-19 case at any time;
    The total number of suspected cases in care homes so far; and

    the number of care homes that have current suspected cases. On this last point, I can tell you the figure today will show

    that 384 care homes have a current outbreak, but let be me clear what that means. It means that these are care homes

    that have at least one resident who has exhibited symptoms of the virus in the last 14 days.

    We must remember, difficult though this is, that it is not unusual for people to become sick in care homes. Residents are often frail and nearing the end of their lives.

    But that does not mean we consider any of these cases to be inevitable or that we don’t do everything we can to prevent them. Older people in care homes require as much – if not more – support and protection as anyone else in our society. We are working with care homes and other partners to provide that.

    In doing that, we are helped hugely by the expertise and dedication of those who work in the sector, who are doing a remarkable job in incredibly testing circumstances. We are grateful to all of them.

    The second point I want to briefly cover about the statistics is that the overall number of deaths registered last week is again much higher than the average for the same week in previous years – something that seems to be reflected in other countries at this time.

    And while around three quarters of that difference this week can be attributed directly to Covid-19, more than 200 deaths cannot be explained in this way.

    The data the NRS published today provides some explanation of that and indicated that some of the difference appear to be a result of more people dying of cancer, and dementia and Alzheimer’s. However clearly, this is an issue that we need to do further work on to make sure we understand it fully.

    Now, I focus on the statistics in these updates because they are important.

    And I set the reasons why they are important to us in understanding the spread of this virus and informing decisions about the way forward, and I’ll say more about the principles that will underpin our decision making tomorrow.

    But I want to emphasise again that these death are not just statistics.

    They were all people who were loved and cherished and who, for their family and friends, are irreplaceable. We should never forget that.

    Just as we shouldn’t forget those left behind, grieving for their lost loved ones. My condolences are with all of them.

    The final point I want to acknowledge is that listening to numbers like this is really horrible – reporting these numbers is really horrible, certainly the most difficult experience I’ve had as First Minister.

    And I know listening to this might leave you with a feeling of powerlessness as well as an acute and deep feeling of sadness.

    But I want to stress again that none of us are powerless, we all have some power against this virus. By following the rules, by staying home and by self-isolating when we have symptoms, we are all making a difference.

    I know it’s hard to see progress when numbers of deaths that we are reporting are so grim.

    But the other statistics I’m reporting on daily right now, particularly on hospital and intensive care admissions, do show that we are making progress – they are a source of optimism – and soon I hope a fall in the numbers of people dying will show that progress too.

    By complying with the lockdown, we are protecting ourselves and others, and we are saving lives.

    But even a very small easing up in that right now could send all of that progress very quickly into reverse.

    So please, keep sticking with it.

    Stay at home except for essential purposes. When you do go out, stay 2 metres away from other people, and do not meet up with people from other households. And wash your hands thoroughly and regularly.

    By doing this, we are all helping – and we are helping – to slow the spread of the virus, we are protecting the NHS – which has not been so far overwhelmed in the way we feared just a few weeks ago and despite these figures I am reporting to you today – and we undoubtedly all of us saving lives. So thank you once again to all of you for doing that.

    So thank you once again for all that you are doing. This is hugely appreciated not just by me, and by the government, but the collective community. It is appreciated by everyone. Thank you very much for bearing with me though what I know was a complicated update today with lots of different statistics.

  • Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (23/04/2020)

    Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (23/04/2020)

    Below is the text of the statement made by Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish First Minister, at St Andrew’s House in Edinburgh on 23 April 2020.

    Good afternoon everyone. Thank you for joining us for today’s briefing as usual.

    Today I’m going to focus quite a lot on the paper we’ve just published about how we might, at the right time and in the right way, begin to restore some normality to our lives, while still containing the COVID-19 virus.

    But before I do that, I will start as usual with an update on some of the key statistics in relation to the virus in Scotland.

    As at 9 o’clock this morning, there have been 9,409 positive cases confirmed – which is an increase of 371 from yesterday.

    A total of 1,748 confirmed or suspected COVID-19 patients are in hospital – and that is a decrease of 28 from yesterday.

    And a total of 148 people last night were in intensive care with confirmed or suspected cases of the virus. And that is a decrease of seven since yesterday. Let me say again as I did yesterday, these figures on hospital admissions and admissions in to intensive care are very encouraging and do give us real optimism at this stage.

    However in the last 24 hours, I am very sorry to have to report that 58 deaths have been registered of patients who had been confirmed through a test as having the virus – and that takes the total number of deaths in Scotland, under that measurement, to 1,120.

    Once again, it’s really important for all of us to remember that each of these deaths represents a unique, loved and irreplaceable individual. And I want to again extend my deepest condolences to everyone who has lost a loved one.

    I also want again to thank all of our health and care workers right across the country. This evening many thousands of us will, yet again applaud your efforts – we are all so deeply grateful to you for the extraordinary work you are doing.

    So let me turn now to the paper we have published just a few moments ago about the decisions we will need to take as we seek to contain this virus while also restoring a semblance of normality to our lives.

    And I want to be very clear with you at the outset – what we are publishing at this stage today is, by necessity, a first cut.

    I am seeking today really, to start a grown up conversation with you, the public.

    The decisions that lie ahead of us, of all of us, are really complex.

    We will – as we have done all along – seek to inform those decisions with the best scientific advice possible.

    But the science will never be exact, so we will also require to make very careful judgments.

    And we are in uncharted territory – it’s impossible to know with absolute certainty what the impact of our decisions will be in advance.

    That means we must also be prepared to adapt and change course as we go. We want to ease restrictions, of course we do, but we cannot absolutely rule out having to reapply some of them in future should we have evidence that the virus is again running out of control.

    And I want to be frank with you every single step of the way about all of these complexities and uncertainties.

    So while today’s paper is still quite high level, it is the start of a process.

    It sets out the objectives and the principles that will guide us, the different factors that we will need to take into account, the framework in which we will take decisions, and the preparations we need to make now.

    In the days and the weeks ahead, evidence, data and modelling will allow us to take firmer decisions.

    As that happens, this paper will evolve into a detailed plan with metrics, actions, milestones and measurements attached to it.

    And I give an assurance today that as we go through this process, we will share our thinking on an ongoing, iterative basis.

    But let me briefly set out some of the key points today.

    Firstly, and this is an obvious point, this virus causes real harm. And we see that every day in the statistics that we report, especially in the numbers of people who have died.

    But the lockdown measures we are taking to contain the virus are also doing damage.

    They’re doing harm to the economy and to living standards, to children’s education, to other aspects of our physical health, and to mental health and wellbeing. And the toll of all of that may also, in time, be measured in poorer health outcomes and lives lost.

    So we must try to find a better balance than the one we have right now.

    But my second point is that, as we do so, we cannot and we must not take our eye off the need to suppress the virus and minimise the damage that it does.

    And let me be very clear about this, continuing to suppress COVID-19 is the central objective that we set out in this paper today.

    Obviously, we cannot guarantee that no one will get this virus in the future – far from it – but an assumption that it is somehow safe to allow a certain proportion or a certain section of the population to get the virus is not part of the approach we will be taking.

    Third, we are increasingly confident that measures we are taking now are suppressing the virus.

    The key factor – and you may have heard this before – is what is known as the reproduction rate – the R number. And that needs be as far below one as possible.

    Now before lockdown that R number was very likely above three. And that means everyone with the virus was infecting three more people, each of them was infecting three more people and so on and on. That is what is exponential growth.

