Tag: Vince Cable

  • Vince Cable – 2010 Speech to Liberal Democrat Spring Conference

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable to the Liberal Democrat Spring Conference on 13th March 2010.

    I have a very simple message.

    We, the Liberal Democrats, were right about the financial crisis.

    We warned of the dangers and we led the debate when the crisis came.

    And now we have a clear vision for the future of the British economy.

    The Queen is said to have asked why no one warned about the crisis in the banking system. Actually, we did.

    Ten years ago a group of us, Lib Dem activists, fought the demutualisation of building societies: a consequence of Conservative legislation which led to the disasters of Northern Rock, Bradford and Bingley and HBOS.

    We told Gordon Brown to curb the excess profits of banks which were dependent on a taxpayer guarantee.

    We warned him for years that he was in denial about the build up of household debt and the bubble in property prices. He took no notice; nor did the Conservatives.

    But we were right.

    And when financial disaster struck we insisted that there must be no nationalisation of losses and privatisation of profit: a point belatedly grasped by the government and even more belatedly, and reluctantly, by George Osborne and the Tories.

    The government’s economic record speaks for itself: remember the phrases ‘no more boom and bust’, ‘prudence’, ‘Golden Rules’ – all abandoned.

    And standing amid the wreckage of the economy Gordon Brown sounds more and more like Mr Ashley Cole saying – give me another chance.

    What the public wants to know is who can guide the country out of the present morass: the broken, discredited, banking system; the deepest and longest post war recession, whose effects are far from over; and levels of government borrowing which are not sustainable.

    We can.

    We have deep, long term problems: an overdependence on banking; an obsession with property over productive investment; a yearning for high, Scandinavian levels, of public spending financed by low US levels of tax; and a financial aristocracy which regards tax paying as something for little people not themselves.

    Let me make no bones about it – the challenges are enormous.

    I start with the banks since they have been at the root of our recent problems.

    Not all bankers were greedy or stupid, but plenty were and they have caused immense economic damage.

    The damage continues because the banks have swung from the reckless over-lending which fuelled the boom to conservative under-lending deepening the slump.

    Thousands of sound and solvent small and medium sized companies are being slowly throttled because they can’t get credit or it costs too much.

    Banks do have a funding problem: all the more reason not to squander what they have on bonuses.

    Banks, bailed out by us – the taxpayer – are also building up their balance sheets in readiness for an early re-privatisation instead of supporting British business.

    RBS has fallen short of its legally binding lending target to British business.  Lloyd’s won’t even tell us.  That’s simply arrogant.

    I challenge them to give us the figures and Alistair Darling to force them to if they refuse.  Many thousands of British jobs depend on it.

    The need for radical reform doesn’t end there. Banks with global ambitions that are guaranteed by the British taxpayer cannot be allowed to run excessive risks again.

    The Governor of the Bank of England has to be supported in his constant warning that banks that are too big to fail are simply too big. They have to be broken up, to increase competition and protect the taxpayer.

    The banking collapse and recession have dug a deep hole in the government’s finances.

    The next government will have to deal every single day with the consequences. The growing worry about sovereign debt means that there is no hiding place. Nor should there be.

    It grates to have the economy held to ransom by currency speculators and the clowns in the rating agencies who missed the Icelandic crash and so badly misjudged the safety of banks. But any Government, of any hue, will have to depend on the markets to finance its deficit.

    We must and will be fiscally responsible.

    Unlike the Tories and their cronies who want to create a financial panic and run on sterling to frighten people into voting for them on May 6th.  Playing fast and loose with the financial stability of this country for political gain – destabilising the markets – is dangerous, irresponsible and wrong.

    It is also irresponsible to engage in a phoney war over cuts weeks before an election that will affect the lives of millions of people.

    The Government is trying to present itself as the party of spending and public investment but growing numbers of government scientists, FE college and university staff are currently being sacked.

    The Tories were trying to project their economic team as ‘Slasher’ Osborne and the Hard Men – until David Cameron executed a giant slalom down the Swiss ski slopes and announced that cuts are off the agenda this year. For now.

    Or at least that’s what I think they said.   I’d love to attempt a critique of the Tories budget plans but I have no idea what they are. I think the present line on the budget is: trust us and we’ll tell you after the election. Well I’m sorry but that simply isn’t good enough.

    We have to be frank with people about the difficulties ahead.

    Spending cuts must not be forced through too soon, making the recession worse. That is not just my view – Sir Alan Budd, the Conservatives’ designated head of fiscal policy thinks the same.

    The timing and speed of cuts must reflect the state of the economy, not political dogma. But cuts there will be. We have spelled out some of them.

    Serious public sector pay restraint for the next two years: no one with a pay rise over £8 a week and no bonuses at all.

    Ending government contributions to the Child Trust Fund and cutting tax credits for high earners.

    Axing unaffordable defence contracts such as Eurofighter, and the Trident replacement.   And others, subject to a rapid defence review.

    Scaling back programs like HomeBuy, cutting back RDAs. Taking out tiers of burdensome regulation of local authorities, and scrapping undemocratic regional government.

    Slashing a bloated central bureaucracy – kicking the consulting habit – and ending illiberal and costly government data bases: like ID cards and Contact Point. And we continue to look across all government departments for further savings. There can be no ring fencing if we are serious about getting the public finances back on track.

    And there will be a levy on the profits of banks.

    So far we have identified over £15bn per year of savings, most of which are to reduce the structural deficit and which we will be setting out in full at the time of our manifesto.

    But again, we need to do more.

    A Liberal Democrat Government would conduct an urgent public spending review. Not Tory butchering behind closed doors.

    We will identify priorities and then debate them publicly.

    It’s right and fair that the people who are going to be affected by these changes get to have their say.  That’s Democratic.  That’s open. That’s Liberal.

    Cynics say to me: how can you possibly talk about making economies when the voters want to be promised lots of freebies?

    But it is a massive mistake to underestimate the British people.

    They don’t want to be insulted and patronised by politicians they don’t trust telling them that two plus two equals five, because five is a bigger number than four. Or that all of our problems will be solved by painless ‘cutting waste’.

