Tag: 2023

  • PRESS RELEASE : Chancellor update on Silicon Valley Bank UK [March 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : Chancellor update on Silicon Valley Bank UK [March 2023]

    The press release issued by HM Treasury on 12 March 2023.

    The Bank of England announced on Friday that Silicon Valley Bank UK is set to enter insolvency, following action taken by its parent company in the United States. The Bank of England confirmed in its announcement that Silicon Valley Bank has a limited presence in the UK and does not perform functions critical to the financial system.

    The government and the Bank understand the level of concern that this raises for customers of Silicon Valley Bank UK, and especially how it may impact on cashflow positions in the short term.

    The UK has a world leading tech sector, with a dynamic start-up and scale-up ecosystem. The government recognises that, given the importance of Silicon Valley Bank to its customers, its failure could have a significant impact on the liquidity of the tech ecosystem.

    The government is treating this issue as a high priority, with discussions between the Governor of the Bank of England, the Prime Minister and the Chancellor taking place over the weekend. The government is working at pace on a solution to avoid or minimise damage to some of our most promising companies in the UK and we will bring forward immediate plans to ensure the short term operational and cashflow needs of Silicon Valley Bank UK customers are able to be met.

  • Florence Eshalomi – 2023 Speech on International Women’s Day

    Florence Eshalomi – 2023 Speech on International Women’s Day

    The speech made by Florence Eshalomi, the Labour MP for Vauxhall, in the House of Commons on 9 March 2023.

    It is an honour to follow the hon. Member for Southend West (Anna Firth). A number of us do hold our mothers dear; I think of my late mother, who was not fortunate enough to see me elected to this place, but I know that she is with me every day. She was my biggest inspiration, and to echo the words of the hon. Member for Livingston (Hannah Bardell)—who is not in her place—my mother was also a single mother. We have to continue to pay tribute to the role that single mothers up and down the country, especially during this difficult time where a number of those single mothers are navigating the cost of living crisis but are still providing for their children.

    There are so many fantastic young women in my constituency of Vauxhall, but there is one young woman who I want to pay special tribute to this afternoon: Ebinehita Iyere, who is the founder of Milk and Honey Bees, a creative space for young black women in south London. She and a number of girls wrote a book last year, “Girlhood Unfiltered”. Milk and Honey Bees is a safe space for young black girls to talk about some of the issues and challenges that they face. The work that Ebinehita has done over the past few years in providing a voice and a space for those young black girls is so inspirational, and I just wanted to make sure that she was mentioned this afternoon.

    It is a real pleasure to speak in today’s debate, Mr Deputy Speaker, and to follow so many other inspirational women and their powerful contributions. As MP for Vauxhall, I am proud to represent the Brixton community that I have lived in all my life, but I am not alone in that: Brixton is in the unique position of being represented in this House by not one, not two, but three MPs, and I am proud that since the 2019 election, all three of us are women. Locally, Lambeth Council is led by Councillor Claire Holland. Marina Ahmad AM is my successor as London Assembly Member for Lambeth and Southwark, and 30 female Lambeth councillors provide strong leadership across our borough. I am delighted that any young girl or woman growing up in Vauxhall today has so many women to look up to, not just in politics but in our local businesses, our schools, our voluntary and community organisations, our wonderful cultural centres and our fantastic Oval Invincibles cricket team, who have won both The Hundred titles on offer since that tournament was launched in 2021.

    We should be proud of the progress we have made. We know that representation must be used to improve the rights of women and girls locally, nationally and globally; therefore, International Women’s Day is not just a celebration of our achievements, but a chance for us to recognise how far we must still go to achieve global gender equality. One area in which we still see a marked disparity is between men’s and women’s health outcomes. Women often do not get the treatment they need as quickly as men do, and that problem is driven by the lack of awareness about women’s health and the cultural tendency to view illness through the lens of a man. As co-chair of the all-party parliamentary group on HIV and AIDS, I wish to focus the rest of my remarks on the impact of HIV on women.

    Women make up a third of people living with HIV, with an estimated 31,000 women living with HIV in the UK and 20 million worldwide. In 2021, 556 women were newly diagnosed with HIV in England, accounting for 27% of all new diagnoses. The vast majority of those cases were likely due to exposure during heterosexual contact. What is most shocking is that black African women accounted for 38% of all women diagnosed, followed by white women, who accounted for 15%. Of the women diagnosed in 2021—this is a really shocking statistic—35% lived in London, and 47% were diagnosed late. That is a key issue that is highlighted by so many organisations and charities leading the fight against HIV and AIDS.

    Last month, we celebrated National HIV Testing Week, and I was proud to join other parliamentary colleagues across the House to demonstrate how quick and easy it is to get tested, but testing is only one tool in the prevention of HIV and AIDS. I put on record the fantastic, formidable women who are leading the fight against HIV and AIDS in the UK: Susan Cole, Deborah Gold, Lisa Power, Sophie Strachan, Angelina Namiba, Amanda Ely, Professor Yvonne Gilleece, Dr Claire Dewsnap, Professor Jane Anderson, Anne Aslett and Dr Laura Waters. Those are just some of the women I have met in my role as co-chair of the APPG on HIV and AIDS who are taking on that fight. If we are really to look at how we deliver services and make sure that we end new HIV transmissions by 2030, we must ensure that we remember women’s voices.

    We must have a strategy for tackling the persistent health issues that remain. The stigma, poverty, gender-based violence and immigration problems all intersect, with the result that women living with HIV struggle with not only their physical health, but their emotional wellbeing. To tackle this, we must achieve gender parity in the HIV response. That will involve ensuring equitable investment, priority and attention to women in HIV prevention, research, data and services. We must also ensure that HIV research addresses specific knowledge gaps around HIV in women, which will support the full participation and meaningful involvement of women. Finally, we must allow for better access to pre-exposure prophylaxis and other forms of HIV prevention.