    Our best estimate now is that the R number is somewhere between 0.6 and one – though I should say that it is probably still higher in certain settings, such as care homes.

    But we can’t yet be absolutely sure about any of that. That’s why we need more time to monitor the statistics we report every day – like case numbers, hospital and ICU admissions, and numbers of deaths. And we need to develop further our data through ongoing surveillance.

    It’s only when we are sure that the virus is under control that we can even start to ease any of the restrictions.

    And it’s my next point really that takes us to the hard part.

    When we do reach that stage, the virus will be under control only because of the severity of the restrictions we are all living with just now. But the virus will not have gone away.

    So as we start to lift the restrictions, the real risk – and it is a very real risk – is that COVID-19 runs rampant again.

    So a return to normal as we knew it is not on the cards in the near future. And it’s really important that I am upfront with you right now about that.

    What we will be seeking to do is find a new normal – a way of living alongside this virus, but in a form that keeps it under control and stops it taking the toll that we know it can do.

    Social distancing and limiting our contacts with others will be a fact of life for a long time to come – certainly until treatments and ultimately a vaccine offer different solutions. So that means possibly for the rest of this year and maybe even beyond.

    And that’s why talk of lifting the lockdown – as if it’s a flick of a switch moment – is misguided.

    Our steps – when we take them – will need to be careful, gradual, incremental and probably quite small to start with.

    We will need to assess them in advance and monitor them in action. Sometimes, as I said a moment ago, we may even need to reverse things.

    As we go, we will apply our judgment to the best scientific advice possible, we will continue to collaborate closely with the other governments across the UK, and we will learn from international experience. The fact is that different countries are at different stages of this pandemic – but none of us are anywhere near through it yet and we all face the same challenges.

    So as we make these decisions here, careful balances will have to be struck.

    For example, it may be that be that certain business in certain sectors can re-open – but only if they can change how they work to keep employees and customers two metres distant from each other.

    Similarly with schools – classrooms may have to be redesigned to allow social distancing, so maybe not all children can go back to or be at school at the same times.

    Some limited outdoor activity might be able to restart earlier than indoor activity. But let me be clear, big gatherings and events are likely to be off for some months to come.

    We will also consider whether different approaches would make sense for different areas – though our preference, not least for ease of understanding, will be for as much consistency as possible.

    And of course given how severely this virus is affecting older people and those with other health vulnerabilities, some form of shielding will almost certainly be required for the foreseeable future.

    Now let me stress that what I have just set out there are not firm decisions – but they do illustrate the kind of options we will be assessing.

    And as we do so, we will consider not just the health imperatives, but also issues of practicality, sustainability, fairness and equity, ethics and human rights.

    And lastly, as well as changes to how we live, we will use public health interventions and technology to the maximum possible to help us control this virus.

    In the next phase, extensive testing, tracing of those who test positive and the isolation of symptomatic people to break the chain of transmission will be a central part of the approach that we will take. And the preparations to make that possible are already under way.

    We will also discuss with the UK government – for this is a reserved responsibility – the need for stronger surveillance measures for those coming into the country from elsewhere.

    So in short, this paper sets out the difficult decisions we face and the way in which we will go about preparing for them, making them and also assessing their impact.

    I want to stress again because it’s important that I am frank. The path ahead is not an easy one – it is paved with complexity and uncertainty. But with openness, transparency and frankness along the way, I believe that together we will be able to navigate it. It is for me and for government to work through and lead that process. But this is about all of us – hence this discussion that we are opening up with all of you today.

    The paper we have published is available on the Scottish Government website. I will post a link to it on Twitter, later this afternoon.

    So, please, even if – like I suspect most of the population – you are not in the habit of reading government documents, have a look at it. And if you have views on it please let us know. These views are important and will be helpful.

    As I said earlier, I will continue to share our thinking with you as it develops.

    But let me now end now on a vital point and one that you have become used to hearing me make each day. Moving on from where we are now as all of us want to do as quickly as it is safe to do will only be possible if and when we do get this virus properly under control.

    And that means sticking with the current rules that are in place just now.

    Stay at home except for essential purposes.

    Stay two metres apart from others when you have to be out.

    Do not meet up with people from other households.

    And isolate completely if you or anyone in your household has symptoms.

    This is tough, this is the toughest set of circumstances that the vast majority of us have ever lived through – and I can’t stand here and promise you it is going to get a whole lot easier soon.

    But as I hope we have started to set out today, if we keep doing the right things, and if we consider all of the options carefully and with the right objectives in mind, I do believe there will be a way through.

    And we will find that way through. So thank you for all you are doing to help. And please if you can, engage with this discussion as we go through the days and weeks to come.

    Thank you very much for your patience right now in allowing me to go through that in detail.

  • Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (27/04/2020)

    Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (27/04/2020)

    Below is the text of the statement made by Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish First Minister, at St Andrew’s House in Edinburgh on 27 April 2020.

    Good afternoon everyone. Thank you for joining us for today’s briefing.

    I want to start as I always do with an update on some of the key statistics, in relation to COVID-19 in Scotland.

    As at 9 o’clock this morning, I can confirm that there have been 10,521 positive cases confirmed, which is an increase of 197 from yesterday.

    A total of 1,762 patients are currently in hospital with either confirmed or suspected COVID-19, that is an increase of 27 from yesterday.

    A total of 134 people last night were in intensive care with confirmed or suspected COVID-19. That is an increase of one since yesterday.

    I should say at this point that despite these occasional fluctuations, overall these statistics for hospital and intensive care admissions still give us cause for cautious optimism.

    I am also able to confirm today that since 5 March, a total of 2,380 patients who had tested positive for the virus have been now able to leave hospital, and I wish them well.

    On a much sadder note, I have to report that in the last 24 hours, 13 deaths have been registered of patients who had been confirmed through a test as having the virus, and that takes the total number of deaths in Scotland, under that measurement to 1,262.

    It is worth highlighting again, indeed it’s important that I do so, that although people can now register deaths on Sundays, we do know that from recent weeks that the figures that we report on Mondays, of deaths which were registered on a Sunday, tend to be relatively low. That means the figure I report tomorrow maybe significantly larger than today’s.

    And of course, once again, I want to stress and indeed reflect on the fact that the numbers I read out here every day are not just statistics.

    They are individuals whose loss is a source of grief and distress to family and friends. So once again, I want to send my deepest condolences to everyone who has lost a loved one to this virus.

    I also want to thank as I always do, our health and care workers, who continue to do extraordinary work in the most difficult of circumstances.

    And again, place on record my thanks to essential workers the length and breadth of the country, whose dedication each and every day is helping to keep vital services running.

    Tomorrow, on international workers’ memorial day, the Scottish Government will join a minute’s silence at 11am to honour those frontline workers.

    Particularly, though of course not exclusively, health and care workers, who have sadly lost their lives while working to tackle this pandemic.

    I invite all of you at home, and those taking part in essential work across the country, to join us at that time tomorrow.

    The silence will provide an opportunity to pay tribute to those who have died as a result of their work to serve, care for and save others.

    It will be a further reminder that, of all the duties government bears during a situation like this, the most vital is our obligation to help to keep care and health workers safe.

    I want to stress again today that I and the Scottish Government are acutely aware of that responsibility, and will work each and every day to do everything we can to fulfil that obligation.

    I have two things I want to comment on this morning. The first is to reflect a little bit more on some of the statistics I have just reported.