    Our programme is different not just because it is more transparent but because it offers two things our rivals can’t: hope and fairness.

    The hope derives from a commitment to invest part of the savings more productively in sustainable forms of growth which creates jobs.

    Without growth there is no new money to pay down government debt. But it must be sensible growth which doesn’t depend on consumer spending sprees, destroying the environment or the roller coaster of financial gambling.

    We want a Green New Deal. Investing in jobs by improving our homes and building more social housing. And we will set up an infrastructure bank to invest in big projects like railways and renewable energy.

    And fairness is crucial.

    The public will accept austerity for a time if the burdens are fairly shared.

    They will not accept it from a government that imposes hardship on the majority while rewarding rich cronies, grovelling to tax exiles and non-doms and ignoring the widening inequalities in income and wealth.

    So we will change our unfair tax system.

    3.6 million people who earn less than £10,000 will no longer pay any income tax at all.

    Pensioners will be £100 better off and the average person’s income tax bill cut by £700.

    We will pay for the tax cut by blocking tax loopholes that favour the wealthy and taxing their wealth in their mansions worth over £2 million: in other words the people who profited from the boom.

    People are desperate to see the back of this Labour government. But they don’t want the same old Tories. And make no mistake they are exactly the same.

    There is an alternative.

    In just over 50 days there will be a general election.

    We know that people want to vote for a party that will radically change our economy, for the better in a financially responsible way.

    Our job is to show them we are that party.

    Our job is to make sure that on May 6th they vote Liberal Democrat.

    I know we can.  With Nick’s leadership, with your help and work – and your passion and your belief – we will.

  • Vince Cable – 2010 Speech to the Green Alliance

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable, the then Liberal Democrat Shadow Chancellor, to the Green Alliance on 1st March 2010.

    Thank you for the kind invitation to speak to you.

    The fact that you have invited me I take as a challenge to demonstrate that the Liberal Democrats see the environment in holistic terms: not as a separate set of concerns but connected to mainstream economic policy. I am also aware that I am following in the footsteps of Mr George Osborne. I see that, since that meeting, the Tories have deleted the environment from their list of 10 Reasons to Vote Conservative. I don’t know what you did to him but I can assure you that I won’t react in the same way. The environment – defined as part of a sustainable economy – will be a major plank of our election message.

    When you mark your card after the beauty parade of political parties may I suggest that depth of commitment is not measured only, or even mainly, by the number of boxes which the parties tick in terms of policy statements. To explain the Liberal Democrat position on the environment, I go back a generation to the late 1970s. At that time, I wasn’t involved in Liberal politics; I worked for a Labour Minister, John Smith. I was however intrigued by an earnest group of people who came round my local streets in Twickenham collecting bundles of paper for recycling. In truth, I think I regarded them as rather loopy. But they weren’t a joke. A few years later they wiped out the local Labour Party, defeated the Conservatives and, having taken over the council, launched a pioneering drive in municipal recycling which we now regard as a basic function of local government. And twenty years ago when climate change was still a subject confined to the scientific journals Paddy Ashdown asked me – I had just become the candidate for Twickenham – to set up a group looking at the issue, out of which came the ideas for green taxes on which we have continued to build. The Green Fiscal Commission we regard as the best source of new thinking on the subject.

    Perhaps I could indulge in a few more personal recollections: not to personalise the arguments but so that you are clear where I am coming from. My starting point is that of a fairly hard-nosed economist whose formative years were spent working in or with developing country governments in Africa, South Asia and Latin America. I had a pretty negative view of conservationists who seemed obsessed by preserving animals and views for rich, white, people to look at while keeping the local population in a romanticised traditional lifestyle. I saw my job as identifying ways of helping an expanding population of poor people to improve their living standards. And I regarded as economically illiterate the Club of Rome, anti growth, theorists whose obsession with raw materials running out took no account of prices. I confess that I continue to trail various environmental heresies with mixed results. Some years ago I was ranting about the fallacy of the concept of ‘food miles’ at a public meeting and seriously annoyed a farmer in the audience, a lady with strong, green, views. The argument continued after the meeting but it was resolved; we are now very happily married.

    But my first encounter with serious environmental thinking was as part of the small team which worked with Mrs Brundtland to produce Our Common Future in the mid-1980s and which first launched the concept of ‘sustainable development’. ‘Sustainable development’ has become a mantra we all now use. But it emerged from fierce debate between those, mainly from developed countries, who wanted economic growth slowed down to take account of environmental damage and limits, and those with a developing countries standpoint, including me, who wanted economic growth speeded up to reduce poverty. ‘Sustainable development’ was an ideological compromise – a plea for growth which respects the environment. The underlying tension remains and is reflected in the way different views of the EU on the one hand and China and India on the other at Copenhagen. ‘Converge and contract’ – the compromise formula for climate change – is designed to resolve that tension but agreement is a long way off. And both sides are right. The continued growth of greenhouse gas emissions threatens serious consequences for the next generation. But the rapid growth achieved in China , especially, and India in the last three decades has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty and there is an enormous, understandable, appetite to continue.

    I moved from Brundtland to work on the first of the major intergovernmental reports on climate change to Commonwealth Prime Ministers and worked with the East Anglia scientists and others who were trying to raise awareness of the issue over two decades ago. I was persuaded of the need to take climate change seriously – as was Mrs Thatcher, one of the Heads of Government to whom the report was presented – by the rigour of the climate scientists: stating that there was a problem but always acknowledging uncertainty and the range of error; never overstating the case.

    No one could now complain about lack of awareness of the climate change issue. But I worry about the damage done by failure at Copenhagen and the process of rapid political retreat now taking place, particularly in the USA. The underlying problem is that climate change is an elite project with a narrow and thin political base. It depends critically on public trust in science and scientists. That trust has now been dented. I know that the sceptics are employing every dirty trick in the book and are wildly overstating the significance of a few pieces of slipshod work and exaggerated claims. But much damage has been done to trust in climate science. I don’t agree with a lot of George Monbiot’s work but he was absolutely spot on in his tough response to the slippage of scientific standards. Scientists complaining about emails being stolen and the burden of FOI requests are behaving like the more obtuse MPs during the expenses crisis.