    Lilian Greenwood

    Before my hon. Friend finishes her very powerful speech about the importance of listening to women’s voices in relation to HIV and AIDS, can I ask her whether she agrees that we also need to listen to women’s voices in a whole range of healthcare settings? I am thinking particularly of women harmed by failures in healthcare, including my constituent Sarah Hawkins, whose daughter Harriet was born dead as a result of inadequate maternity care, and whose second daughter Lottie is growing up without her big sister. I am also thinking of my constituent Peggy Gedling, who yesterday laid to rest her son Justin far too young. His life was cut short after she was prescribed the hormone pregnancy test drug Primodos. Does my hon. Friend agree that if women had been listened to, we could have avoided some of that harm?

    Florence Eshalomi

    I thank my hon. Friend for making that powerful intervention. When we look at the health disparities that exist, we see that it is really important that women’s voices are heard in terms of the treatment they are receiving. All of us as MPs will have received emails from female constituents detailing where they have not been listened to or believed; where sometimes, their symptoms have been unrecognised; where they have been told that they need more painkillers and “it will be okay, dear”. We need to make sure that those dedicated doctors and nurses listen to women, and believe women when they raise medical concerns.

    Dawn Butler

    My hon. Friend is making a very powerful speech. On the subject of women, the NHS and medical interventions, does she agree that structures such as body mass index, which was created to identify the average body of a man, does not relate to women? We have to look at all the systematic, structural misogyny that exists in our systems.

    Florence Eshalomi

    I thank my hon. Friend for making that really important point. In terms of how we identify some of the problems that women face, one of the other issues that we have worked on together is maternal death of black women—the fact that black mothers are more likely to die during childbirth or pregnancy—and some of the issues around their weight and long-term conditions not being taken into account when addressing those health inequalities.

    On this International Women’s Day, there is a lot more that we can and should be doing. We should be working together to improve the quality of life for millions of women, not just in the UK, but right across the world, and it is incumbent on us all to work together to say that we can bring the epidemic that started 40 years ago to an end by including women’s voices.

  • Anna Firth – 2023 Speech on International Women’s Day

    Anna Firth – 2023 Speech on International Women’s Day

    The speech made by Anna Firth, the Conservative MP for Southend West, in the House of Commons on 9 March 2023.

    It is a true privilege to speak in today’s debate. This time last year, I could not take part because I had not yet made my maiden speech. It is a particular pleasure to follow the hon. Member for Brent Central (Dawn Butler), who made a fascinating speech. I really commend the hon. Member for Birmingham, Yardley (Jess Phillips), who is no longer in her place, for her contribution. Nobody in this place, particularly someone listening to it live for the first time, can fail to be moved by it. It is incumbent on us all to try to eliminate violence against women. I look forward to the day when we can come to this Chamber and have this debate and the hon. Lady does not need to read out that harrowing list.

    I wish to start with three words: women, life, freedom. Many Members in this Chamber will know that those words are the strapline for the recent uprising in Iran. Yesterday was the first International Women’s Day since the brutal killing of Mahsa Amini, whose murder by the medieval regime was a lightning flash around the world. She has now become such a symbol of bravery, courage and hope.

    The women of Iran have been the victims of systematic oppression for the past 44 years. It is not just about religious dress codes; women are banned from singing in places, from taking part in certain sports, and even from attending certain games in stadiums. In short, they are treated as second-class citizens. However, as we all know, it has become far, far worse than that in the 175 days since the recent uprising. Following the death of Mahsa Amini, 82 Iranian women have been murdered by the regime. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps have been disproportionately targeting women—targeting their eyes, targeting their chest and targeting their genitals. Only this week, we heard horrifying reports of several schoolgirls being poisoned in revenge for their role in the recent protests.

    I mention all of this because all that it takes for evil to prevail is for good men and women to stay silent. I am proud that, in this place, we are not staying silent about what is going on in Iran. It is a salutary lesson to consider that if any of us were to stand up and say these things in Iran, we would be in mortal danger. I have two young women who encourage me to join these protests. Every time, I think how lucky we all are that we can do this—that we can stand up for women. We could not do any of this if we were living in Iran. It is vital that we keep sending that message to the Iranian women that we stand with them, that this murderous regime has to go and that the eyes of the world are on them.

    Dame Maria Miller

    My hon. Friend is making a powerful point. It is a point that was made endlessly to me over the past three days in New York at the UN Commission on the Status of Women. The women who were there from Iran, from Afghanistan and from Ukraine need to hear vocal support from colleagues in Parliaments such as our own and at events such as the UNCSW. Does my hon. Friend agree that, when it comes to the agreed conclusions of that event, we need to be reflecting just the point that she has made: that the plight of these women cannot be forgotten.

    Anna Firth

    I absolutely agree with my right hon. Friend. It is so encouraging to know that those points have been reiterated in one of the highest commissions on the status of women, and it is extremely good to know that Iran has finally been taken off that commission. No such regime anywhere in the world has a place on any commission concerned with women’s right. I thank her for reminding us of that.

    We are so lucky that we can stand for public office. Although I am privileged to be the first woman to have been elected as the MP for Southend West, I am not the first female MP for Southend. Of course, Lady Iveagh represented that seat between 1927 and 1935, so I have a proud tradition behind me. We have so much further to go, as we all know. Just 31% of MPs are women, and since 1918, more than 100 years ago, only 561 women—not even an entire Parliament—have been elected. I say to any women who are thinking of coming into public office, particularly if they are in Southend West: “I want to hear from you, and I would be delighted to speak to you.”

    I am delighted that in Southend West, we have plenty of women putting themselves forward for election in May. I wish the very best of luck to Councillor Meg Davidson, Councillor Lesley Salter and—we hope—soon-to-be councillor, Cheryll Gardiner. I will be on the streets of Southend knocking on doors to support them, supported by the indefatigable deputy chairman Judith Suttling, who is still pounding the streets in her 80s and setting me a daunting and energetic example.

    I will use the time that I have to celebrate the incredible work that women do in my Southend West community. I, alongside our local paper, the Southend Echo, will soon launch a new community champion scheme in Southend to highlight our unsung and hidden heroes. The first hero is not unsung or hidden, however. She will be none other than our one and only Jill Allen-King OBE, who has spent her life standing up for people who live with blindness and visual impairments.