    I know that it might not feel this way, since the numbers that I am reporting each day, particularly those on the number of people who are dying, are always far higher than we want them to be – but it is nevertheless the case that we are now seeing some real signs of progress.

    The number of people in intensive care has fallen by around a third in the last fortnight, from the figure I would have reported to you two weeks ago today.

    The number of people in hospital, which was rising sharply in the first 10 days of this month, has also now broadly stabilised and the trend there may also now be a downward one.

    Our NHS, while working incredibly hard and in the most difficult of circumstances, has not been overwhelmed, which just a few weeks ago we really feared that it might be.

    Of course, we are not yet seeing a definite fall in the number of people who are dying each day from the virus.

    However, as we have always said, because of the way the illness progresses, that will be the last daily number that we do start to see declining, and we hope to see that in the next couple of weeks.

    But we do have evidence that the actions that all of us, all of you watching at home are taking, are making a real and a positive difference.

    Your efforts are working, so again today I want to thank you for that.

    However, and I realise that this is a less welcome and much more difficult point for me to make, this progress remains very fragile and now is a time for all of us to exercise careful caution. It is certainly not a time to throw caution to the wind.

    The margins we think we are working within, in respect to the reproduction number – that crucial R number that I spoke about last week, are very narrow.

    At this stage, even a slight easing up in the restrictions in place now, could send the reproduction rate back towards or above one, and the virus would then start to spread very quickly again.

    Within days of that, all the indicators that are suggesting progress now, would start to go in the wrong direction again.

    That would mean more cases, more hospital and intensive care admissions and sadly, more deaths.

    So for all our sakes, and to protect the progress that together we’ve made, all of the restrictions currently in place need to remain in place, for now.

    The job is not done yet – we need you to stay the course for a bit longer.

    Of course, we are now thinking about the ways in which we can begin to ease the lockdown a bit when it is safer to do so, although we can’t yet put dates on any of that.

    And as I said last week, lifting lockdown will not be a flick of a switch moment. We will instead be considering gradual and careful variations.

    It important and necessary to do that work now, and we are doing that work now, and as I said last week, I think it is really important to engage you in that work in an open and transparent way.

    So I can confirm that in the coming days, I will say more about the different options under consideration, and how we are going about assessing those.

    But let me stress again that the current restrictions are still in place. We have to stick with them for now, in order to be able to relax things in future.

    As well as the impact on all of us as individuals, I absolutely understand the anxieties of business, and I am acutely aware of the social and health impacts of economic damage.

    But let me make this point – a premature easing up on restrictions, if it led to the virus running out of control again, would not help your business or the economy. In fact, it would make the economic damage even worse.

    That’s why I am asking businesses as well as individuals to continue to do the right things, as indeed the vast majority of you have been doing already, for which you have my deep gratitude.

    So if you are a business on the list of those required by law to close, then obviously you should remain closed.

    But if you are not in that category but chose to close voluntarily at the start of the lockdown, and are now thinking of reopening – our view is that you should not contemplate doing so, unless you can comply fully with existing guidance, and are able to change your working practices to ensure safe social distancing at all times.

    The precautionary principle that I have spoken about before still applies, for the protection of your workers and for your customers.

    And for all of us, not just businesses. If you are now going out and about a little bit more than you were at the start of the lockdown, then you really shouldn’t be.

    Because you might be putting yourselves, and your loved ones at risk.

    Fundamentally, the basic restrictions of lockdown continue to apply.

    You should only leave home for essential purposes like buying food or medicine, or exercising.

    If you do leave the house, you should stay two metres apart from other people, and not meet up with people from other households.

    And you should wash your hands thoroughly and regularly.

    As I say every day, I know that all of this is difficult, and I know that it gets more difficult with every day that passes but it remains essential.

    As I’ve said many times, and again today, any easing up right now would risk us seeing the virus surge upwards again.

    So please, please stick with it, so we can continue to make progress together, and accelerate hopefully, the stage at which we can begin a process of restoring some normality to our lives.

    The other issue I want to very briefly update on relates to skills.

    Skills Development Scotland have updated their ‘My World of Work’ website to help people find free courses.

    This new service has been developed with the support of the Open University in Scotland, and it highlights free courses run by 12 providers in areas like digital technology, business studies, and languages.

    In the coming weeks and months, we will expand the range of courses available, by working with colleges and universities.

    We are also working with the UK Government and the other devolved administrations, who are all developing similar initiatives, in order to highlight the courses they offer.

    I‘m aware that doing courses like this may not be an option for everyone. If you have caring responsibilities, or if you have volunteered to help others, time to study might be pretty limited.

    But for some people, maybe especially, though not exclusively, people who are currently furloughed, or have been made unemployed, it could make sense to develop new skills during this period.

    We hope that this initiative will help people to do that, safely and free of charge.

    It’s a good example of the importance of digital public services, and I’m grateful to Skills Development Scotland for establishing this site so quickly.

    The courses are open to anyone. So if you are interested then go to myworkofwork.co.uk where you will find the free courses under the ‘Learn and train’ section of the main menu.

    That concludes my update for today. Before I pass on to the Chief Medical Officer, and then the Health Secretary, I simply want to end by thanking again each and every one of you for doing the right thing, and staying at home.

    I know it’s difficult, but it is as I hope I’ve demonstrated today, also making a difference.

    The steps we are all taking are helping to slow the spread of the virus, as we wanted to do.

    They are helping to protect the NHS as we wanted to do, and they are, notwithstanding the figures I have to report to you every day, helping to save lives.

    So please stick with them, and thank you for doing so.

  • Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (24/04/2020)

    Nicola Sturgeon – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus (24/04/2020)

    Below is the text of the statement made by Nicola Sturgeon, the Scottish First Minister, at St Andrew’s House in Edinburgh on 24 April 2020.

    Good afternoon. Thanks for joining us for today’s briefing.

    I want to start – as I always do – by updating you on some of the key statistics in relation to Covid-19 in Scotland.

    As at 9 o’clock this morning, there have been 9,697 positive cases confirmed – an increase of 288 from yesterday.

    A total of 1710 patients are in hospital with Covid-19 – that is a decrease of 38 from yesterday.

    A total of 141 people last night were in intensive care with confirmed or suspected Covid 19. That is also a decrease of 7 since yesterday.

    These figures for hospital admissions and intensive care are giving us real and growing cause for optimism that the current lockdown is working to suppress the virus. That’s the good news, perhaps the less good news is that also tells us why we must stick with these lockdown restrictions, because as I’ve said many times before standing here, any easing up on that at all right now would risk us putting all that progress into reverse and the virus quickly running out of control again. So please stick with the restrictions because as you can see they are working

    I am also, in some other good news, able to confirm today that since 5 March, a total of 2,271 patients who had tested positive for the virus and been admitted to hospital have been able to leave hospital, and I wish all of them well.

    However on a much sadder note, I also have to report that in the last 24 hours, 64 deaths have been registered of patients who have been confirmed through a test as having Covid-19 – that takes the total number of deaths in Scotland, under that measurement, to 1,184.

    As I’ve said before, we provide these statistics for a very important reason, it helps tell us and tell you what is happening with the virus and how it is progressing across the country and what impact it is having. But the people behind these statistics could be the loved ones of any of us and that’s what I always bear in mind when I report the numbers to you every day. Each and every one of these statistics was a real person and across the country right now their deaths are being mourned by family members whose lives will never be the same again without them. So once again today I want to convey my deepest condolences to everyone who is grieving for a loved one as a result of this virus.