    What is now required to restore trust is to reassert the importance and values of science: making it clear that man made global warming is not a fact but a scientific hypothesis with strong evidential support; that there is a lot of uncertainty about magnitudes and impacts; but that the costs of preventive action are likely to be much less than the cost of climate change if it materialises. Climate science must be open to challenge, like all good science. It is not a religion. And critics, however tiresome, have to be treated with courtesy not abused (I can’t be the only person who takes deep offence at the term ‘climate change deniers’, equating sceptics with neo-Nazi holocaust deniers). Those of us who are still convinced that climate change is a major challenge have to reflect that humility if the arguments are not to be lost, irretrievably. What I can assure you is that the Liberal Democrats will continue to give prominence to climate change as a crucial issue we must address.

    But let me turn to our approach to policy. Where economics and environment come together is in recognising that the costs of environmental pollution should be captured in the price. A proper marriage of economics and environment would sweep away the array of subsidies, protectionist trade policies and tax breaks which disguise the costs of farming, water extraction, fishing, timber production, waste disposal, energy production, mining and manufacturing. Pollution costs would be taxed as the rather dry pre-Keynesian economist Pigou argued almost a century ago. There has been some progress at least in the developed world to tackle that agenda. The Liberal Democrats bring together environmentalism and liberal market economics and are comfortable promoting sustainable economics; while our sister parties, in Canada and Germany for example, have a track record of delivering on the ground.

    That is also the rationale for carbon taxes which are clearly the best way of setting a carbon price for consumers and producers. Liberal Democrats support the concept. But in practice we are starting from somewhere else: a complicated system of national taxes bearing quite heavily on motor vehicles but hardly at all on domestic heating or aviation, with a modest industrial – climate change – levy and an EU carbon trading regime (which has so far had minimal impact on the carbon price because permits have been issued too liberally and grandfathered rather than auctioned).

    We suggest that one useful step forward is to introduce realistic pricing for aviation in ways that circumvent the treaty restrictions on taxing aviation fuel. Aviation is a rapidly growing source of emissions and the last redoubt of the old idea that polluters don’t and won’t pay. Aviation has unfair, distorting tax advantages over competing modes of transport, notably long distance rail, because there is no tax on fuel, no charge for landing rights which, in a sensible world, would be auctioned (and in contrast to the track charges imposed on rail operators) and with subsidised landing charges (cross-subsidised by shopping in the bizarre, Alice in Wonderland world of aviation regulation). As a result aviation does not pay for carbon, or localised – nitrogen dioxide – pollution or the disamenity of noise, especially at night. We suggest as one – modest – first step: changing the tax base, and increasing tax, by applying it to flight take-offs in a way which captures the emissions generated by the engines and flight distance and scrapping the current ticket tax which penalises the efficient use of aircraft and doesn’t tax air freight. We would aim to raise £2.6bn from this green tax which would contribute towards cuts in direct taxation on the low paid. We are also opposed to the current ‘predict and provide’ approach to airport expansion in the South East. We hope that the Conservatives will be as good as their word in working with us to stop Heathrow expansion in particular.

    Road transport is already taxed relatively heavily in the UK by international comparison – a fact which encourages road hauliers to dodge British tax by filling up with diesel on the continent. But despite unpopular tax indexation, the cost of motoring has risen less rapidly than the cost of bus or train travel. Moreover, petrol duty and VED make no distinction between travel on congested roads where there are alternatives and remote rural areas where there is no congestion and no alternative. We should be moving towards a proper road user pricing system for which the technology is now available. Tax is however only one way of changing behaviour. A more direct route is a tightening of energy efficiency standards – miles per gallon – for new vehicles along the lines advocated by my former boss at Shell, Mark Moody-Stuart.

    Tougher standards – for insulation in new building are likely to work better for domestic heating than the price mechanism – higher taxes – which would cause fuel poverty with only a very blunt incentive to invest in energy efficiency. And in parallel there has to be a concerted drive to improve the existing housing stock, street by street, rather than the current fragmented, shambolic, set of programmes.

    There are big strategic choices to be made in power generation. At present, progress on new renewables in the UK is pitifully slow and the opportunities for changing the basic model of energy delivery to local, distributed, power systems is being missed, though feed in tariffs will help in future. The government has effectively shelved the 2003 White Paper which set out a strategic framework based on energy conservation, new renewables and – transitional – gas. Intensive lobbying has led to agreement for a new generation of coal-fired power stations as at Kingsnorth and more importantly support for a new generation of nuclear power stations. I appreciate that nuclear power has attractions to many in the green movement because it is an – almost – zero carbon fuel. Its proponents have also cunningly exploited public anxieties about energy security with wildly exaggerated stories about disruption to gas supplies which, in the case of the UK, are very diverse and safe. The hidden costs of nuclear waste storage and decommissioning are vast. When I spoke in Parliament against the bailout of British energy in 2003, some of the best analysis I encountered came from Greenpeace.  The Liberal Democrats oppose new nuclear power not from some theological opposition to the principle – it would be ludicrous to declare war on physics – but because of the potential hidden cost – the blank cheque needed from the taxpayer – and the potential which nuclear power has to ‘crowd out’ new renewables. A traditional, grid based, system gets in the way of more innovative, distributed, localised systems.

    But the whole environmental agenda is in danger of being derailed by the current economic crisis. Economic necessity concentrates the mind. The environment has plummeted down the list of the electorate’s priorities.

    Much of the established green approach, resting as it does on environmental taxes and a more general approach to frugality, assumes that there is a large appetite for self flagellation. For those people who clamoured for a zero growth world – well, here it is and it isn’t very nice.

    Fortunately there is a growing recognition that the current economic crisis presents opportunities as well as threats to environmental thinking. The key issue is jobs and where they come from. Britain has a major short term problem of cyclical unemployment or underemployment arising from the banking collapse and recession and a longer term structural problem of generating jobs and growth out of an economy which can no longer rely on consumption driven by household debt, inflated property prices and the high octane economy of the sharks and young bloods in the City.