    For those who do not know Jill’s story, she lost her sight on her wedding day, aged just 24. Instead of collapsing in a well of despair, she got out there and has spent her entire life bringing to our community things that we now take for granted. Tactile paving—the little bumps on the pavement that we all see whenever we cross the road—is down to Jill Allen-King, as are the wheelchair-level buttons in buses, and she has done lots to get access to public spaces for therapy dogs. She has attracted the attention of well-known names, including Paul O’Grady and Michael Ball. Of course, she has her OBE, but this year, she has the Pride of Britain lifetime achievement award. Despite her blindness, she has been busy teaching Ashley Banjo from Diversity to do the cha-cha-cha.

    Sir Peter Bottomley

    Just to demonstrate that I have been around for a time, in 1986, when I became the junior Transport Minister, with responsibility for mobility for disabled people, Jill Allen-King took me for a walk around Westminster, helped to put in the first tactile surfaces just outside the Palace of Westminster, and gave much other good advice. Please give her my best wishes.

    Anna Firth

    I thank my hon. Friend—I will absolutely pass that on.

    There are so many wonderful women in Southend West whom I want to celebrate, so—in great Sir David fashion— I will now rattle through a whole list. First, the incredible Riz Awan at Citizens Advice Southend is a support for so many people across our community. She took over as chief executive as the covid pandemic was starting, and she kept the centre open to assist people in one of the most difficult of times. Also at Citizens Advice Southend is the award-winning Emily Coombes, who was recognised as a rising star by the Young Energy Professionals.

    I pay tribute to Jackie Mullan, chief executive officer of the SEN Trust Southend. Jackie set up that amazing organisation to support people with learning difficulties throughout our local community, and she is a huge inspiration. I would also like to mention Rachael, a constituent of mine who came to see me in this place only a few weeks ago. She has led an amazing battle to raise awareness of functional neurological disorder.

    We also have great role models in our Southend schools. Thirteen of our headteachers are women, showing that woman can, of course, take on such positions of responsibility and leadership.

    Vicky Ford

    As a fellow Essex MP, may I also give a shout-out to Deputy Police and Crime Commissioner Jane Gardner, particularly for her work on the Southend, Essex and Thurrock domestic abuse board? That board is commissioning fantastic work from charities—including Compass, Changing Pathways and Next Chapter—supporting victims of domestic abuse, running the perpetrator work that I mentioned earlier, and commissioning a network of independent domestic abuse advisers and independent sexual abuse advisers to work with victims. All that work, run by Jane and her team, is helping to get the numbers down so that fewer women suffer such awful abuse.

    Anna Firth

    I welcome my hon. Friend’s intervention; I am glad that we have also got Jane on the record.

    I will next pay tribute to Denise Rossiter, the excellent chair of Essex Chambers of Commerce. Denise is an absolute force and a consummate professional. She champions Essex wherever she goes, and she is a great support to female MPs in Essex.

    I must also mention Carla Cressy, who works tirelessly to raise awareness of endometriosis. I was delighted this week to host here in Parliament her event to launch Endometriosis Awareness Month.

    Last week, I was privileged to attend the Jubilee Awards at Southend Civic Centre. We celebrated women who have made a huge difference during the jubilee year and beyond. Shirley Massey is the president, and Kim Bones a member, of the Leigh-on-Sea branch of the Royal British Legion. Both are always there, year after year, doing their bit for our veterans.

    Ilda Stafa, who runs Welcome to the UK, has given advice, support and sanctuary to all the wonderful Ukrainian families who have come to Southend. Danielle Carbott is a real champion for our local environment, setting up the brilliant Litterless Leigh initiative. I must mention Danielle Bee, the organiser of the Bluetits Chill Swimmers cold-water swimming group—she has taken me out on one of those dips, and I can tell Members that it is an aptly named group. Brenda Knapp was nominated by staff and children because she comes into Leigh North Street Primary School voluntarily almost every day of the week. Staff and students at the school recognise that they simply could not do without her.

    Helen Symmons, the female CEO of Leigh-on-Sea Town Council, is doing a great job. The Lady McAdden Breast Screening Trust, which does so much to raise awareness of breast cancer, also has a female CEO.

    Karen Packer gives up her own time to volunteer tirelessly to give opportunities to guides and scouts. She is an incredible woman. During Parliament Week, I went to visit her brownie group, and we were challenged to build a Houses of Parliament of biscuits, using icing sugar as glue. It was quite a messy experience.

    Finally, I must mention my incredible constituency assistant, Julie Cushion, who won this year’s Parliament’s People constituency assistant of the year award. Quite apart from her help for me, just thinking about her contribution to the community makes me feel exhausted. She is the chair of our Mayor’s charity, raising hundreds if not thousands every year; she chairs the SEN Academy Trust; she is the director of two choirs; and she is a trustee of the YMCA and, of course, of the amazing award-winning Music Man project. Quite apart from that, she helps me almost every day of the week in one respect or another, and I pay tribute to her hard work in keeping me on the road.

    Finally, I could not miss out on the opportunity to once again celebrate my own incredible inspiration: my own mother, Dr Margaret Garrett. She has been a huge support to me throughout my life, and is now pretty much in sole care of my lovely dog Lottie while I am up here during the week. To her, I say just one thing: thank you.

  • PRESS RELEASE : UK falls five places in international rankings for women in work, as gender pay gap widens by four times OECD average [March 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : UK falls five places in international rankings for women in work, as gender pay gap widens by four times OECD average [March 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 7 March 2023.

    • UK drops five places, from 9th to 14th, and records absolute decline on PwC’s annual OECD index of women’s employment outcomes
    • UK gender pay gap widened by 2.4 percentage points, from 12% in 2020 to 14.4% in 2021 – four times the increase across the OECD
    • UK remains leading economy across G7 countries for overall women’s employment outcomes – but gap between Canada in second place has significantly narrowed
    • Female labour force participation fell between 2020 and 2021 by 0.4 percentage points, despite an average increase across the OECD of 1.3 percentage points
    • Childcare affordability in the UK acting as barrier to progress, while policies that help redistribute childcare could deliver key benefits to women’s workforce participation, as well as to fathers, children and wider society 

    The UK has recorded an absolute decline in  women’s employment outcomes in 2021, seeing its relative international ranking fall five places, from 9th to 14th, according to PwC’s annual index of OECD countries.