    I also want to thank again – as I always do and always will – our health and care workers. Last night, I – along with thousands of people across the country – once again took part in the applause at 8 o’clock. It has become a regular – and very special – feature of our week and our Thursday evenings in particular. And it’s just one small way in which we show our appreciation, for the extraordinary work that all of you do and I again today I give my sincere thanks to all of you.

    That Thursday night applause has also become a way for all of us in streets and communities up and down the land to briefly come together to share some kindness and show some solidarity. At a very grim and difficult time these really are special moments indeed.

    Now, there a two issues I want to cover today before handing on to my colleagues and opening up to questions.

    The first issues is just to recap the paper the Scottish Government published yesterday, on how we might begin to go through a process over the weeks to comes of restoring some level of normality to our everyday lives, while we also continue to contain and suppress the virus and minimise the harms that it does.

    I can tell you today that since it was published – this time yesterday – more than 250,000 people have viewed the paper on the Scottish Government’s website. So thank you to those of you who have taken the time to engage with this and I would encourage those who haven’t had the opportunity to do so yet to take some time to read the document. I noted yesterday that most people will never read a government document but if you are ever going to do it at all this is the time. So please take some time to read what we set out, the principles that are going to guide us, some of the factors we have to take into account. And if you’ve got views that you would like us to consider in this next phase of our work then please don’t hesitate to tell us what they are.

    As I said yesterday, this publication is an attempt to have grown up conversation with the wider public in Scotland. We want to be really frank with you every step of the way about the complexities and uncertainties of the decision that lie ahead. We need to be clear now that lockdown remains essential for the reasons I mentioned a moment ago, and that even as we are able to start to ease some of these restrictions, we’re going to have to do so very carefully, very cautiously – probably very slowly and gradually. We’re going to have to take what I described this morning as baby steps in doing this. We’ve got to try to seek a new normal, because how we are living our lives right now has consequences and can’t go on forever, but we have to recognised the virus has not gone away, so there will be changes in how we live our lives that will be necessary for some time to come, until science in the form of treatments and a vaccine offer new solutions to us.

    So this really is about all of us and its impact on the lives of each and every one of us and that’s why it’s important everyone feels part of this process.

    What’s important to me as First Minister, in contrast to the uncertainties that politicians usually like to express, is that I can also be frank with you about the uncertainties and the complexities of the decisions that lie ahead. Those decisions will make demands on all of us and the lives that we lead so I want that process to be as open as possible. And the paper that we published yesterday, which so many of you have already taken the opportunity to read, is the start of that process.

    As I said yesterday, in the days and few weeks ahead, we will set out more detail on the different options we will consider, as well as the modelling and scientific advice that underpins and informs our decisions. And of course, as we develop and assess those options, we will continue to engage as widely as possible, across the different sectors and groups of society.

    Lastly, I want to reemphasise an important point. It’s one that I made yesterday it and it’s one I’ve made already in my remarks to you today.

    Moving on from where we are now will only be possible only if and when we get the virus under control and we have more confidence that is the case. And so it remains absolutely vital that all of us continue to comply with the public health guidance and rules that are in place.

    To reiterate, that means staying at home, unless you are going out for essential purposes – such as exercising once a day, or buying food and medicines.

    It means that if you do go out, do not meet up with people from other households, and please stay two metres apart from other people.

    And it means wash your hands thoroughly and regularly.

    By following these rules, we can continue, as we are doing right now, to slow the spread of this virus. And we can hasten the day, when we return if not to complete, but to some semblance of normality in our everyday lives.

    The second item I want to update you on, is our work to ensure that Scotland’s NHS has the supplies that it needs to care for people in this time.

    Over the past month, the Minister for Trade Ivan McKee has been leading work to ensure that any shortages are overcome – and that supply chains can continue to meet demand.

    That has involved at times sourcing equipment from alternative supply chains. And where necessary, we have looked overseas to source the equipment we need.

    For example, last weekend, a major consignment of PPE arrived at Prestwick Airport, from China. It included 10 million fluid-resistant face masks, as well as equipment for use in intensive care units and laboratories.

    I can confirm that, just an hour ago, another of those consignments arrived at Prestwick. It includes 100,000 testing kits, as well as another 10 million face masks.

    Of course, alongside international procurement, we’re also working to boost Scotland’s domestic supply lines.

    About a month ago, we put out a call to action, to Scotland’s businesses. We asked them to support the flow of supplies and equipment, to our health and social care sector.

    To date, more than 1,600 businesses and individuals have answered that call. And I want to thank each and every one of them.

    We are working hard to assess and coordinate each of those offers, as quickly as possible. And in doing that, we are prioritising the support that is needed most.

    Our work with Calachem – a company based in Grangemouth – is a good example. Calachem have now produced 20,000 litres of hand sanitiser. The sanitiser was manufactured using denatured alcohol from Whyte & Mackay. It was bottled by the Stonehaven-based company, McPhie. And deliveries of the product – to our front line services – will begin from next week.

    The Scottish Government has formed this supply chain, in an incredibly short space of time. It will produce 560,000 litres of hand sanitiser, over the next four weeks. And that will be enough meet the needs of Scotland’s entire health and social care sector.

    Another example is the work we’re doing with the firm Alpha Solway. They are currently manufacturing 20,000 face visors per day, at their factory in Annan. And in total, they are supplying an order of over one million visors, to our NHS.

    These businesses – and many more like them – are doing hugely important work. Rightly and properly we will continue to talk about getting supplies of this kind of equipment to the front line, but I thought it was useful today to give you an insight into the work that’s being done to ensure these supplies keep flowing and the we have sufficient of them to get through this crisis. So these companies and many more in addition to the ones I’ve mentioned today are playing a critical part in our overall collective national endeavour in Scotland to tackle this crisis and I want to put on record today my heartfelt thanks to each and every one.

    Let me close today by saying something about this weekend. I’m conscious that it will be the fifth weekend, since Scotland went into lockdown. And I know that they only get harder, as time goes on.

    I also know that this weekend will be particularly difficult for Scotland’s Muslim communities – who are now observing the holy month of Ramadan. It will be tough not to be able to host people in your home, or visit friends and family, or attend your local mosque. And the Justice Secretary, who is himself observing Ramadan, will say a bit more about that, shortly.

    However, I want to end by emphasising the sacrifices we’re all making, are having a positive impact. We have a long way to go, I shared some of that with you yesterday, but it is equally true to say that we are seeing hopeful signs and so it’s vital that we stick with it – and build on the work we’ve done, so far.

    By doing that, we are slowing the spread of this virus, we are protecting our NHS, and despite the horrible statistics I report to you on a daily basis, we are saving lives. So I want to thank all of you, once again, for playing your part and doing that.

  • Andy McDonald – 2020 Statement on TUC’s Report

    Andy McDonald – 2020 Statement on TUC’s Report

    Below is the text of the comments made by Andy McDonald, the Shadow Secretary for Employment Rights and Protection, on 27 April 2020.

    With the country pulling together during this time of crisis, Labour is working constructively with the Government to stop the spread of the coronavirus and support workers and businesses.

    We want to ensure no stone is left unturned to keep people safe now and in the future, and the Government must go further to provide security to people in and out of work.

    It is not enough to just clap for our carers and key workers, we must build a better society that protects them and all workers, strengthens their rights and properly rewards them for what they do.