    The short term problem cries out for classic Keynesian public works based on ‘shovel ready’ projects. The construction sector has been the worst hit by the recession and arguably has the richest potential for job creation directly and through supplier industries from timber frames to ceramic fitting. There is massive pent up demand for social housing, and supply is seriously constrained by lack of funding. Improvement of empty and substandard property for rent is one – relatively cheap – way forward. The Liberal Democrats have also been arguing for a concerted programme of home insulation.  Since we acknowledge that there is a major fiscal contraction ahead and no scope for enlarging deficit financing we identify savings from government spending which can be redeployed in this way. Environmental goals can be neatly reconciled with job creation. I shy away from the term ‘green jobs’ since it implies that non-green jobs like being a car mechanic or a gas fitter are somehow less worthwhile which is not right or sensible. Indeed I note with some amusement that the centrepiece of President Obama’s ‘green’ public works programme is road building.

    Liberal Democrats are anxious to ensure that the baby of environmentalism is not thrown out with the bath water of unsustainable public spending. We are, for example, seeking to use some of your ideas on carbon spending for saving money.

    The term Green New Deal also captures the convergence of economic and environmental aims. The term suggests a short term, recession, programme but it has been better described to me by Colin Hines, one of the authors of the idea, as creating a ‘green spine’ for the economy from which many diverse activities will branch. It is already possible to see some of the activities around which future employment and growth will occur – creative industries; pharmaceutical and biological science; specialist IT based services; health and education services; and financial services disarmed of their destructive potential.

    Environmental services and industries are another and could be a leading sector with encouragement. Much will happen spontaneously led by market demand. But this new economy will require infrastructure, preferably a green one. There is a potentially vast demand for digital infrastructure, new and improved public transport, renewable power production and transmission systems plus the education and training of a new generation of scientists, engineers and skilled workers to operate this new economy. The Government is not going to be able to finance much of the infrastructure because the public sector balance sheet is so weak. The funding will have to come from the private sector and I have been promoting the idea of an Infrastructure Bank tapping into the hundreds of billions in annuity funds of pension and insurance companies looking for a home in the UK or retail investment in what could be ‘green bonds’. Part of its remit would be environmental but it would clearly have a broader infrastructure role. It could also mobilise private, retail, investors looking for an attractive, long term productive use of their savings. Colin Hines has coined the term ‘savers and saviours’ – what is needed is the imagination and leadership to link employment growth, environmental imperatives and the self interest of entrepreneurs and investors.

    The Liberal Democrats want to work with like-minded people to develop that vision. We must take these ideas forward on all fronts: national, international and local.  Birmingham City Council which we run in joint administration with the Conservatives has advanced plans for a municipal green new deal.  Given our traditions of localism, we have more confidence in bottom up than top down initiatives. A sustainable future will require both.

  • Vince Cable – 2009 Speech to the Liberal Democrat Spring Conference

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable to the 2009 Liberal Democrat Spring Conference on 7th March 2009.

    Good afternoon Conference.

    I will ignore the usual plesantries and jokes because we have a national economic emergency.

    The economic position of the country is dire.

    It is deteriorating fast.

    It dominates every political conversation.

    In the coming months we face unremitting bad news about factory closures, job losses and home repossessions.

    There has never been a time in our lifetime when there was a greater need for politicians to give clear, honest, economic, analysis combined with a realistic message of hope.

    Yet the current political debate across the Tory-Labour divide is as depressingly predictable as the Christmas pantomime,

    ‘It’s all your fault, Gordon’.

    ‘No it isn’t’.

    ‘Oh, yes it is!’

    ‘Oh, no it isn’t!’

    Sterile, Puerile and Childish.

    The Government claims that this is an international crisis.

    And of course it is.

    We are living with the consequences of the collapse of a giant international pyramid selling scheme.

    But it isn’t only an international crisis.

    Liberal Democrats have long warned that the British economy was unbalanced and over reliant on a consumer borrowing spree and fantasy house prices.

    That the mountain of personal debt would come crashing down and that the housing bubble would burst.

    That a heavy price would be paid for the Thatcherite destruction of mutual building societies and the weakness of bank regulation.

    I don’t claim that we got everything right; but, unlike the Tories, the Liberal Democrats consistently identified the structural weaknesses of the house that Gordon built.

    For their part, the Tories give the impression that they are absolutely loving every minute of this crisis.

    They calculate that the worse it is, the easier it will be to obliterate the memory of the two Tory recessions and the easier it will be, once in office, to make savage cuts in public services.

    Britain does have deep problems, for sure, and the Government has messed up big time.

    But the Tory narrative is feeding the downward spiral of fear and lack of confidence.

    And they offer no convincing alternative.

    What the public wants, instead, is a balanced assessment of where we are, and practical, positive, serious proposals to get our country out of the mire.

    This is a crisis for us all.

    None of us knows all the answers.

    The immediate problem is that demand has dried up; people are hoarding cash, because they are afraid.

    The Liberal Democrats were the first party to call for deep cuts in interest rates to stop us getting into a deflationary downward spiral.

    That said, we need to acknowledge the anger of millions of savers who resent paying for other people’s profligacy and now receive nothing on their bank deposits.

    And the savers are needed since Britain needs a strong personal savings culture for retirement, personal care and higher education and to prevent a reversion to the debt fuelled boom and bust cycles.

    The Conservatives are offering standard rate tax relief on savings interest which is superficially attractive to the better off savers.

    But, in the present context, 20% of nothing is nothing.

    It would be much better to concentrate on removing the outrageous confiscation of savings under means tested benefits like pension credit.

    The heart of the crisis is in banking.

    The Government had no alternative to save the leading banks from collapse.

    That is not the same as saving Woolworths or steel or car makers.

    If the banks collapse – and in October they almost did – almost every other business goes down with them and we go back to barter.

    But we argued from the outset that we cannot have the taxpayer taking all the risks and losses and the banks continuing to be run by bankers in their own interests or hoarding capital.