    The UK saw a significant widening of the gender pay gap by 2.4 percentage points to 14.4% in 2021 – four times the average increase across the OECD as a whole. Combined with a slight fall in the female labour force participation rate, the UK’s absolute index score declined by two points in 2021, and led to a relative fall to 14th in OECD rankings compared to 2020.

    While the UK remains the leading economy across G7 peers in 2021 at 69 points on the Index, the gap between the UK and Canada in second place, has also narrowed to just two index points.

    Since the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK’s progress towards gender pay parity has been in reverse, and the UK female labour force participation rate fell 0.4 percentage points between 2020 and 2021, during a time of labour market recovery across the OECD. The rising costs of childcare threaten to make these results even worse, with more women being priced out of work altogether.

    Childcare and the cost of living crisis:

    The report highlights childcare affordability issues for families in the UK. In 2021, childcare costs relative to average income were one of the highest across OECD countries. Net childcare costs represented almost a third of the income of a family on the average UK wage. This compares to as little as 1% of income in Germany.

    Since 2015, childcare costs in the UK have risen dramatically, while income growth has slowed. Average nursery costs per week rose by more than 20% between 2015 and 2022, while average weekly earnings rose by 14% (both in nominal terms).

    Upcoming research from PwC* shows that an increase in the number of government-funded free childcare hours could generate a significant increase in the size of the labour force.

    Larice Stielow, senior economist at PwC, says:

    “An 18 year old woman entering the workforce today will not see pay equality in her working lifetime. At the rate the gender pay gap is closing, it will take more than 50 years to reach gender pay parity. If the rebound from the pandemic has taught us anything, it is that we can’t rely on economic growth alone to produce gender equality – unless we want to wait another 50 years or more.

    “The motherhood penalty is now the most significant driver of the gender pay gap and, in the UK, women are being hit even harder by the rising cost of living and increasing cost of childcare.  With this and the gap in free childcare provision between ages 1 and 3, more women are being priced out of work.  For many it is more affordable to leave work than remain in employment and pay for childcare, especially for families at lower income levels.”
    The role of parental leave policies in eliminating the motherhood penalty:

    While affordable childcare could help more women back into the workforce, in order to tackle the motherhood penalty at its root, the report explores solutions that could help to redistribute childcare more equally between women and men. This would assist in shifting societal attitudes about gender roles. While the UK currently offers a statutory shared parental leave scheme, take up by fathers is low (estimated 2-8%), mainly due to affordability issues, with payment to fathers only at the statutory level (capped at £156.66 per week, among the lowest in Europe).

    The analysis suggests that, as a result of fathers taking more paternity leave, an additional 720,000 women in the UK could remain in full-time employment (over a 20 year analysis period), thus improving the UK’s overall ranking on the Index. Moreover, it estimates that the incidence of postpartum depression would fall – with an estimated  230,000 mothers and 240,000 fathers no longer suffering over the analysis period, which could save the NHS around £1.4 billion.

    The benefits are not limited to parents – as a result of fathers spending more time with their children in their early years, around 66,000 children every year (10% of births) could attain better educational outcomes –  scoring one grade higher in either Mathematics or English at GCSE once they reach high school age. This is also estimated to lead to an increase in their lifetime earnings of £330m.

    Zlatina Loudjeva, Partner in PwC’s International Development team, said:

    “Rather than post-pandemic recovery for women, we’re seeing the opposite when it comes to closing the gender pay gap. With both a reversal in the UK’s progress on the index, and a widening of the gender pay gap, it’s clear that it was not a COVID linked issue alone and therefore, ‘business as usual’ simply won’t cut it. This is a question of equity but also a pertinent economic issue as the UK faces labour shortages. There is also a business cost of talent retention.

    “We can no longer talk about the impact of COVID-19, it is clear that the cost of childcare in the UK and attitudes towards childcare need urgent focus and action, with government and business to work together to help mitigate the confluence of shocks that have occurred over the last few years so that women are not priced out of the workforce.

    “There is no panacea, nor a one size fits all policy, that will solve the problems for women at work today. We should consider enhanced parental leave policies and more flexible working so that all parents can balance work and caring responsibilities, alongside tackling the cost of childcare, to help create a more equitable and prosperous society for all. The index shows that this is doable and a number of OECD economies are leading the way through successful interventions.”
    The Index: how the UK regions fare 

    Northern Ireland ranks #1 amongst the countries and regions in the UK, overtaking the South West which has been the top-performing region for three years consecutively up until this year. The South West now drops into second place, while Scotland remains third (unchanged from last year).

    Northern Ireland boasts the smallest gender pay gap across the countries and regions (only 5%), and a higher female full-time employment rate than most (the third best across the UK at 64%). However, it has the lowest female labour force participation rate (70%)  of all countries and regions in the UK.

    Wales saw the largest decrease in terms of absolute Index score as well as the largest fall in rank between 2020 and 2021. Wales fell from 2nd place to 6th place. This was due to marginal deterioration seen across the majority of indicators.

  • PRESS RELEASE : PwC previews the Spring Budget [March 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : PwC previews the Spring Budget [March 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 3 March 2023.

    On 15 March Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt will deliver his Spring Budget, accompanied by a full fiscal statement from the OBR. The Budget is expected to focus on measures which will support the Government’s economic plan to halve inflation, grow the economy and reduce public debt.

    The Chancellor has said that the economic plan will be based on four ‘E’ pillars of Enterprise, Education, Employment and Everywhere. He has also stated the Government’s long-term ambition is for the UK to have “the most competitive tax regime of any major country.”

    The Budget is expected to provide an insight into the path ahead for business and personal taxes, along with a vision for innovation and R&D strategy and measures aimed at reducing labour market inactivity and boosting economic growth.