  • Steve Reed – 2020 Statement on Mocking Helpline Callers

    Steve Reed – 2020 Statement on Mocking Helpline Callers

    Below is the text of the statement issued by Steve Reed, the Shadow Communities and Local Government Secretary, on 27 April 2020.

    These reports are extremely distressing. A full investigation must be launched immediately.

    If vulnerable people who call the helpline are not getting the support they need, the programme must be overhauled.

    The Government rushed to set up the shielding programme as a national scheme instead of integrating it with existing call centres and local support run by councils and charities that know their neighbourhoods better. We need a scheme that’s better integrated with local support to avoid the mistakes the Government is making.

  • George Eustice – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus

    George Eustice – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus

    Below is the text of the statement made by George Eustice, the Secretary of State for the Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, on 26 April 2020.

    Good afternoon, and welcome to today’s Downing Street Press Conference. I’m pleased to be joined today by Stephen Powis, the National Medical Director of NHS England.

    Before I update you on the latest developments in the food supply chain, let me first give you an update on the latest data from the COBR coronavirus data file. Through the government’s ongoing monitoring and testing programme, as of today:

    669,850 tests for coronavirus have now been carried out in the UK, including 29,058 tests carried out yesterday;

    152,840 people have tested positive, that’s an increase of 4,463 cases since yesterday;

    15,953 people are currently in hospital with the coronavirus in the UK, down from 16,411 on 25 April.

    And sadly, of those hospitalised with the virus, 20,732 have now died. That is an increase of 413 fatalities since yesterday.

    We express our deepest condolences to the families and friends of these victims.

    At the beginning of the outbreak of this virus we saw significant problems in panic buying. That episode quickly subsided and food availability now is back to normal levels and has been for several weeks. All supermarkets have introduced social distancing measures to protect both their staff and their customers and it is essential that shoppers respect these measures.

    The food supply chain has also seen a significant reduction in staff absence over recent weeks. As staff who had been self-isolating through suspected coronavirus symptoms have returned to work. So absence levels are down from a peak of typically 20% in food businesses three weeks ago to less than 10% at the end of last week and in some cases individual companies reporting absences as low as 6%.

    We have put in place measures to support the clinically vulnerable. So far 500,000 food parcels have been delivered to the shielded group, that is those who cannot leave home at all due to a clinical condition that they have. In addition, the major supermarkets have agreed to prioritise delivery slots for those in this shielded group. So far over 300,000 such deliveries have been made, enabling people to shop normally and choose the goods that they want to buy.

    We recognise that there are others who are not clinically vulnerable and therefore are not in that shielded group but who may also be in need of help. Perhaps through having a disability or another type of medical condition, or indeed, being unable to draw on family and neighbours to help them. We have been working with local authorities to ensure that those people can be allocated a volunteer shopper to help them get their food needs. Charities such as Age UK and others can now also make also direct referrals on the Good Samaritan App to locate volunteers for those in need.

    Many supermarkets have taken steps to increase the number of delivery slots that they have. At the beginning of this virus outbreak there were typically 2.1 million delivery slots in the entire supermarket chain. That has now increased to 2.6 million, and over the next couple of weeks we anticipate that that will grow further to 2.9 million. So supermarkets have taken steps to increase their capacity but while this capacity has expanded, it will still not be enough to meet all of the demand that is out there.

    Some supermarkets have already chosen to prioritise some vulnerable customers with a proportion of the delivers slots that they have and others have offered to work with us and also local authorities to help establish a referral system so that when somebody is in desperate need, a local authority is able to make a referral to make sure that they can get a priority slot.

    As we look forward more generally towards the next stage in our battle against this virus, there are encouraging signs of progress, but before we consider it safe to adjust any of the current social distancing measures, we must be satisfied that we have met the five tests set out last week by the First Secretary.

    Those tests mean that the NHS can continue to cope;

    that the daily death rate falls sustainably and consistently;

    that the rate of infection is decreasing; and operational challenges have been met;

    and, most important of all, that there is no risk of a second peak.

    For now, the most important thing we can all do to stop the spread of the coronavirus is to stay at home, to protect the NHS and save lives.

    I want to pay tribute to all those who are working throughout the food supply chain from farmers, manufacturers and retailers. The response of this industry to ensure that we have the food that we need has been truly phenomenal.

    Thank you.

  • Boris Johnson – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus

    Boris Johnson – 2020 Statement on the Coronavirus

    Below is the text of the statement made by Boris Johnson, the Prime Minister, at Downing Street on 27 April 2020. The text and formatting is as supplied by Downing Street.

    I am sorry I have been away from my desk for much longer than I would have liked

    and I want to thank everybody who has stepped up

    in particular the First Secretary of State Dominic Raab

    who has done a terrific job

    but once again I want to thank you

    the people of this country

    for the sheer grit and guts

    you have shown and are continuing to show

    every day I know that this virus brings new sadness and mourning to households across the land

    and it is still true that this is the biggest single challenge this country has faced since the war

    and I in no way minimise the continuing problems we face

    and yet it is also true that we are making progress

    with fewer hospital admissions

    fewer covid patients in ICU

    and real signs now that we are passing through the peak

    and thanks to your forbearance, your good sense, your altruism, your spirit of community

    thanks to our collective national resolve

    we are on the brink of achieving that first clear mission

    to prevent our national health service from being overwhelmed

    in a way that tragically we have seen elsewhere

    and that is how and why we are now beginning to turn the tide

    If this virus were a physical assailant

    an unexpected and invisible mugger

    which I can tell you from personal experience it is

    then this is the moment when we have begun together to wrestle it to the floor

    and so it follows that this is the moment of opportunity

    this is the moment when we can press home our advantage

    it is also the moment of maximum risk

    because I know that there will be many people looking now at our apparent success

    and beginning to wonder whether now is the time to go easy on those social distancing measures

    and I know how hard and how stressful it has been to give up

    even temporarily

    those ancient and basic freedoms

    not seeing friends, not seeing loved ones

    working from home, managing the kids

    worrying about your job and your firm

    so let me say directly also to British business

    to the shopkeepers, to the entrepreneurs, to the hospitality sector

    to everyone on whom our economy depends

    I understand your impatience

    I share your anxiety

    And I know that without our private sector

    without the drive and commitment of the wealth creators of this country

    there will be no economy to speak of

    there will be no cash to pay for our public services

    no way of funding our NHS

    and yes I can see the long term consequences of lock down as clearly as anyone

    and so yes I entirely share your urgency

    it’s the government’s urgency

    and yet we must also recognise the risk of a second spike

    the risk of losing control of that virus

    and letting the reproduction rate go back over one

    because that would mean not only a new wave of death and disease but also an economic disaster

    and we would be forced once again to slam on the brakes across the whole country

    and the whole economy

    and reimpose restrictions in such a way as to do more and lasting damage

    and so I know it is tough

    and I want to get this economy moving as fast as I can

    but I refuse to throw away all the effort and the sacrifice of the British people

    and to risk a second major outbreak and huge loss of life and the overwhelming of the NHS

    and I ask you to contain your impatience because I believe we are coming now to the end of the first phase of this conflict

    and in spite of all the suffering we have so nearly succeeded

    we defied so many predictions

    we did not run out of ventilators or ICU beds

    we did not allow our NHS to collapse

    and on the contrary we have so far collectively shielded our NHS so that our incredible doctors and nurses and healthcare staff have been able to shield all of us