    Lloyds/HBOS has now joined the list of effectively nationalised banks.

    But only after prolonged damaging dithering.

    Rather, those banks which have failed and been rescued should be taken over and run in the public interest.

    The purpose of control is clear:

    – to stop jobs haemorrhaging as sound companies run out of cash;

    – to identify and manage the ‘bad debt’; to deal with abuses like large scale tax avoidance;

    – to deal with remuneration scandals;

    – and to split off low risk high street banking from the global, casino-type operations – in other words, run the banks on safe, traditional lines.

    British taxpayers must never again guarantee gambling by our banks.

    Once this is sorted, the Government’s stake can be sold, hopefully at a profit to the taxpayer.

    The Government is clearly terrified of being accused of nationalising the banks.

    We have an extraordinary situation where John McCain, the right wing Republican candidate for the US Presidency recognises the need for bank nationalisation and our own supposedly Socialist government won’t face up to its responsibilities.

    I am proud that the Liberal Democrats have been clear and consistent on this issue from the outset.

    This is a moral as well as a financial crisis.

    The shocking stories coming out of banks reveal a deep corruption of values which has now spread into government and society.

    A decade ago Brown and Blair made a pact with the Devil.

    In order to bolster New Labour’s reputation for economic competence they got into bed with the financial aristocracy.

    They turned a blind eye to massive salaries and bumper bonuses, the large scale use of tax havens and tax dodging and dangerous high risk activities of some investment banks – ultimately underwritten by the British taxpayer.

    In return they were showered with compliments and party donations and enough tax revenue to spend more on public services.

    The pact is now breaking down and we can see in all their ugliness the characters to whom Labour bartered its soul.

    We all now know about Fred Goodwin and Adam Applegarth.

    Less well known is Roger Jenkins whom Barclays pay £40 million a year – £40 million! – to find ways of dodging taxes and Peter Cummings whose bad deals destroyed the 313 year old Bank of Scotland and is in line for a £6 million pension pot.

    It isn’t just the extreme greed of the super-rich who gloried in success but still expect to be massively rewarded for failure.

    The bonus culture has become all pervasive.

    I understand the annoyance of bank employees who do not get the pay they were expecting.

    But without the taxpayer, they would not have a job, let alone a bonus.

    Many in other industries have not been so lucky.

    And it isn’t just the private sector.

    Civil servants now expect big bonuses if they meet their targets, and if they don’t bonuses to encourage them to try harder.

    Although the scale of greed is smaller the self-serving instincts of the public sector aristocracy are fundamentally no different from the bankers.

    We can wave our arms about Sir Fred’s pension but the practical question is what we do about the extreme, obscene, inequalities of reward which bear so little relation to performance.

    One modest step is full public disclosure.

    So the Fat Cats have nowhere to hide.

    Public companies should publish the full pay package for all highly paid employees as well as directors.

    The starting point for disclosure could be the Prime Minister’s pay: £194,000 a year.

    Of course, those entrepreneurs who want to risk their own money should still be free in a liberal society to make their fortune.

    Alas, this country does little to encourage any British Bill Gates; and too much to featherbed top dogs in big organisations.

    We must also remember that while most of us have reasonably secure jobs or entitlements well over a million British families will be plunged into hardship this year as workers lose their jobs.

    Job Seekers Allowance – for those entitled to it – is the grand sum of £60.50 a week, not much more than a tenth of average income.

    Families who are not rich are seeing their incomes slashed.

    And they have to keep their mortgages going or they will become one of the 75,000 who will be repossessed.

    There are many little cruelties and indignities which will befall many of these families.

    Let me just mention one: the vicious action of a Labour government giving powers to bailiffs to force entry to debtors homes using sledgehammers and to use force to hold down people who resist.

    Labour is taking us back to the pre-Victorian morality of the debtors’ prison.

    To restore a sense of fairness to such a divided and distorted society will be a massive project.

    Our proposed tax reforms make a start.

    They would establish the principle, revolutionary in itself, that companies and high net worth individuals are not free to decide that paying UK taxes is discretionary, like tipping the waiter.

    We have to crack down hard on corporate tax avoidance and tax havens, made easier by the fact that the US and the EU are determined to do the same.

    Nor can we continue to offer Sir Fred Goodwin and his ilk top rate tax relief on their pension contributions or, to private equity investors, CGT rates which are less than the tax rate paid by their cleaners.

    These loopholes should be closed.

    And the revenue should be redistributed in a progressive way to cut taxes on the low paid and those on average incomes putting cash into the pockets of people who need it and will spend it.

    A tax cut financed by taxes on the very wealthy and a clampdown on tax dodging will be at the heart of our election offering.

    The spirit of our alternative budget will be the same which inspired the People’s Budget 100 years ago – when liberal radicals led by Lloyd George laid the foundations for progressive politics in Britain.

    I make that renewed commitment in the full knowledge that the public sector finances are getting rapidly worse and will need to be sharply corrected once the recession is abating.

    Our tax cutting plans will be fully costed and fully affordable.

    It is also right, in the short run, for the government to sustain the economy; to borrow to keep people in work rather than borrowing to pay them to be unemployed.

    But instead of the VAT cut we would have carefully targeted public investment aimed at providing more social housing, environmental improvements to the housing stock and better public transport.

    At a time when there are massive unemployed resources in the construction industry there has never been a better time to fight worklessness and homelessness simultaneously.

    There will be economic recovery.

    But the Government cannot continue for long to borrow a staggering 10% of GDP.

    There is no imminent threat of bond markets drying up and a sterling crisis but there will be one unless there is a clear route back to public sector spending discipline.

    As a credible political force we accept these realities.

    We cannot and should not make unrealistic spending commitments.

    There are two ways of approaching this looming challenge.

    One is the traditional way: salami slicing key services; using councillors as butchers for central government; abandoning necessary public investment.

    There is a better way.

    Setting priorities.

    To govern is to choose: knowing when to say no.

    We have argued already that an axe has to be taken to wasteful IT programmes and ID cards must go; that tax credits must be chopped back; that new motorways should not be built; that we cannot take on the liabilities of new nuclear power.