    PwC specialists and economists explore some of the potential measures that have been subject to speculation.

    • Economic outlook (Barret Kupelian)
    • The outlook for business tax (Jon Richardson)
    • R&D tax credits and innovation (Rachel Moore)
    • Capital taxes & enterprise incentives (Alex Henderson)
    • Employment taxes and productivity (Julian Sansum)
    • Employment law and return to work (Ed Stacey)
    • Personal tax (Christine Cairns)
    • Environment & sustainability (Lynne Baber)

    Economic Outlook

    Barret Kupelian, senior economist at PwC says:

    “The OBR’s forecast is likely to reflect an improved short-term economic outlook relative to the Autumn Statement but overall it will highlight the more challenging environment the UK is likely to find itself in the medium to long-run.

    “The good news is that the short-term economic outlook is more positive, with inflation expected to drop faster this year than the Autumn Statement forecasts. This will be good news for the government, business and households. Consumers will continue to feel squeezed but real wages are likely to start growing towards the end of the year, potentially marking the end of the cost of living squeeze. This could also mean the economy grows faster than expected this year as damage from inflation is contained.

    “However, the Chancellor is likely to face continued challenges in the medium-term. The first one relates to revised inflation assumptions for after 2023.  In the autumn the OBR had expected the UK would see a sharply declining inflationary outlook through this year and would be on course to enter a deflationary environment by 2024. Instead we can expect the OBR’s statement to align more closely to the Bank of England’s expectation that inflation will be relatively higher after 2023, meaning that debt interest payments on the national debt will probably rise faster.

    “For this reason we expect that the Chancellor will seek to maintain the UK’s tight fiscal environment with a focus on targeted spending to improve economic growth and productivity–potentially sketching out his vision for the UK economy for the future.

    “Also, there is a growing awareness of the extent to which the UK’s high figures of economic inactivity are linked to ill health of the workforce. We can expect some measures, such as health MOT programmes, to specifically support those who can return to work and also potentially targeted welfare measures to convert part-time workers into full-time workers.

    “Finally, we can also expect the Chancellor to continue to provide support to households through delaying the increase in the Energy Price Guarantee. Wholesale energy prices are continuing on a downward trajectory and therefore the policy is likely to cost considerably less than forecast, and has been a substantial bulwark against inflationary pressures in the wider economy.”

    The outlook for business tax

    Jon Richardson, head of tax policy at PwC, says:

    “The Chancellor has suggested that he will not be looking at significant changes to rates of corporate and business tax. Businesses will welcome a degree of certainty and stability after the changes last year. Yet many are deeply concerned about their international competitiveness in an extremely challenging economic outlook once the corporation tax rises to 25% and the super-deduction ends next month.*

    “In his speech in January, the Chancellor said “our ambition should be to have nothing less than the most competitive tax regime of any major country”, businesses will be hoping the Chancellor will provide a road-map for how the Government plans to achieve this.

    “Businesses are paying close attention to the UK’s position in relation to peers in the US and Europe, especially in light of the impact of the US Inflation Reduction Act. The end of the 130% super-deduction will place further pressure on UK capital expenditure, and many will be looking for further certainty through reform of the capital allowances regime to ensure the UK can remain competitive.

    “Under the Chancellors “Everywhere” banner we can expect to find out more on whether the previously announced investment zones will include any fiscal incentives.”

    *To give one sector-specific example, PwC has projected that a London-based investment bank could face a potential total tax rate of 45.7% in 2024 compared to 38.5% in Frankfurt and 27.4% in New York.

     

    Rachel Moore, R&D tax partner, PwC, says:

    “Following backlash from business and industry bodies on the halving of the SME rate of relief, the Chancellor has signalled the potential for additional  support aimed at R&D intensive industries, such as the life sciences and digital technologies, which are a crucial driver of UK economic growth. It may be that the Chancellor looks outside of the tax system to support R&D in this Budget through a range of grants and government support for emerging industries.

    Large companies have welcomed the increase in the R&D tax credit limit from 13% to 20% in the Autumn Statement, which will help some businesses in mitigating the impact of the rebasing of the relief to UK costs. There is still some way to go in making the regime globally competitive with the cash benefit remaining behind the OECD average.

    “There is an ongoing consultation into proposals to merge R&D incentives for large companies and SMEs but there are a number of hurdles to overcome in how the structure of a merged relief might work.  He may choose to extend or expand the scope of these consultations especially in light of Sir Patrick Vallance’s review into regulations governing the UK’s innovation strategy. We may also see the government introduce further measures to combat abuse of the R&D regimes.”

    Capital taxes and enterprise incentives

    Alex Henderson, tax partner at PwC says:

    “The Chancellor has indicated that the Government’s priority for this year will be on stability and measures to build on the fiscal and economic ambitions outlined in the Autumn Statement. Therefore, whereas recent Budgets and statements have tended to focus on rates and allowances, with much of the ‘heavy lifting’ already baked in this Budget  is much more likely to be about incentives and reliefs, highlighting areas of importance to the Chancellor and creating a narrative around growth and support for businesses.

    “The Autumn Statement saw substantial changes to Capital Gains Tax, with the threshold set to halve again to £3,000 in 2024. Given the focus on stability it is unlikely the Chancellor will seek to revisit this area in this Budget in any significant way but there are many targeted reliefs in the tax and Chancellors are always keen to ensure they are getting value for money in these.

    Smaller businesses will be hoping to see a range of measures aimed at some of their specific pressures and support to help them close the capital gap with larger companies in terms of access to funding. The Chancellor may choose to look at enterprise incentives, in areas such as Seed Enterprise Investment Schemes, the Enterprise Investment Scheme and Venture Capital Trusts, employee incentives or even enhancing the targeted small companies’ rate of corporation tax.

    “One area for smaller businesses which would be particularly worth considering would be addressing the tax compliance burden which has a disproportionate impact on SMEs.  Measures which could improve the ability for small businesses to consult with HMRC, may help reduce the costs of administering and navigating complex rules.”