    from an outbreak that would have been far worse

    and we collectively flattened the peak

    and so when we are sure that this first phase is over

    and that we are meeting our five tests

    deaths falling

    NHS protected

    rate of infection down

    really sorting out the challenges of testing and PPE

    avoiding a second peak

    then that will be the time to move on to the second phase

    in which we continue to suppress the disease

    and keep the reproduction rate, the r rate, down,

    but begin gradually to refine the economic and social restrictions

    and one by one to fire up the engines of this vast UK economy

    and in that process difficult judgments will be made

    and we simply cannot spell out now how fast or slow or even when those changes will be made

    though clearly the government will be saying much more about this in the coming days

    and I want to serve notice now that these decisions will be taken with the maximum possible transparency

    and I want to share all our working and our thinking, my thinking, with you the British people

    and of course, we will be relying as ever on the science to inform us

    as we have from the beginning

    but we will also be reaching out to build the biggest possible consensus

    across business, across industry, across all parts of our United Kingdom

    across party lines

    bringing in opposition parties as far as we possibly can

    because I think that is no less than what the British people would expect

    and I can tell you now that preparations are under way

    and have been for weeks

    to allow us to win phase two of this fight as I believe we are now on track to prevail in phase one

    and so I say to you finally if you can keep going in the way that you have kept going so far

    if you can help protect our NHS

    to save lives

    and if we as a country can show the same spirit of optimism and energy shown by Captain Tom Moore

    who turns 100 this week

    if we can show the same spirit of unity and determination as we have all shown in the past six weeks

    then I have absolutely no doubt that

    we will beat it together

    we will come through this all the faster

    and the United Kingdom

    will emerge stronger than ever before

  • David Howell – 1978 Speech on the Home Office

    David Howell – 1978 Speech on the Home Office

    Below is the text of the speech made by David Howell, the then Conservative MP for Guildford, in the House of Commons on 6 November 1978.

    I begin by reassuring the Home Secretary of one thing. He may sometimes feel that events are moving against him on every side, especially when he reads the newspapers, but let me make it clear that we fully back all firm steps that he and his Department take to tackle crime and uphold the law. In particular, we back every step that he now feels necessary to maintain order in the prisons and safeguard the proper administration of the law against any threats from the current industrial action. I shall make more comments on the prisons later, but I thought that I should make that clear now.

    We have also supported all along the approach through the Edmund-Davies committee inquiry. Indeed, we urged it on the Home Secretary and thought that it should have come earlier. On Thursday my right hon. Friend the Member for Penrith and The Border (Mr. Whitelaw) said that he welcomed the prisons inquiry, although some of us have criticised it for being a bit belated. We were glad to learn about the Home Secretary’s conference on vandalism and were glad of the message of concern about vandalism on the part of not only the right hon. Gentleman but the Prime Minister.
    We are glad that that matter has been taken on board, although I must say that the Central Policy Review Staff, the Think Tank in the Cabinet Office, still has something to learn about the dangers of producing sketchy reports—or illustrative and rapid reviews, as I think it calls them—on issues as sensitive as this. I am not sure that that is the right role for the CPRS to play, and I do not think that its report added much to our understanding of matters.

    We have followed the Home Secretary’s efforts and support the moves that we believe are firm and right in tackling this matter. Naturally, we hope to push him a little further or at any rate to lay the foundations for the reforms that we plan to carry out under the next Conservative Government. Meanwhile, we are glad to ​ see that the Home Secretary recognises the importance of the law and order issue, not always with quite the support from behind him that one would like to see. We shall back his constructive efforts.

    The second preliminary point that I want to make is addressed to those who believe strongly and sincerely in penal reform, and who in a sense have had all the running in the past 20 years in our penal policy. The impulse for penal reform is a very fine thing, of course, but unless and until society is more reassured than it is now that violence is being con tamed and dealt with, and particularly violence by violent young people, believe that it will be virtually impossible to carry forward sensible penal reform or to tackle prison overcrowding, which the Home Secretary mentioned.

    We believe that the public are entitled to more protection than they have had and even than they are now getting, and that vigorous action is required at all stages in the cycle of crime control and the system of criminal justice. It is not good enough to react to crises as they develop or to blame each development on nameless forces. There is a need for action at every stage in the process of administering the law, right from policing and prevention at one end through the whole problem of the powers and procedures of the courts, up to the structure of punishment and penalties and the organisation of penal institutions at the other end.

    We recognise that that is an enormous programme. It will demand the calling out of major resources of energy. It is not correct to say that we are doing all we can, as has been suggested. Without a doubt there is much more to be done, and it should be done.

    I come to some of the areas that the Home Secretary touched upon, beginning with policing and crime prevention. As I said, we strongly welcome the Edmund Davies conclusions. We on the Conservative Benches are convinced that it would have been much better to pay the increase all at once and not to have phased it. There we are echoing the conclusions of the report, which made it quite clear in paragraph 206 that that was what the committee recommended.

    Clearly, what the Home Secretary says about recruitment is welcome. I should ​ like to know how that spreads over the regions. Is the increase only in London, where there is the additional London weighting, or can the right hon. Gentleman tell us good news all over the country? Are the resignation rates really down? Has the bleeding stopped? That is the real problem—not just raising the number of recruits by increasing pay rates, but stopping the experienced men going. Can the right hon. Gentleman bring us good news about that?

    We have always said, and the right hon. Gentleman himself has said, that those questions are vital, but they are not the only questions when it comes to improving policing. There is, first, the whole problem of easing the administrative burden on the police. I was interested to see in the Edmund-Davies report a list of no fewer than 98 laws passed since 1960 by this House that have added to the administrative and paper work falling on the police. It must be possible to reduce some of the enormous administrative burden and to release more manpower and womanpower for policing on the beat and in the housing estates. I am sure that there are gains to be made here.

    Then there is the question of traffic. Over the past 10 years there has been an increase in traffic offences—not just parking tickets, but offences involving the police—from about 1½ million to well over 2½ million. It must be right to consider the idea of simplifying the traffic laws and of having ticket offences. My hon. Friend the Member for Sutton Coldfield (Mr. Fowler) has said a certain amount about that in recent days. It is an area to which the Home Office and the right hon. Gentleman should be applying their minds.

    That is the first point—the burden must be eased to release more manpower so that it can go on the beat. The second need, which the Home Secretary touched on, is to encourage the public to be not only law-abiding but law-assisting. That means a number of things.

    My hon. Friend the Member for Birmingham, Edgbaston (Mrs. Knight) referred to co-operation with the schools, and the Home Secretary added to her point. It is a very valuable one. It is not merely a question of expecting chief ​ constables and police forces to make the first approach. I should like to see the education authorities suggest that it would be a good idea to welcome the police into the schools, for two reasons. One is that there could perhaps be fitted into the curriculum some basic and interesting tuition on how the legal system works and how the system of criminal justice operates. The second is that the school authorities and police authorities in a particular locality could keep closely in touch and that in general the police in the locality could have the firm support of the school authorities, local trades people, local public service officials and all the rest.

    I think and hope that the Home Secretary recognises that the need is to give the police firm and unstinted support. But that applies not only at the local level, in the village, in the street, in the city centre, but all the way up—in Whitehall as much as at the town hall and in the village. I am not saying that we want, and we would certainly be against, any development towards a national police force. But it is disturbing to find that it is clear that some chief constables—they are the people who have to run the police forces—feel and give expression to a lack of support from the top and from Whitehall. I believe that improvements could be made in co-ordination and in the regular contact that those with the difficult job of managing our police forces have with Whitehall and with Ministers.