    There are bigger questions looming.

    Do we seriously believe a Britain in dire financial straits can afford a new  world-wide military role?

    How long can we continue the pretence that we can sustain generous pensions for public sector ‘fat cats’?

    This year hundreds of thousands of university students will join the dole queue.

    Perhaps half of all new graduates.

    They will have to be helped.

    But how much longer can we pretend that it is sensible or affordable to chase the government’s target of half our population studying full time at university?

    These are enormous issues.

    We must be bold and under Nick Clegg’s leadership we are being bold.

    People are crying out for a believable explanation of the mess we are in and a credible message of leadership on how to get out of it.

    Labour has dominated the progressive side of British politics for 80 years.

    But no more.

    Labour has lost its moral authority.

    And Economic failure has killed the New Labour brand.

    We, the Liberal Democrats not Labour, are the future of progressive politics.

    In these difficult and uncertain times the Liberal Democrats under Nick Clegg’s leadership have the ideals, the policies and the competence to meet the national need.

  • Vince Cable – 2008 Speech to Liberal Democrat Conference

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the speech made by Vince Cable at the 2008 Liberal Democrat Party Conference in Liverpool.

    I don’t want to overdo my Stalin joke.

    But I did, I think, capture the pathos of Gordon Brown’s sad decline: from ruthless to rudderless: bully to bumbler; from Brezhnev to Black Adder.

    He genuinely saddens me.

    After Blair was obsessed by image and positioning.

    We hoped Brown would be a serious man with serious ideas and a serous commitment to social justice.

    No chance.

    Within weeks he was dressing up in a Penguin suit to grovel to a Saudi king who presides over the execution of women for immorality and corruption which makes the late President Mobutu look like a small time pick pocket.

    The nuclear power lobby, the airport expansion lobby, the arms dealers all know they have a true friend in Downing Street. And, as for social justice, he stands ready to copy whatever regressive, badly thought out wheeze the Tories dream up on a boozy night out at the Bullingdon Club.

    But the real issue is competence. Gordon Brown’s list of disasters is becoming as long as the list of Don Giovanni’s lovers:

    Northern Rock; lost data on 15 million families;

    mismanaged reforms to CGT and non-dom taxation;

    Metronet and the disastrous London Underground PPP;

    tax credit overpayments;

    the QinetiQ sale;

    Railtrack;

    IT mismanagement in HMRC;

    the collapse of occupational pensions;

    Equitable Life;

    Individual Learning Accounts;

    Film Tax Credit:

    U-turns on SIPPs and Company Incorporation

    and

    Operating and Financial Reviews.

    That’s just for starters.

    In fact, the Conservative’s should be benefiting more than they are from the government’s serial incompetence.

    They have a problem.

    Their own history. Black Monday.

    15% interest rates.

    3 million unemployed.

    Record repossessions.

    All that.

    Cameron and Osborne have an Alzheimer’s strategy: a fervent hope that the country will lose its collective memory of Conservative government.

    These days the Tories simply don’t seem to know what they stand for.

    They don’t even seem to believe in tax cutting any more.

    Or perhaps I am being a little unfair.

    They do have a programme of targeted tax cuts.

    Top priority target is a further inheritance tax cuts designed to favour dead millionaires.

    Dead millionaires are clearly at the heart of the Tory core vote strategy.

    We, on the other hand, have been consistent and right in our analysis of the UK economy.

    I warned Gordon Brown almost 5 years ago that there was a growing problem of personal debt, much of it secured against a dangerous bubble in the housing market.

    Since then, inflation and house prices have reached levels, in relation to income, unsurpassed in our history and the highest in the western World.

    The truth is that just as binge drinking has become one of Britain’s main recreational activities, binge lending has now become the mainstay of the economy.

    Banks have become the financial equivalents of a Wetherspoons pub – but with even less of a sense of responsibility.

    They make their money by getting people to borrow more than they can handle.

    The mess afterwards is someone else’s problem.

    The binge in lending has fuelled the house price boom.

    Housing has become unaffordable for millions of young first time buyers.

    Borrowers are struggling to maintain their debts.

    Too much unsustainably cheap credit created an unsustainable ratcheting up of house prices.

    People have been duped into believing that acquiring property is better than saving and a more reliable store of value than a bank account, shares or a pension.

    Yet this is a market that is, and always has been, dangerously volatile.

    After the binge, there is inevitably a hangover.

    It is just starting.

    House prices are now falling month by month across the country.

    Debt arrears are mounting.

    Repossession orders and repossessions are rising rapidly back towards levels last seen in the mid 1990’s.

    Negative equity is back.

    Serious economic analysts worry that our home grown problem of asset deflation will interact lethally with the global credit crunch.

    And also global inflation in energy and food prices could combine to create a perfect economic storm.

    If there is an economic storm the public will want to know that the ship is being steered by people who know what they are doing.

    During the Northern Rock crisis the boat was drifting listlessly.

    Captain Brown was hiding in his cabin.

    And Midshipman Osborne was jumping excitedly in and out of a lifeboat.

    We knew what had to be done.

    But the Government only finally listened after months of indecision.

    The delay caused untold damage to Britain’s reputation and cost a fortune in legal and accountancy fees.

    Now the Government has seen the benefits of listening to the Liberal Democrats perhaps they can make it a habit – to tackle the dangers of our slowing economy.

    The Bank of England has to be freed up to use interest rates more aggressively by making sure that its inflation target reflects the fluctuations in house prices.

    We cannot and should not try to stop lenders adjusting to higher standards of risk management.

    But the binge lenders have to accept some of the pain they happily inflict on their borrowers.

    There will have to be a check on repossessions so that we do not have a massive fire sale of homes and a pandemic of homelessness.

    No one should face repossession until there has been an opportunity for independent financial advice.

    The bank must be required to offer a range of alternative properly regulated options, including shared ownership.

    The vultures who are exploiting the situation must be brought within mortgage regulation.

    These are, necessarily, palliatives.

    We also need to think ahead to a different model of growth.