    Employment taxes and productivity

    Julian Sansum, employment tax partner at PwC, says:

    “While there are a number of drivers for the UK’s economic inactivity rates, there has been particular focus on how to encourage those who have voluntarily dropped out of the workforce or who have struggled to find suitable opportunities. Over two thirds of those aged 50-54 in the ONS Over-50s Lifestyle Survey reported concerns about a lack of skills in being able to return to work following the pandemic. The Chancellor may look at targeted back-to-work reskilling programmes to address this cohort, as well as how to incorporate reforms to the Apprenticeship Levy to encourage greater use of employee training schemes to address some wider skills shortages. .

    “A key component of the Apprenticeship Levy was to encourage companies with a payroll in excess of £3m to spend 0.5% of their wage bill to provide 40 days of high-quality skills training external to the organisation. Companies and individuals have expressed concern that this acts as a disincentive to take up such training opportunities given the time this involves away from the workplace, with estimates suggesting over £3bn of the levy has been returned to the Treasury since its introduction in 2019. The decision last year to cut the commitment for a day’s training to six hours, down from seven, has been welcomed by many to address this balance.

    “The Chancellor could go further in these reforms by, for example, ring-fencing 25% of the Levy to be spent on 25 days of training. This could provide an additional incentive for businesses to invest in reskilling and upskilling initiatives across all age groups without significantly reducing their employees’ productive contribution.

    “In addition, there could be options to delay or defer pension payments to reduce the marginal rate of income tax for over-60s, to encourage this smaller demographic back to work. This could include enabling those who are currently in receipt of pension payments to pause payments if they take up new work.

    “An area the Chancellor could look to for the larger over-50 cohort, however, would be reforms to tax on in-work benefits: additional costs created through going back to the office, such as transportation and food, may act as a disincentive for many.”

    Employment law

    Ed Stacey, employment law partner at PwC, says: 

    “The Chancellor and the DWP have indicated they are exploring ways to encourage GPs to issue sick notes that focus on employees continuing to work with support rather than being signed off altogether. Given that many larger employers already have occupational health support, this new focus is likely to be of most interest to smaller employers.

    “Whilst policies to support people back to work will generally be supported by employers, there will be challenges. Will there be capacity in the NHS and specifically for GPs to invest the time to better understand an individual’s workplace such that a recommendation can be made? The plan would also require time and support from the employer, in tandem, any phased or limited return can often place additional pressures on colleagues which employers will need to carefully manage.

    “Given that some employees may still believe that they need to remain off work completely, there will also be a question around the value that they will bring if they are returning with a level of reluctance.

    Personal taxes

    Christine Cairns, tax partner at PwC, says:

    “Despite record breaking self assessment tax revenue in January 2023, we expect the Chancellor to resist pressure to introduce any personal tax cuts, including the previously announced drop to 19% from 20% for the basic rate.  Instead, the changes to thresholds and tax reliefs which we saw in the Autumn Statement in a move aimed to boost tax revenues further through fiscal drag, particularly from higher earners and investors, will be maintained.

    “Likewise, the ‘non-dom’ regime continues to be in the spotlight following Labour’s pledge to abolish it. While it is possible that the Chancellor may tweak the flat rate of charge paid by non-domiciliaries to access the regime, or the number of years an individual can spend in the UK before becoming deemed domiciled, it is worth noting that the regime has already been repeatedly revised.

    Environment and Sustainability 

    Lynne Baber, Head of Sustainability at PwC says:

    “This Budget is a real test of the Government’s green credentials. Following the publication of the Skidmore Review, there is an opportunity to demonstrate wider support for the Net Zero transition.

    “We’ve seen encouraging moves over the past few months, and opposition pressure is also intensifying. With the creation of the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero and the Nationally Significant Infrastructure Projects action plan being backed by strong rhetoric, this Budget presents the ideal opportunity to turn that talk into action.

    “The Inflation Reduction Act in the US and the REPowerEU deal have shown how strong support for clean energy can be and the UK is now at risk of falling behind in terms of leveraging the transition as a means for economic growth.

    “While the main focus of the Budget is likely to be the ongoing cost of living crisis there remains an urgent need for a plan to deliver green economic growth. The Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy is growing faster than any other part of the economy and we cannot afford for this momentum to be slowed given its potential to create jobs everywhere across the UK.

    “The policy decisions made over the remainder of this Parliament will have a profound impact on the UK’s future, so it is not just the green industries who will be awaiting a clear strategy.”

  • PRESS RELEASE : UK defined benefit pension schemes will see further funding increase once schemes factor in pandemic impact, PwC research shows [March 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : UK defined benefit pension schemes will see further funding increase once schemes factor in pandemic impact, PwC research shows [March 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 2 March 2023.

    The funding status for the 5,000-plus corporate defined benefit (DB) pension schemes in the UK continues to show a strong surplus of £325bn on PwC’s Low Reliance Index, which assumes schemes invest in low-risk, income-generating assets like bonds, meaning they are unlikely to call on the sponsor for further funding.

    Analysis shows this could increase by a further £10bn when schemes have incorporated the latest data on the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.

    PwC’s Buyout Index – which tracks the position of the UK’s DB schemes against an estimated cost of insurance buyout – also continues to show that, on average, schemes have sufficient assets to ‘buy out’ their pension promises with insurance companies, recording a surplus of £160bn.

    John Dunn, head of pensions funding and transformation at PwC, said:

    “Although schemes on the whole remain very well funded, there’s still plenty for the sponsors and trustees of the UK’s DB pension schemes to be thinking about. A big debate for the last two years has centred on how to allow for the impact of the pandemic in life expectancy projections. More data is now available and the emerging consensus is that the lingering effects of the pandemic are likely to reduce life expectancy compared to previous projections. Once pension schemes factor this new data into their valuations, it could increase the aggregate surplus by a further £10bn on a low reliance funding measure.”