    Mr. Merlyn Rees

    I wonder whether the hon. Gentleman can help me. Can he tell me which chief constable said that? I have met the chief constables recently, and they have not put that matter to me.

    Mr. Howell

    I shall certainly provide the Home Secretary with a number of comments, both published and in papers circulated to hon. Members, about worries expressed by chief constables that they are not receiving enough support from the Government and the highest authorities. I am surprised that the right hon. Gentleman asked me about this, because a number of these matters have been published in the press. There is a great deal of worry that Ministers have not been showing sufficient support for the forces of law and order, [HON. MEMBERS: “Where”?] If hon. Members want ​ examples, they know them. They do not need to ask.

    The Minister of State, Home Office (Mr. Brynmor John)

    Name one.

    Mr. Howell

    Perhaps the Minister of State remembers that some of his Cabinet colleagues went on the picket lines at Grunwick.

    I have said that I shall provide the Home Secretary with details—

    Mr. Peter Hardy (Rother Valley)

    Does the hon. Gentleman agree that it is not sufficient for him to give this important information to my right hon. Friend? He should give it to the House. He has suggested to the House that the information is available. We suggest to him that he should present it to the House now.

    Mr. Howell

    I have made it clear that a number of chief constables have expressed their worries about the lack of support from on high for the forces of law and order. I shall certainly provide details to the Home Secretary. I am very willing to do that, and there is no problem about doing so. What is more, hon. Members know that this view is quite widespread.

    From the problem of policing, I now move one stage along the cycle of law enforcement to the area of arrest and police interrogation, which is a very difficult one.

    I do not agree with all that Sir Robert Mark, the former Commissioner, has had to say recently. But I thought that he was hitting the nail on the head when he wrote the following in his book:

    “The surest and quickest way to reduce crime and to achieve a more humane and enlightened penal system is to increase the likelihood that the guilty will be convicted.”

    I think that that is profoundly true. I know that these are matters at which the Royal Commission is looking. But this matter has been debated for a very long time, as the Home Secretary knows. In 1972 the Criminal Law Revision Committee, under Lord Justice Edmund-Davies, as he was then, recommended that

    “adverse inferences may be properly drawn from the silence of the accused”

    —a matter about which the police are very concerned. I do not know when the Royal Commission will reach its conclusion—I hope that it is soon—but on the present time scale it could be as late as 1982 before much begins to happen in this area.

    Let us at least agree that the Royal Commission needs to get on with its work with all speed, because these matters have been debated for a very long time and they are very important in the campaign against crime.

    I come next to the courts and their powers. Here the Opposition have a straight disagreement with the Home Secretary.

    The right hon. Gentleman now believes that the powers of the courts are adequate. I have tried to check this, but I think that he said it last to the Bromley Rotarians. On that occasion he said precisely that. His words were:

    “Some people think the powers of the courts are inadequate to deal with crime. I do not believe this to be true.”

    So he is now satisfied that the courts have all the powers that they need. The Opposition disagree with that view, especially in the case of juvenile courts, but also in one respect for the courts generally and for the Crown courts. I deal first with the juvenile courts. We in this House have all seen enough of the Children and Young Persons Act, which has been in partial operation since 1971, to realise that it is profoundly unsatisfactory to magistrates and social workers alike. The Opposition’s belief is that magistrates should have restored to them the power to make secure care orders, both when making care orders and when renewing them. In our view, it is unsatisfactory that at present the juvenile courts have no say in how care orders are discharged. It is true that under the Criminal Law Act 1977 they can attach some conditions to supervision orders, but in the case of care orders they have no say. We think that that is wrong and that it would be desirable for magistrates to be able to make care orders specifying secure accommodation.

    Of course, it is obvious that that means more places for secure accommodation. As I understand it, there are now only 223 places—[Interruption.] That was the information supplied in a parliamentary Answer which one of my hon. Friends received in July. Another 217 are being built, but there are only 223 now.

    Mr. Merlyn Rees

    July was four months ago.

    Mr. Howell

    Presumably more have come into operation. That is progress. But clearly the need is for more secure accommodation. If we do not have it and magistrates feel that a care order cannot be under the control of the courts, it leads to overloading of detention centres, and I am not sure that that is a healthy development. Certainly I shall have a great deal more to say in a moment about the results of what is happening in detention centres.

    Mr. Kilroy-Silk

    I appreciate the hon. Member’s concern, and it is one which is expressed on both sides of the House and outside it. However, there is no point in giving magistrates or courts powers to make secure care orders unless and until the facilities to hold juveniles are built. The hon. Member will know that that is not a criticism of the philosophy of the Children and Young Persons Act. It is in fact an indictment of successive Governments of both parties for not providing sufficient resources to build community homes and the secure units in community homes to hold these children.

    Unless and until it is done, no amount of additional powers given to magistrates will remedy this very difficult problem.

    Mr. Howell

    I am not sure that the hon. Member is right, although I know that he follows these matters very closely. It is a question of who has the powers. After all, the 1969 Act actually reduced the powers of magistrates and reduced their involvement. It put the social workers in the front line of dealing with juvenile crime and placed on them what in some areas is an impossible load. I think that it is right to start redistributing that load back in favour of the magistrates.

    I now come to detention centres and detention centre orders. Here, too, the Opposition think that the situation is profoundly unsatisfactory. In the case of junior detention centres, the present average sentence comes out at about 42 days —six weeks. It is really three months, but there is almost automatic remission so that it is about 42 days. We think that six weeks is a useless length. In some senses it is too short, in others it is too long.

    Let me explain that. For many youngsters, what is needed is a shorter and sharper sentence, especially for young criminals early in their careers. Anyone in a junior detention centre will explain that six weeks is unnecessarily long in some cases and that it could be much shorter provided that it was sharper. For other youngsters, six weeks is a hopelessly inadequate length of time because there is no time to begin training for a new skill and to build up proper rehabilitation. That is what I mean when I say that it is both too short and too long. It satisfies neither criterion. It does not help in either way. It is clear that change is needed.

    The Opposition do not want to tell the courts their business. That is not our proper role. However, I think that in this area three changes are required and that the Home Secretary should apply his mind to them and, I suggest, move away from the view which he expressed in September that the powers of the courts are adequate to deal with these matters I do not think that they are.

    First, I should like to see the pattern established by which young offenders are sent to detention earlier in their criminal careers. There is nothing more depressing than talking to some of these young people who have committed their fifth, sixth or seventh offence and are veterans of every kind of caution, care order and supervision order. It is much too late then, and the detention centre is doing them no good. They should go earlier. There should be powers vested in magistrates to give shorter and more flexible sentences generally—possibly down to 14 days—and they should be of a more rigorous and sharper kind. Two new centres should be provided for these shorter sentences to be served. The Opposition think that that is a development worth trying, and we regret the attitude so far—it may change; we have managed to get the Home Secretary to change his mind—that this is not a serious proposal or a serious intention. It is.

    We believe that it could be tried, that it would get the support of some of the staff, and that above all it is greatly preferable to waiting until young thugs become totally iured and hardened veterans of endless care orders and are sent to overcrowded detention centres, often arriving at the gates ​ without adequate documentation, when it is really too late.

    Mr. Ivan Lawrence (Burton)

    Does my hon. Friend agree that the same concept of the short, sharp early prison shock should be applied to adult offenders as well as to juvenile offenders?