    It should not depend on a debt financed, unsustainable, short term splurge in consumer spending.

    It should instead draw on long term investment in this country’s human resources of skill and science, respecting environmental limits and repairing a fractured sense of social solidarity.

    But the truth is that in the immediate future there are hard times ahead.

    There will be financial casualties.

    Neither I nor anyone else can offer a pain free solution as the excesses of the last few years are purged from the system.

    What we must insist on however is that everyone contributes according to their means.

    We cannot tolerate a two nation society divided between the tax payers and the tax dodgers.

    The extent of tax avoidance amongst many rich people has become a national scandal.

    The super rich are complaining because our spineless government decided to tinker with capital gains tax.

    But they will still pay far less than their cleaners – 18% versus 20% plus 10% NICs.

    They will still pay less than half the tax rate they paid under Mrs Thatcher and Nigel Lawson.

    But all we hear is a whine of self pity.

    Let me be clear.

    I have no problem with people making serious money through hard work building businesses and creating jobs.

    There have to be realistic incentives in a market economy.

    But the idea that the super rich should be elevated above taxation is immoral and deeply insulting to those on modest incomes who pay their full whack of tax.

    Then we have the so called non-doms. These are people who, on the strength of having no more overseas connection that a foreign father, can choose not to pay any tax on their overseas income and capital.

    And they can avail themselves of a battery of off-shore tax loopholes which enable them to avoid tax on UK income and capital. Probably 5 million people – many in this room – are eligible.

    Growing numbers are taking advantage.

    After ten years of dithering Gordon Brown has decided to act.

    As a veteran of the struggle against Mrs Thatcher’s poll tax, he has decided – you’ve guessed already – to introduce a poll tax.

    Billionaire Lakshmi Mittal is to pay the same tax as a non-dom shopkeeper.

    Not surprisingly, the Tories agree that this is fair, indeed, they claim to have thought of it first.

    Yet there has been an almost hysterical reaction from the City.

    How dare British politicians query the tax privileges of the rich?

    If we are not careful, they say, Russian and Ukrainian oligarchs living in £80 million houses will no longer feel welcome.

    They might go somewhere else.

    That’s tough.

    Let them go.

    We say that foreign expatriates are welcome to live and work in Britain.

    But when they have been here seven years, they pay British tax like the rest of us.

    Pay up or pack up.

    And it isn’t just rich individuals who dodge tax.

    Companies are at it as well.

    There are only two reasons for British companies to operate from Caribbean tax havens: secrecy and tax.

    I salute the journalists who are running the gauntlet of libel lawyers by exposing the tax affairs of leading British companies who use Caribbean bolt holes to avoid tax.

    Tesco admitted last week that it had organised itself to avoid £250 million in stamp duty this way, £10 for every UK taxpayer.

    While the super rich and corporate Britain uses every dodge in the book to avoid paying tax, those on low pay face higher taxes.

    The one certainty about next week’s Budget – because a commitment was made last year – is that 23 million workers and pensioners will pay 20% on their first slab of taxable income, instead of 10%.

    5.3 million people will pay more tax.

    The Lib Dems don’t want higher overall levels of tax.

    We want to see fairer taxes making sure that the tax dodgers are brought to book.

    It means that the very well off pay a bit more in capital gains and income tax so that low and middle income families get a tax cut – 4p in the pound of national income tax.

    We also believe that tax can be used, albeit carefully, to change behaviour.

    That is why we argue for green taxes, particularly on polluting aircraft, raising revenue for our package of tax cuts elsewhere.

    The evidence, from the Government’s Climate Change Levy, is that environmental taxes do change behaviour.

    And they raise revenue – which we would use to cut taxes in a progressive way.

    We should also be using taxes to discourage binge drinking.

    There is massive evidence of the damaging effects of alcohol on health and crime.

    Yet the Government has cut taxes in real terms on highly alcoholic beverages.

    Many will wonder why a government which has raised income taxes on the low paid and Council Tax on pensioners is helping to promote cut price Bacardi Breezers and vodka shots.

    Tax should be raised on drinks with high alcohol content – raising £225 million.

    We would use the money to cut VAT on healthy, 100% fruit juice from 17.5% to 5%.

    This will complete the transformation of the Lib Dems from being the party of beards and sandals to the party of Smoothies.

    If I were to be self critical, I would say that we haven’t been radical enough.

    I would like to see a much stronger commitment to cutting the taxes of low and middle income families.

    And I would like to see a much tougher approach to the windfalls on property and land values enjoyed by the super rich.

    Liberal Democrats represent the millions of families ignored by this Government.

    Yes we believe in enterprise.

    Yes we believe in an open economy.

    But we don’t have to go down on our knees to the rich and powerful.

    We will stand up for fair taxes.

    We will stand up for green taxes.

    And we will fight for a more equal Britain.

  • Vince Cable – 1997 Maiden Speech in the House of Commons

    vincecable

    Below is the text of the maiden speech made by Vince Cable in the House of Commons on June 11th 1997.

    Thank you, Madam Speaker, for giving me the opportunity to make my maiden speech. As this is a debate of substance, I shall try to keep the maiden speech formalities to a minimum. That should be easy, as I represent Twickenham, which I hope that most hon. Members will have heard of, so I need not make an extensive Cook’s tour of the constituency.

    My predecessor, Mr. Jessel, served on the Back Benches for 27 years. It was never entirely clear to his constituents whether that was conscious career planning or merely the result of oversight by a succession of Conservative leaders. Whatever the reason, he applied himself assiduously to the duties of a constituency Member. He worked hard on his constituents’ behalf, and many people have spoken warmly of his contribution in solving their individual problems.

    Mr. Jessel fought hard on particular constituency issues. Hon. Members of long standing will remember the case of the Kneller Hall Royal Military school of music, which he fought hard to save. It was said in the 1980s that Ministers and officials in the Ministry of Defence were spending more time worrying about the problem of military music than about the future of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, largely at his insistence. His campaign was successful, but if officials in the MOD are relieved at his passing, I must tell them that I intend to fight equally hard for that institution and others, if they are threatened by the Government.