    Laura Treece, pensions actuary at PwC, added:

    “When setting assumptions about future life expectancy of pension scheme members, most actuaries use models from the UK’s Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI). Since the pandemic began, the CMI’s models have allowed actuaries to decide how much weight they want to place on the higher mortality experienced during the pandemic – in essence a ‘Covid-19 allowance’. Initially the CMI, and many actuaries, opted to place no weight on the data during the pandemic years, as it was very hard to assess the longer term impact on life expectancy.

    “However, the data is now more stable and for the first time the CMI believe that – sadly – it  may be somewhat indicative of the future trend. Its latest model proposes to place a 25% weighting on the mortality experienced in 2022. For pension schemes that haven’t made any allowance for the pandemic, that’s broadly equivalent to assuming that their members will, on average, live for between half and three-quarters of a year less, depending on when life expectancy was last assessed. That could be equivalent to a 1.5% to 2% fall in liabilities. Even if half of schemes have already made a Covid-19 allowance, that’s £10bn extra funding for the rest. Every scheme is different so sponsors and trustees should make sure they understand how the pandemic and its associated effects have impacted members of their pension schemes specifically.”

  • PRESS RELEASE : Post pandemic retail recovery sees lowest number of store closures since 2014 [March 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : Post pandemic retail recovery sees lowest number of store closures since 2014 [March 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 1 March 2023.

    • Stores are closing at their slowest rate since 2014, with net closures also at their lowest level  in five years
    • Closures now at 32 per day with 22 new outlets opening per day across Great Britain
    • Retail park and leisure operators continuing to thrive

    PwC has launched the latest figures for stores opening and closing across Great Britain. The research is created in association with the Local Data company. The twice yearly research tracks over 200,000 outlets in over 3,500 locations to gain a picture of the changing landscape of high streets, retail parks, shopping centres and stand alone outlets.

    The latest research shows the lowest number of closures since the research began marking a positive turn for retail post-pandemic. The 2022 full-year results show a total of 11,530 chain outlets (those businesses with five or more outlets) exited GB high streets, shopping centres and retail parks – a significant drop from the 2021 figure of 17,219 outlets. Equivalent to 32 closures per day, the figure remains significantly lower than the almost 50 per day that were closing in the pandemic period. New store openings have improved with 7,903 store openings (equivalent to 22 per day) this year, they are at the highest since 2019. Net closures now sit at -10 per day, marking the lowest rate since 2016 – and just 1.7% of the total number of chain outlets, compared with the 5.7% that closed in 2021.

    Retail parks remain the most resilient outlet type with a small -0.3% closure rate with shopping centres (-1.6%) also recovering at a promising rate. High Streets were slightly lower at -2.6% but all outlet types saw a significant improvement in their net closure rates.

    Lisa Hooker, Industry Leader for Consumer Markets at PwC comments on the positive figures:

    “It is great to see how retail and leisure operators are increasing in confidence and investing back into bricks and mortar after a few years of uncertainty across the sector. We are seeing innovative store openings including services and the use of technology that delights the consumer and appeals to the younger shopper who tells us they still love stores. While high streets are also recovering well, the need to coordinate a fragmented landlord base and others with vested interests, alongside the type of occupant, means a slightly slower recovery. Rent levels have also normalised, and with changes to the business rates due to come in April, this should also encourage new openings across many locations, adding to the impressive bounceback of retail parks, shopping centres and the growth of local entrepreneurship.”.

    The variation across the regions has also narrowed – a trend first noticed in the first six months of 2022. That trend has continued to the extent that regional variations have nearly gone. This year has seen the spread of results (GB average -1.7%) have less than one percentage point between the worst performing (West Midlands at -2.3%) and the best (South East -1.3%). This is a positive turnaround for London, which was particularly hard hit by the pandemic lockdowns. It was -5.8% in both 2020 and 2021, significantly worse than any other region, but just -2.2% in 2022.

    Lucy Stainton, Commercial Director for the Local Data Company who collect the research talks about the trends in the 2022 data:

    “CVA and administration activity dropped in 2022, helping to drastically reduce the total number of closures across the market.  Alongside the benefits of the first full year free from restrictions, the return of office workers and tourism boosted footfall, supporting new store openings.

    Shopping centres bounced back in 2022 after a turbulent period as acquisitive brands opened units across destination centres. Retail park performance also improved as easy access, free parking and the convenience of these locations attracted shoppers.

    Stronger than anticipated golden quarter performance provided a solid base from which to start 2023, as postal strikes drove shoppers back to bricks and mortar for their Christmas shopping. We expect 2023 to remain positive with funding available for stores to protect against high energy prices, the continuation of workers returning to offices and a revision to business rates providing much needed support to navigate current market headwinds.”

    Eight of the 100 outlet categories tracked by the Local Data Company saw net growth in double digits. Of those. leisure outlets accounted for half of those categories.

    Takeaways continue to top the league table for new openings with demand for both food on the go and  home delivery continuing post pandemic. Many are franchise operators, as are the other success story: convenience stores. Nimble, with significant local knowledge and capital-light, these local entrepreneurs can move quickly and service gaps in the market backed by strong brands and helped by lower rents as other operators have retreated post-pandemic. Other categories, such as DIY and pets are bouncing back, helped by pandemic trends.

    Rick Jones, Hospitality, Sports and Leisure Leader at PwC comments on the positive news for leisure operators:

    “The marked growth in the leisure sector is great news for towns and cities across Great Britain.  This is particularly marked for those that have a growing student population or are emerging family towns.  The food and beverage revival is testament to how quickly successful businesses with strong and relevant consumer offerings have mobilised their efforts, including taking advantage of site availability and more favourable rents. to satisfy the resurgent post-lockdown demand.”

    On the other hand, service providers are driving the closures across the sector. A structural shift online is responsible for the majority of closures in many of the categories, such as the four fastest declining categories of banks, betting shops, charity shops and fashion retailers. Even so, all four categories saw a significant slowdown in closure numbers compared with 2021; for example, fashion saw only 228 net closures in 2022, an over 80% reduction compared with 2021 when a number of large clothing retailers closed or moved online.

  • PRESS RELEASE : Nearly four out of five companies adopting carbon targets in executive pay, new research from PwC and London Business School shows [February 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : Nearly four out of five companies adopting carbon targets in executive pay, new research from PwC and London Business School shows [February 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 27 February 2023.