    Mr. Howell

    I should like to see the first development in the case of juvenile offenders, but it may be that the same philosophy, which after all was the original philosophy of the detention centres when they were first set up under the 1948 Act, should be applied at the senior level as well. That is the way that the Opposition would like the system now to develop.

    As for the 17 to 21-year-old offenders —my hon. Friend the Member for Burton (Mr. Lawrence) has just mentioned older offenders—we should like to see senior attendance centres also expanded. We cannot understand the objection of the Home Secretary to this development. He told us last April that 18-year-olds would be admitted to some junior detention centres. He mentioned that again today. But what are the arguments against the expansion of senior attendance centres? We see that as a valuable development, and we should like an explanation of what the Home Office thinks about it.

    We should like to see the repeal of section 3 of the 1961 Criminal Justice Act which restricts sentences for those young offenders who have not already served a sentence to either less than six months or more than three years. I know that there were reasons why it was felt that that restriction was desirable, but we believe that it should be changed. That is another change that we should like to see in the courts’ powers. Our broad aim is to have a fitting range of penalties, which we lack at present, with prison as the final penalty in the range.

    Mr. Rees-Davies

    Does my hon. Friend recognise that there is plenty of room in the senior attendance centres and other places for weekend attenders, particularly as many of the older offenders are in work? Does he not think it would be best if they attended only for the weekends, when they could be directed to do appropriate work?

    Mr. Howell

    I recognise that there are arguments in favour of such a suggestion.

    Mr. Eldon Griffiths

    My hon. Friend has made some constructive suggestions. Can he say clearly that it would be his intention to see that any juvenile offender who, while in the care of a local authority, committed a second violent offence must be removed from the care of that local authority and at least be eligible to suffer a more severe penalty?

    Mr. Howell

    My hon. Friend would not expect me to commit myself precisely on that matter. I am sure that his suggestion is worth examining.

    I turn to the question of prisons, which is a topical matter. I have already reminded the House that my right hon. Friend the Member for Penrith and The Border has welcomed the inquiry. It has been set up with such speed that we do not yet know its terms of reference, its chairman or the form that it will take. On Thursday the Home Secretary appeared to indicate that hon. Members would have an opportunity to submit evidence to it. It will be a wide inquiry. I do not know how that will be reconciled with the urgency of it. I should like to know the form of the inquiry as soon as possible. There has been criticism of the Home Secretary and of Ministers for the delay in setting up an inquiry. It is right that we should at least take note of the comments of the distinguished home affairs correspondent of The Times.

    On Friday he wrote:

    “the worsening crisis has not been treated with the urgency it deserves…warnings have not been heeded or they have been dismissed as sensationalism, and action has been delayed until violence has made it impossible for the authorities to ignore it any longer.”

    That quotation is from a reasonably independent source. That is not partisan criticism but is a correspondent making a point which is shared widely outside the House. It is right that I should quote it.

    The Home Secretary cannot say that he was not warned about these matters. We have had the all-party Expenditure Committee’s report on prisons. There was a debate in the House in March 1977. The all-party Committee was chaired by my hon. Friend the Member for Plymouth, Drake (Miss Fookes), and the Committee warned about the need for an inquiry into prison conditions. My hon. and learned Friend the Member for Royal Tunbridge Wells (Mr. Mayhew) ​ led the debate in the House. There has been plenty of warning that something needed to be done.

    The inquiry comes at a time when pay disputes and the question of meal times are aggravating the issue. The inquiry will be made no easier as a result. Two separate and equally difficult issues will be mixed—the problems of pay and of the whole organisation of the prison service.

    First, I wish to deal with the question of organisation. The prison officers want a service of their own. They feel that their organisation is lost in the upper reaches of Home Office bureaucracy. In saying that, I make no criticism of existing officials or the director-general of the prison service, whom I know and respect. But the officers are worried because the service is not distinct and its upper echelons are too closely bound in with the departmental processes.

    In some cases there seems to be ill feeling between the prison officer and governor grades. Rigid norms have played havoc with differentials. The Prison Officers’ Association has behaved responsibly. I firmly endorse what the Home Secretary said about that. But it is not in control of all its branches. I am not sure that I go all the way with the Home Secretary’s belief that he and his colleagues have done everything possible to encourage a more coherent approach, at least over the last few years.

    The probable need—the inquiry will have to decide this—is for an autonomous service under a commissioner who is responsible to the Home Secretary. That is my bet on what will come out of the inquiry.

    I turn to the question of overcrowding. I find it difficult to see how the inquiry will be able to deal comprehensively with overcrowding because it extends far beyond the prisons into the whole penal system. We must be careful about bending sentencing arrangements and penal policy to suit the accommodation available. That is the wrong way round.

    The protection of the public must come first. There is a hard core, ruthless element in our prisons from whom society must be protected for a long time. I hope that I am not being too pessimistic ​ when I say that I expect its numbers to rise.

    There is a case for shorter sentences for the lower categories of prisoners. Some of my hon. Friends have produced a useful report entitled “The proper use of prisons.” We believe that it is the first impact that counts. That is a change that should be introduced for its own sake and not a desperate expedient to try to ease the pressure on our prisons. That is the wrong way.

    There are several hundred psychiatric cases who should be in secure hospitals. However, the Home Secretary would say rightly that they must first be built. More places are required in secure mental hospitals.

    There are also a few hundred alcoholics and inadequates. Some might be better treated outside, but we must remember that alcoholics are usually in prison for having committed violent crimes. That must be borne in mind.

    It will take a long time for any of these changes to have any significant impact. There is no avoiding the need to build new prisons. They must be prisons from which it is hard to escape. That is the most expensive type. There is no avoiding the need for a programme which goes beyond the programme of new places built since 1970 or that are in the pipeline. We must face the situation. There is no easy way round by juggling with penal policy.

    I have been speaking about crime itself and the response to it. I make no apology for that. The balance has gone too far towards seeking excuses for crime in deeper and more vague causes. Often one tends to address oneself to anything but crime when dealing with the problems of law and order.

    Wider influences are a vital part of the problem. Many of our troubles begin in the home. There is a need to give parents more support when they are trying to bring up their children in a disciplined manner. Many of the troubles begin in the schools. There should be an all-out campaign for better standards. Many of our troubles come from poor public example by leading figures in authority who might and should know better. I know that this is controversial, but some of our troubles also come from the nightly ​ television message that violence is a good way to settle an argument.

    The need in all these areas is to pursue policies which make it profitable for people and families to think and act responsible rather than policies which constantly take responsibility away and imply that everything will be handled elsewhere at some loftier or official level. This approach that I urge is needed not only in respect of discipline of upbringing and law observance. It extends to policies far outside the traditional Home Office area of preoccupation. It extends to matters such as taxation, education, housing, the social security system and even attitudes to pay bargaining.

    Some will say, and no doubt it will be said in the debate today, that it is impossible in an era of State domination and bureaucratised welfare to move in this new direction. I do not agree. In the past two years there has been a resurgence of public demand in all parts of the country not merely for government to come to grips with lawlessness but for policies which reinforce personal and family responsibility and the standards of conduct upon which a settled society rests. That demand is coming from supporters of all parties. We are receiving the pressure and we recognise it, and in that sense I think that there is a turning point in the public mood.

    In our view, the politicians’ response should be to stop blaming the situation on the media, the Opposition or anyone else and to start giving a vigorous lead from the top on all questions of law and order. Frankly, we do not see that approach from these Ministers. In my view, therefore, the task will fall to the next Conservative Government.