    I disagreed with almost everything that the hon. Member for Hackney, North and Stoke Newington (Ms Abbott) said, but she deserves credit for having brought an important issue—probably the most important decision that the Government have yet made—to the attention of the House.

    I shall briefly rehearse the central arguments why central bank independence is important and why so many Governments have followed that policy. The first is the need for an institution that is clearly and unambiguously committed to low and stable inflation. We take low inflation for granted, but we forget the corrosive effect of cumulatively high rates of inflation.

    If I can revert briefly to the game with the round ball rather than the oval one, back in 1966, German football supporters visiting this country for the world cup required DM12 for every £l. Those who came back last year for the European cup required less than DM3, despite some appreciation of the pound in previous months. That is a measure of the experience of monetary incontinence under Governments of both major parties.

    Inflation is a corrosive phenomenon that has continually undermined the competitiveness of British industry and has required endless and often humiliating devaluations to recoup the loss of competitiveness. I have never understood why people on the left feel that inflation is unimportant, because all the evidence suggests that the main victims of inflation are the poor. They do not have the resources or capacity to hedge against inflation, they do not have people to bargain on their behalf and they suffer more than anyone else.

    That is not only a British experience: the countries of south America, such as Argentina and Brazil, that have reverted from high inflation to low inflation with the help of independent banks had previously suffered high levels of inequality produced by inflation. It is now universally accepted, in Europe and the Anglo-Saxon world, including New Zealand and the United States, and in south America and Russia, that Governments need a bulwark against inflation. Independent central banks provide that.

    The reason why it is important for central banks not to suffer day-to-day political intervention is that it is difficult for such intervention to be successful, because of the long lags in economic policy. It is usually necessary to raise interest rates long before inflation appears. We know that politicians can be courageous in making difficult decisions about monetary austerity. Lord Jenkins and Lord Healey have, in the past, forced through many painful decisions to bring down inflation, but they always acted too late. They—or, rather, their predecessors—should have acted in advance of inflation appearing. That is what a technically based, independent central bank can do.

    The second basic reason why independence is important relates to interest rates. We know from long experience that markets always discount inflation. Long-term interest rates in Britain are consistently higher than those in other European countries, notably in Germany, and people pay a price for that. Companies pay a higher price for long-term capital. Individuals suffer, and the national debt is inflated unnecessarily by high interest rates. An independent central bank should get those down, as we saw from the market reaction to the Chancellor’s announcement a few weeks ago.

    We need to achieve a climate of long-termism in British industry. I am sure that that is an issue that is close to the heart of the Minister who will reply to the debate. It is important.

    I have left British industry from a company that engaged in 25-year planning. Industry often has a long-term outlook, but I was fortunate to work for a company, Shell, that was in a strong financial position, with very little debt, and that was internationally diversified so that it did not have to worry about exchange rate fluctuations. However, British companies that are highly dependent on bank debt and the value of sterling can be destabilised by erratic monetary policy. British industry’s outlook has been so short-term because of the way that monetary policy has been conducted. It is not in the nature of capitalism to be short-term: it is the way that our policy has been conducted.

    Independent central banks have a general problem with accountability, which was the core of the argument by the hon. Member for Hackney, North and Stoke Newington. How do Governments ensure democratic control over one of the core elements of economic policy? That is a genuine dilemma, and different countries have struggled with it in different ways. The analogy I choose is with the military. Clearly, the military have to be under political control, but no Government in their right mind would insist that battlefield commanders should be directed in their tactics in the field. We have to separate broad political control from day-to-day management.

    The model that the Government have chosen, which is based on American experience rather than German, is correct, and the Liberal Democrats fully support it. Although we agree with the Government’s broad approach and the model that they have chosen, we are critical of some aspects of the Government’s approach.

    The Government have not consulted much, and the decision was sprung on the country, industry and the City. The decision could have been taken with more consultation. My hon. Friend the Member for Gordon (Mr. Bruce) has shown how that could be done. Some time ago, he prepared a statement of the possibilities for a UK reserve bank. He discussed his proposals with the City and the Governor of the Bank of England, and received feedback. That is the model that the Government should have followed. They will have time to do so when the legislation is considered, but the decision was taken very peremptorily.

    Another of my criticisms relates to the way in which the members of what is now called the Interim Monetary Committee are chosen. The people who have been chosen are undoubtedly of high quality, and congratulations are due on that. I can vouch for at least one, who was a predecessor of mine at Shell as chief economist. That person is technically competent and, to the best of my knowledge, politically independent. She is able to draw on the experience of the United States and British industry.

    My predecessor, Charles Goodhart and Willem Buiter have high technical standards, but the way they were chosen could be improved. For example, members of the monetary committee could be interviewed by the Treasury Select Committee, as they would be in the United States, their views exposed, and their experiences examined and approved by the House. That would add to the democratic content of accountability.

    Another measure that could, and probably should, be taken is to extend the members’ periods of office. They are presently vulnerable to political interference. Their contracts will expire before the life of this Government, but extending their contracts to five or six years would give them the necessary security and political independence.

    I have another criticism, which is apparently trivial, but has important substance—the name of the Bank of England, which sends the wrong signals. I spent the early part of my political career in Scotland, and I have some sensitivity to the fact that we are a United Kingdom. 1063 We are a country of differing regions. Scotland has a different level of house ownership from England, and levels of unemployment differ greatly from one part of the country to another. Those regional experiences should be reflected by the people who make decisions on monetary policy. We would like a regional system of directors, as well as those with outside academic expertise.

    The Liberal Democrats strongly support the Government’s decision, both its principle and the model that they have chosen. However, it is important to stress that it is a necessary rather than a sufficient condition for good economic policy. If the Government were to allow the Bank of England to operate independently and to pursue an austere approach to the management of money while not disciplining their fiscal policy, we would quickly experience high interest rates, appreciating sterling and considerable damaging side effects. A necessary corollary of the Government’s actions on the monetary front is a similar discipline on fiscal policy. We shall see in the Budget whether that commitment is there.