    Companies are increasingly using carbon targets as part of executive pay outcomes, according to a joint study by PwC UK and the London Business School (LBS) which analyses the carbon targets in executive pay at 50 of the top major European companies.

    The report reviews the quality of the implementation of ESG targets in executive pay in the STOXX Europe 50 constituents, with a particular focus on climate targets in pay, to see whether they can be included in an effective way that also meets investor expectations. Analysis shows that the vast majority (78%) of companies have now adopted some measure of carbon target in executive pay, with payouts in carbon targets disclosed in 2022 averaging at 86%, and over half paying out at 100%. The report also shows that the bigger carbon emitters are more likely to put carbon measures in executive pay, and are therefore more likely to score well against investor expectations.

    The STOXX 50 companies are broken-down into two sub-categories: the ‘Climate Action 100+’ ((CA100+)14 out of the 50 companies) and the ‘non Climate Action 100+’ ((non-CA100+) 36 out of the 50 companies), to look at differences in approaches.

    The levels of maturity in carbon reduction strategies are similar in CA100+ and non CA100+, with 68% using SBTi approved carbon reduction plans. The report also highlights that 80% of CA100+ companies that have an explicit carbon measure in pay have a broad statement linking this carbon measure to their long-term company plan (vs 72% of non-CA100+ companies). By contrast, only 10% of CA100+ companies provide a more comprehensive link (e.g. supported by numbers) versus 11% of non-CA100+ companies.

    Almost all companies analysed say carbon is considered in executive pay, but there is a wide spectrum of approaches for how it has been adopted. At one end of the spectrum, carbon is just one item on a list to consider as part of a basket of qualitative ESG measures, while at the other end, carbon can be a separately weighted quantitative component of the incentive plan tied directly into strategy.

    Phillippa O’Connor, Workforce ESG leader at PwC comments:

    “Climate change is having a huge impact on the way businesses operate, with net zero targets, mitigation and adaptation measures of growing interest to investors. Recently we’ve seen an explosion of interest from investors and companies linking executive pay to ESG targets. In fact, 86% of companies have now adopted ESG measures in their executive remuneration policies, as businesses want to demonstrate they are serious about the ESG challenges.

    “Climate is the area of ESG with the strongest investor consensus. It’s crucial that leaders are clear on what is important to investors and understand the role they have to play in achieving both financial and non-financial metrics. Linking shareholder objectives to specific climate driven objectives gives leaders a clear definition of success, helps meet investor expectations, and ultimately helps achieve climate goals. Yet there are unintended consequences of linking pay to ESG metrics. ESG targets in pay is not always as simple as it seems and should not be viewed as the sole litmus test of a company’s commitments to ESG priorities. The challenge now must be to do it well, so that pay targets make a meaningful contribution to helping companies meet their climate goals.”

    Tom Gosling, Executive Fellow, Department of Finance Leadership Institute, London Business School, adds:
    “The momentum to include climate targets in pay is unstoppable. But if it’s not done well, there’s a risk that the practice just results in more pay, not more climate action.

    “At the moment most companies aren’t meeting investor expectations for meaningful, objective, and transparent climate pay metrics. But there are some potential quick wins, in particular improving transparency about future climate targets and clearly explaining the link to the trajectory of longer-term net zero commitments.

    “At the same time investors need to be careful not to be too prescriptive – climate targets in pay are not a panacea, and companies may have non-climate priorities that are more deserving of a place in pay plans.”

  • PRESS RELEASE : PwC comments on ONS’ January public sector finances [February 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : PwC comments on ONS’ January public sector finances [February 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 21 February 2023.

    Jake Finney, economist at PwC UK, says:

    “Net borrowing was in surplus by £5.4bn in January, which was £5bn higher than the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) expected. This indicates that the improved economic outlook is gradually starting to ease the pressures on the UK’s public finances.

    “Tax receipts picked up in January, as workers and companies settled their tax bills. However, this was partially offset by large spending on energy bills support and one-off payments to the EU relating to historic custom duties.

    “Debt interest payments reached £6.7bn in January, the highest January figure since monthly records began 26 years ago. This reflects the fiscal consequences of higher RPI inflation and higher interest rates. Higher debt servicing costs as a share of total revenues will leave the public finances more exposed to future economic shocks.

    “In the coming months, falls to natural gas futures prices should start to gradually bring down the cost of the Energy Price Guarantee scheme. However, we expect this will be partially offset by reduced tax receipts due to lower than expected inflation.”

  • PRESS RELEASE : PwC comments on ONS Low carbon and renewable energy economy report [February 2023]

    PRESS RELEASE : PwC comments on ONS Low carbon and renewable energy economy report [February 2023]

    The press release issued by PWC on 14 February 2023.

    Commenting on the publication of the ONS’ Low carbon and renewable energy economy, UK: 2021, Lynne Baber, Head of PwC Sustainability, said:

    “We know that the transition to a green economy must accelerate. Today’s ONS data is welcome confirmation that the pace is beginning to pick up with turnover and employment rates in the low carbon and renewable energy sectors both reaching their highest levels, but more must be done.

    “With our recent Green Jobs Barometer showing that green jobs are growing at almost four times the rate of the overall jobs market, today’s data reinforces how strong the UK’s starting position is in the race for green economic growth.

    “However, with countries across Europe and other parts of the world stepping up their own ambitious plans for green growth, the UK must ensure the path is clear to continue moving at the required pace – that means ambitious policies aimed at green growth, and investment in infrastructure, energy efficiency, and technology while ensuring that these jobs are created in the regions where they are most needed.

    “PwC analysis has shown that reskilling or upskilling of the workforce needs to accelerate now in order to fill the green skills gap in time to meet net zero by 2050.

    “Challenges arise in ensuring that workers are sufficiently reskilled into new roles and that the demand for skills are met, particularly given a lack of coherent labour force planning, a lack of engagement with educational institutions and negative perceptions of the energy sector amongst young people.”